THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 51.26% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.17s off the lead. The measured order tops BRANDENBURG on 74, 4pts clear of BEAUTY FOR LOVE (IRE). BRANDENBURG: one-paced late — 4th of 5 on late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front. The shape danger is BEAUTY FOR LOVE (IRE) — just behind the quickest early pair — presses, without over-committing — and holds on late.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 5
BRANDENBURG
OR 70 · David Egan / Noel Wilson
MARKET backed 3.3 → 2.74
74.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (74.0)Race-fit — ran 6 days ago
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 2
BEAUTY FOR LOVE (IRE)
OR 73 · Daniel Muscutt / Charlie Johnston
MARKET drifting 4.6 → 6.6
70.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−Drops in class todayRated #2 in this field (70.0)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 4
FERN CLYDE
OR 74 · S. B. Kirrane / Tim Easterby
MARKET drifting 6.2 → 7.2
64.7FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayRated #3 in this field (64.7)Historically underestimated by the market
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1BRANDENBURGnet +8figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band − habitually slow away
2FERN CLYDEnet +8drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), quickest early type, sharp from the stalls, energy in the winning band, proven at trip, yard positive in today’s setup
3TANGO HOTELnet +7drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 speed vs its fields, yard positive in today’s setup
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (2 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 5 runners · stalls 1–5
12345
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner.
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: BRANDENBURG is 0/1 on softer ground · BEAUTY FOR LOVE (IRE) is 0/2 on softer ground · FERN CLYDE is 1/1 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
FERN CLYDEFRONT50.9%97.4the quickest of today's early types, at the tempo that wins here — but empties in the final 2f · sharp from the stalls
BEAUTY FOR LOVE (IRE)PROMINENT50.4%102.4just behind the quickest early pair — presses, without over-committing — and holds on late
TANGO HOTELMID49.9%100.2the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — needs them to stop in front
BRANDENBURGMID50.5%99.9one-paced late — 4th of 5 on late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
QUIET SOUL (IRE)MID49.7%100.8the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
FERN CLYDEFRONTtypically ~2.5 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
BEAUTY FOR LOVE (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.8 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.08s off the field’s best
nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1BRANDENBURGMIDFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 5 · OR 70 · David Egan / Noel Wilson
MARKET backed 3.3 → 2.74
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−
74.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
74.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 74
Official mark (OR)
70 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 3 tries · beats market expectation (24.82)
Days since last run
6
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.6s) · best on the clock in its race Usually races prominent · clock read is off a superseded run
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Noel Wilson · 79 runs since 2024
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 4-5 company0/260.0%0.00/100.0%0.0
Over 5-6f trips0/250.0%0.00/150.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)0/210.0%0.00/60.0%0.0
On turf0/260.0%0.00/250.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
At Hamilton Park (small sample)0/30.0%0.00/20.0%0.0
In fields of <=7 (small sample)0/70.0%0.00/20.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 73 at/around today's trip, clears the ~66.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 5
+0.21 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 5
+0.45s
Slow away in 2 of 3 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed4th of 5
99.9%
One-paced late
Stride length3rd of 5
7.49 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
11 Jul 26York6fGd/Frm2nd—40.1 +0.02102.0+0.58—
4 May 26Beverley5fGd/Sft1st—39.1 +0.08101.4+0.15
28 Mar 26Doncaster5fGd/Sft12thSlow early40.1 +0.5496.2+0.61
Timed runs 2026-03-28 to 2026-07-11. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (74.0)Only 3 runs at this distanceLost roughly 2.6 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 6 days agoRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“went right start, rear, pushed along under 3f out, headway over 1f out, stayed on”
#2BEAUTY FOR LOVE (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 2 · OR 73 · Daniel Muscutt / Charlie Johnston
MARKET drifting 4.6 → 6.6
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
70.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
70.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 70
Official mark (OR)
73 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 3 tries
Days since last run
14
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.7s) Usually races front-runner (cooked late)
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 102.36% (holds late)
Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charlie Johnston · 2305 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.5 on the exchange
Signature angle: with the mark MARK-FALLING3+
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 5-6f trips ✦17/1948.8%0.682/474.3%0.4
