THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Even/unclear early shape. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 49.27% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.62s off the lead. The measured order tops SPIRIT OF JURA on 87, 0pts clear of NIGHTSINWHITESATIN. SPIRIT OF JURA: a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it. The shape danger is RIZAL (FR) — the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 1
SPIRIT OF JURA
OR 81 · Jason Hart / Charlie Johnston
MARKET drifting 6.2 → 6.8
87.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayThe top rating in this field (87.0)Proven over the trip (9 tries, beats market expectation at 2.02)Race-fit — ran 6 days ago
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 2
NIGHTSINWHITESATIN
OR 79 · C. Horgan / Edward Bethell
MARKET 2.84
87.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−Rated #2 in this field (87.0)Jockey goes well at this track (3.0x market expectation)Race-fit — ran 7 days agoRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 3
RIZAL (FR)
OR 77 · Daniel Tudhope / George Scott
MARKET 1.94
82.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−Rated #3 in this field (82.0)Runs Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1SPIRIT OF JURAnet +4figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, proven at trip, FormLab watch flag − 5lb+ above last winning mark
2NIGHTSINWHITESATINnet +4figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 speed vs its fields, yard hot − habitually slow away, 5lb+ above last winning mark
3RIZAL (FR)net +4race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, runs the dominant winning style here, FormLab watch flag − 5lb+ above last winning mark
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (no confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 3 runners · stalls 1–3
123
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner.
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: SPIRIT OF JURA is 0/2 on softer ground · NIGHTSINWHITESATIN is 0/2 on softer ground · RIZAL (FR) is 0/3 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
SPIRIT OF JURAMID48.2%108.0a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
NIGHTSINWHITESATINMID48.5%104.5a genuine turn of foot — 3rd-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
RIZAL (FR)MID46.3%111.7the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1SPIRIT OF JURAMIDFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 1 · OR 81 · Jason Hart / Charlie Johnston
MARKET drifting 6.2 → 6.8
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−
87.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
87.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 89
Official mark (OR)
81 · last won off 75
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 9 tries · beats market expectation (2.02)
Days since last run
6
Sectional clock
Last time: beat the class par by 1.1s · faster than its field on the clock Usually races midfield and fades · clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 107.97% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 13 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charlie Johnston · 2305 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.5 on the exchange
Signature angle: with the mark MARK-FALLING3+
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after within 7 days13/10212.7%0.735/2222.7%1.29
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Hamilton Park9/7811.5%0.842/277.4%0.64
Above their last winning mark ✦58/48811.9%0.8820/16712.0%0.82
Over 11f+ trips76/52614.4%1.0516/13312.0%0.84
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 92 at/around today's trip, clears the ~87.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 3
-0.20 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 3
+0.27s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 3
108.0%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length3rd of 3
6.87 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
4 Mar 26Southwell11fStd4thTrue37.7 -0.07106.1+0.27
8 Oct 25Nottingham14fSoft6thFast early35.9 -0.3396.1+0.24
Timed runs 2025-10-08 to 2026-07-11. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
6lb above his last winning mark (81 today vs 75)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayThe top rating in this field (87.0)Proven over the trip (9 tries, beats market expectation at 2.02)Stable cold this week — 1 wins from 25 runsLost roughly 2.3 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 6 days agoHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 2 here)Runs Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“waited with, headway over 3f out, led briefly over 1f out, rallied, just failed”
#2NIGHTSINWHITESATINMID
DRAW 2 · OR 79 · C. Horgan / Edward Bethell
MARKET 2.84
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
87.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
87.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 88
Official mark (OR)
79 · last won off 74
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 5 tries
Days since last run
7
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.4s) · best on the clock in its race Usually races prominent-closer · clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 104.45% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 12 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Edward Bethell · 852 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.1 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)39/25315.4%0.959/3525.7%1.54
In Class 4-5 company68/42116.2%0.8624/12319.5%1.21
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Above their last winning mark ✦21/13515.6%0.886/5510.9%0.69
In fields of <=7 ✦31/15420.1%0.8311/7814.1%0.71
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after within 7 days (small sample)0/110.0%0.02/540.0%2.0
At Hamilton Park (small sample)5/2718.5%0.834/1233.3%1.31
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 88 at/around today's trip, clears the ~87.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 3
-0.02 mph
About the level of its fields · 38.4 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 3
+0.38s
Slow away in 3 of 5 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed3rd of 3
104.5%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length2nd of 3
7.15 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
10 Jul 26York11fGd/Frm2nd—39.8 +0.02—+0.07—
21 May 26Catterick Bridge12fGood2nd—38.0 +0.03104.3+0.35
8 May 26Chester12fGood4thTrue38.3 +0.00102.8+0.19
18 Apr 26Thirsk12fGood2ndTrue38.9 +0.13—+0.53
2 Oct 25Nottingham10fGd/Sft4thTrue37.8 -0.01102.7+0.53
Timed runs 2025-09-14 to 2026-07-10. · 2 have no finishing speed in either database — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
5lb above his last winning mark (79 today vs 74)Yet to win at this level — a Class 5 winner, upped to Class 4 todayRated #2 in this field (87.0)Only 5 runs at this distanceJockey goes well at this track (3.0x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 7 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“prominent, led over 2f out, hung left around 2f out, edged right, headed carried left approaching 1f out, no match for winner”
#3RIZAL (FR)MID
DRAW 3 · OR 77 · Daniel Tudhope / George Scott
MARKET 1.94
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−
82.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
82.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 82
Official mark (OR)
77 · last won off 70
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
Last time: beat the class par by 1.9s · best on the clock in its race Usually races prominent-closer
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 111.69% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
George Scott · 689 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 11f+ trips10/4621.7%1.643/1520.0%1.95
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦40/24816.1%1.1615/6025.0%1.41
On turf ✦54/34815.5%1.1820/10419.2%1.19
Above their last winning mark15/9016.7%0.917/3420.6%1.18
In Class 4-5 company ✦56/33216.9%1.0918/9419.1%1.15
Too few runners to read reliably
At Hamilton Park (small sample)0/10.0%0.00/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 82 is below the ~87.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 3
+0.64 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.8 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 3
+0.35s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 3
111.7%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length1st of 3
7.46 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
26 Jun 26Doncaster10fGd/Frm1stSlow early41.3 +0.79112.4+0.43
4 Mar 26Kempton Park10fSlow3rdTrue40.4 +0.48111.0+0.27
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.43slow2f+0.37slow3f+0.31slow4f+0.32very slow5f+0.31slow6f+0.31par7f+0.26fast1m+0.10very fast1m 1fledvery fast1m 2fledvery fast
Timed runs 2026-03-04 to 2026-06-26. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
7lb above his last winning mark (77 today vs 70)Yet to win at this level — a Class 5 winner, upped to Class 4 todayRated #3 in this field (82.0)Improving fast — last run rated 82, 8pts above his recent average of 74.0Only 1 run at this distanceLost roughly 1.9 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“in touch, headway 2f out, led before final 1f, kept on”