THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
INSTANT FORCE (IRE) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 51.26% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.17s off the lead. The measured order tops NICELY (IRE) on 78, 2pts clear of BATTLE FEVER (IRE). The shape danger is INSTANT FORCE (IRE) — the only measured early speed in the race, without over-committing — and finds plenty late · sharp from the stalls.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 1
NICELY (IRE)
OR · David Egan / Kevin Philippart de Foy
MARKET 1.96
78.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 1−Drops in class todayThe top rating in this field (78.0)
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 5
BATTLE FEVER (IRE)
OR · Kevin Stott / Kevin Ryan
MARKET drifting 9.4 → 10.5
76.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−Rated #2 in this field (76.0)Runs Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 3
INSTANT FORCE (IRE)
OR · Clifford Lee / K. R. Burke
MARKET 3.15
75.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−Rated #3 in this field (75.0)Stable in form this week — 6 wins from 22 runsRace-fit — ran 12 days ago
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1INSTANT FORCE (IRE)net +6race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, sharp from the stalls, yard hot
2NICELY (IRE)net +5figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3
3BATTLE FEVER (IRE)net +4figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, yard positive in today’s setup − yard cold
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 5 runners · stalls 1–5
12345
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner.
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: NICELY (IRE) is unraced on softer ground · BATTLE FEVER (IRE) is 0/1 on softer ground · INSTANT FORCE (IRE) is 0/1 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
INSTANT FORCE (IRE)PROMINENT48.8%103.3the only measured early speed in the race, without over-committing — and finds plenty late · sharp from the stalls
BATTLE FEVER (IRE)MID48.8%102.9the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
NICELY (IRE)———-
TRUMPETY TRUMP (IRE)HELD-UP48.9%103.2a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
SAVOY BLUE (IRE)HELD-UP51.8%98.7one-paced late — 4th of 4 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
INSTANT FORCE (IRE)PROMINENTmatches the early speed of the fields it has raced in · breaks with the very quickest
INSTANT FORCE (IRE) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1NICELY (IRE)
DRAW 1 · OR · David Egan / Kevin Philippart de Foy
MARKET 1.96
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 1−
78.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
78.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 78
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
15
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
2ndClass 3 · 6.1f · rated 78
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Kevin Philippart de Foy · 652 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 4-5 company ✦39/33111.8%0.8411/7015.7%0.85
Too few runners to read reliably
At Hamilton Park (small sample)0/30.0%0.01/333.3%1.22
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 78 at/around today's trip, clears the ~76.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 5
-0.09 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.1 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph5th of 5
+0.36s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed
—
No finishing speed recorded
Stride length1st of 5
7.54 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
2 Jul 26Nottingham6fGd/Frm2nd—40.1 -0.09—+0.36—
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f—slow2f—very slow3f—slow4f—par5f—fast6f—fast
Timed runs 2026-07-02 to 2026-07-02. · 1 have no finishing speed in either database — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Drops in class todayThe top rating in this field (78.0)Only 1 run at this distance
LTO comment
“chased leaders, effort 2f out, took second final 1f, kept on”
#2BATTLE FEVER (IRE)MID
DRAW 5 · OR · Kevin Stott / Kevin Ryan
MARKET drifting 9.4 → 10.5
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
76.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
76.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 76
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
13
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 102.93% (holds late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
2ndClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 76
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Kevin Ryan · 1202 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of <=729/16517.6%1.054/567.1%0.41
At this time of year (Q3)37/4218.8%0.92/296.9%0.75
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after 8 to 14 days (small sample)11/10610.4%0.81/195.3%0.5
At Hamilton Park (small sample)6/4413.6%0.953/1520.0%1.44
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 76 at/around today's trip, clears the ~76.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 5
+0.00 mph
About the level of its fields · 37.4 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph4th of 5
+0.32s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 4
102.9%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length5th of 5
6.96 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-07-04 to 2026-07-04. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Rated #2 in this field (76.0)Only 1 run at this distanceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
#3INSTANT FORCE (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 3 · OR · Clifford Lee / K. R. Burke
MARKET 3.15
Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−
75.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
75.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 75
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
12
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 103.28% (strong late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
2ndClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 75
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
K. R. Burke · 1714 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.9 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3) ✦92/52017.7%1.0511/4723.4%1.25
Too few runners to read reliably
At Hamilton Park (small sample)14/4928.6%1.43/1421.4%1.02
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 75 is below the ~76.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 5
+0.12 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.6 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph1st of 5
+0.00s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 1 of 1
Finish · closing speed1st of 4
103.3%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length4th of 5
7.23 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-07-05 to 2026-07-05. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Rated #3 in this field (75.0)Only 1 run at this distanceStable in form this week — 6 wins from 22 runsNEARLY WON LTO — traded 1.1 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Race-fit — ran 12 days ago
LTO comment
“close up, led briefly final 1f, edged out close home”
#4TRUMPETY TRUMP (IRE)HELD-UP
DRAW 2 · OR · Daniel Tudhope / Jim Goldie
MARKET backed 15.5 → 12.5
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−
73.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
73.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 73
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
12
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 103.15% (strong late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
3rdClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 73
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jim Goldie · 1461 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.8 on the exchange
Signature angle: kept to the same class, on turf, keeping the same jockey, with a PRO claimer up
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of <=7 ✦43/23318.5%1.118/8321.7%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 5-6f trips71/40917.4%1.449/1565.8%0.51
At this time of year (Q3)70/41816.7%1.36/679.0%0.62
Coming back after 8 to 14 days66/31421.0%1.7112/11810.2%0.76
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 73 is below the ~76.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 5
-0.20 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 41.2 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 5
+0.15s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 4
103.2%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length2nd of 5
7.47 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-07-05 to 2026-07-05. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 1 run at this distanceStable cold this week — 2 wins from 31 runsRace-fit — ran 12 days agoSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Held-Up) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“held up, went prominent before halfway, ridden over 2f out, every chance final 1f, ran on”
#5SAVOY BLUE (IRE)HELD-UP
DRAW 4 · OR · Lauren Young / Jim Goldie
MARKET drifting 80 → 250
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
14.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
14.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 14
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
22
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 98.65% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jim Goldie · 1461 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.8 on the exchange
Signature angle: kept to the same class, on turf, keeping the same jockey, with a PRO claimer up
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days45/41710.8%0.9722/15314.4%1.24
In fields of <=7 ✦43/23318.5%1.118/8321.7%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 5-6f trips71/40917.4%1.449/1565.8%0.51
At this time of year (Q3)70/41816.7%1.36/679.0%0.62
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 14 is below the ~76.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 5
-0.52 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.6 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 5
+0.20s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 4
98.7%
One-paced late
Stride length3rd of 5
7.31 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
25 Jun 26Hamilton Park5fGd/Frm7thFast early42.3 -0.3595.0+0.12
20 Jun 26Ayr6fSoft6thTrue38.6 -0.69102.3+0.27
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-06-20 to 2026-06-25. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 2 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 2 wins from 31 runs