At Hamilton Park9/7811.5%0.842/277.4%0.64
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 66 at/around today's trip, clears the ~66.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 5
+0.08 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 5
+0.08s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 5
102.4%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length1st of 5
7.50 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-05-03 to 2026-07-03. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Drops in class todayRated #2 in this field (70.0)Improving fast — last run rated 70, 9pts above his recent average of 61.0Only 3 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 1 wins from 25 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“led, kicked on 2f out, headed final 1f, one paced”
#3FERN CLYDEFRONT
DRAW 4 · OR 74 · S. B. Kirrane / Tim Easterby
MARKET drifting 6.2 → 7.2
Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−
64.7FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
64.7 · ranked #3 here · career best 72
Official mark (OR)
74 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 5 tries · beats market expectation (1.37)
Days since last run
24
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.7s slower than par — the result flattered it Usually races prominent
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Tim Easterby · 2884 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.8 on the exchange
Signature angle: stepping up in class, at 16+ odds, with their 4yo+s, off a TFR-RISING figure trend, in fields of 12-15
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Hamilton Park8/6512.3%0.817/2330.4%1.96
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 72 at/around today's trip, clears the ~66.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 5
-0.05 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 5
+0.01s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 5
97.4%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 5
7.22 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
23 Jun 26Beverley7fGood3rdTrue40.6 +0.2295.5+0.00
8 Jun 26Pontefract6fGood1stTrue38.0 +0.45100.8+0.00
Timed runs 2026-04-15 to 2026-06-23. · 2 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayRated #3 in this field (64.7)Only 5 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Front — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“led until 2f out, no extra final 1f”
#4TANGO HOTELMID
DRAW 1 · OR 73 · Daniel Tudhope / George Scott
MARKET backed 3.75 → 3.3
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−
64.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
64.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 72
Official mark (OR)
73 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 4 tries · in line with the market (0.96)
Days since last run
1
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.3s) Usually races prominent-closer
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
George Scott · 689 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On turf ✦54/34815.5%1.1820/10419.2%1.19
Over 5-6f trips30/23612.7%0.9616/8020.0%1.16
In Class 4-5 company ✦56/33216.9%1.0918/9419.1%1.15
Too few runners to read reliably
At Hamilton Park (small sample)0/10.0%0.00/10.0%0.0
Coming back after within 7 days (small sample)7/1936.8%1.342/540.0%1.21
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 72 at/around today's trip, clears the ~66.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 5
+0.23 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 5
+0.12s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 5
100.2%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length4th of 5
7.38 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-04-15 to 2026-07-16. · 1 run(s) have no recorded top speed; 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayOnly 4 runs at this distanceRace-fit — ran 1 days agoRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“chased leader, effort 2f out, left behind by winner final 1f”
#5QUIET SOUL (IRE)MID
DRAW 3 · OR 67 · Mark Winn / Michael Dods
MARKET drifting 12 → 23
Yard mixed · 1+ / 1−
50.7FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
50.7 · ranked #5 here · career best 62
Official mark (OR)
67 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 3 tries
Days since last run
35
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.3s) Usually races prominent and weakens
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 100.79% (holds late)
Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael Dods · 1241 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 4-5 company56/56010.0%0.9819/15212.5%1.23
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of <=728/14918.8%1.134/449.1%0.65
Too few runners to read reliably
At Hamilton Park (small sample)6/4912.2%1.01/714.3%1.36
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 64 is below the ~66.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 5
-0.07 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 5
+0.24s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 5
100.8%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length2nd of 5
7.50 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
12 Jun 26York5fGood8thSlow early40.6 -0.19100.7+0.20
20 May 26Ayr5fGd/Frm3rdSlow early41.6 -0.16102.8-0.17
29 Apr 26Southwell4fStd2ndTrue41.8 +0.1499.0+0.29
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-04-29 to 2026-06-12. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Drops in class todayOnly 3 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 2 wins from 12 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question
LTO comment
“mid-division, pushed along over 2f out, weakened final 1f”