THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 51.26% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.17s off the lead. The measured order tops FERROUS (IRE) on 100, 3pts clear of GANGSTA MAN (IRE) and STRIKE RED (IRE) (both 97). FERROUS (IRE): concedes ~1.6L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, without over-committing — but empties in the final 2f.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 1
FERROUS (IRE)
OR 97 · Callum Rodriguez / Jack Channon
MARKET 7
100.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−5lb below his last winning mark (97 today vs 102)Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 2 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (100.0)
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 3
GANGSTA MAN (IRE)
OR 90 · Paul Mulrennan / Jim Goldie
MARKET backed 6 → 5.3
97.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−Rated #2 in this field (97.0)Proven over the trip (17 tries, beats market expectation at 3.3)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically underestimated by the market
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 7
STRIKE RED (IRE)
OR 88 · Billy Garritty / Richard & Peter Fahey
MARKET backed 5.7 → 4.5
97.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 2 todayRated #3 in this field (97.0)Stable in form this week — 3 wins from 23 runsHistorically underestimated by the market
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1SIR GARFIELD (IRE)net +9race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, sharp from the stalls, energy in the winning band, runs the dominant winning style here, proven at trip
2JORDAN ELECTRICSnet +8race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, quickest early type, energy in the winning band, runs the dominant winning style here, proven at trip
3GANGSTA MAN (IRE)net +7figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band, proven at trip − habitually slow away
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
contested early pace likely (3 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 7 runners · stalls 1–8
12345678
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–8).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: FERROUS (IRE) is 0/4 on softer ground · GANGSTA MAN (IRE) is 1/8 on softer ground · STRIKE RED (IRE) is 1/8 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
FERROUS (IRE)PROMINENT49.9%98.4concedes ~1.6L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, without over-committing — but empties in the final 2f
COMMANCHE FALLSMID51.6%96.7held up without the late gear (7th of 7 on late speed), races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
GANGSTA MAN (IRE)HELD-UP50.6%97.7held up without the late gear (5th of 7 on late speed), races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
STRIKE RED (IRE)MID51.6%98.0held up without the late gear (4th of 7 on late speed), races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
SAINT LAWRENCE (IRE)MID51.5%97.5held up without the late gear (6th of 7 on late speed), races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
JORDAN ELECTRICSPROMINENT51.1%98.5the quickest of today's early types, at the tempo that wins here — but holds one pace late
SIR GARFIELD (IRE)PROMINENT50.6%98.6a match for the quickest early, at the tempo that wins here — but holds one pace late · sharp from the stalls
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
JORDAN ELECTRICSPROMINENTtypically ~2 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.18s off the field’s best
SIR GARFIELD (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.6 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
FERROUS (IRE)PROMINENTa shade quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.13s off the field’s best
nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1FERROUS (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 1 · OR 97 · Callum Rodriguez / Jack Channon
MARKET 7
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
100.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
100.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 111
Official mark (OR)
97 · last won off 102
Record at today's distance
6 wins from 24 tries · beats market expectation (1.49)
Days since last run
20
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.7s) Usually races prominent
Career sheet · last 18 months · 11 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jack Channon · 747 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.0 on the exchange
Signature angle: over 7-8f trips, when the yard has won in the last 3 days
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)31/23413.2%0.971/185.6%0.45
Over 5-6f trips38/20718.4%1.278/7011.4%0.78
Too few runners to read reliably
At Hamilton Park (small sample)1/911.1%0.620/10.0%0.0
Below their last winning mark (small sample)0/50.0%0.00/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 113 at/around today's trip, clears the ~97.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 7
+0.02 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 7
+0.13s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 7
98.4%
One-paced late
Stride length6th of 7
7.48 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 Jun 26Newcastle6fSlow6thFast early42.0 -0.0597.9+0.29
3 Apr 26Newcastle6fStd5thTrue40.7 +0.1496.0+0.15
7 Mar 26Wolverhampton7fStd6thTrue39.3 -0.22100.9+0.00
27 Feb 26Lingfield6fStd/Slow2ndSlow early42.7 +0.00108.7+0.00
31 Jan 26Lingfield6fStd/Slow4thTrue42.7 +0.55103.9+0.42
Timed runs 2025-09-19 to 2026-06-27. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
5lb below his last winning mark (97 today vs 102)Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 2 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (100.0)Proven over the trip (24 tries, beats market expectation at 1.49)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“mid-field, pushed along around halfway, not quicken 2f out, stayed on”
#2GANGSTA MAN (IRE)HELD-UP
DRAW 3 · OR 90 · Paul Mulrennan / Jim Goldie
MARKET backed 6 → 5.3
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−
97.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
97.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 97
Official mark (OR)
90 · last won off 86
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 17 tries · beats market expectation (3.3)
Days since last run
22
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock Usually races held-up closer
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 97.68% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 10 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jim Goldie · 1461 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.8 on the exchange
Signature angle: kept to the same class, on turf, keeping the same jockey, with a PRO claimer up
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days45/41710.8%0.9722/15314.4%1.24
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 5-6f trips71/40917.4%1.449/1565.8%0.51
At this time of year (Q3)70/41816.7%1.36/679.0%0.62
In Class 1-3 company18/1939.3%1.223/585.2%0.65
Above their last winning mark96/45321.2%1.4318/16610.8%0.77
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 97 at/around today's trip, clears the ~97.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 7
+0.26 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 41.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 7
+0.49s
Slow away in 3 of 4 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed5th of 7
97.7%
One-paced late
Stride length2nd of 7
7.81 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
25 Jun 26Hamilton Park5fGd/Frm1stTrue44.5 +0.8498.3+0.44
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.65par2f+0.57par3f+0.52par4f+0.52par5fledpar
Timed runs 2026-04-04 to 2026-06-25. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
4lb above his last winning mark (90 today vs 86)Yet to win at this level — a Class 3 winner, upped to Class 2 todayRated #2 in this field (97.0)Improving fast — last run rated 97, 13pts above his recent average of 83.3Proven over the trip (17 tries, beats market expectation at 3.3)Stable cold this week — 2 wins from 31 runsLost roughly 2.0 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 1 here)
LTO comment
“slowly away, rear, headway when short of room under 2f out, kept on well final 1f, led close home”
#3STRIKE RED (IRE)MID
DRAW 7 · OR 88 · Billy Garritty / Richard & Peter Fahey
MARKET backed 5.7 → 4.5
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
97.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
97.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 105
Official mark (OR)
88 · last won off 86
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 28 tries · beats market expectation (1.16)
Days since last run
20
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.4s slower than par — the result flattered it Usually races midfield-closer · clock read is off a superseded run
Career sheet · last 18 months · 19 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard & Peter Fahey · 371 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Above their last winning mark—17/11914.3%1.49
In fields of 8-11—23/17413.2%1.27
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Hamilton Park—2/2010.0%0.77
In Class 1-3 company—6/1015.9%0.81
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 105 at/around today's trip, clears the ~97.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 7
-0.14 mph
About the level of its fields · 42.0 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 7
+0.16s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 7
98.0%
One-paced late
Stride length3rd of 7
7.75 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 Jun 26Newcastle6fSlow2nd—41.5 +0.0097.8——
6 Jun 26Epsom Downs6fSoft4thFast early41.8 -0.5294.3+0.13
Timed runs 2026-04-13 to 2026-06-27. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 2 todayRated #3 in this field (97.0)Stable in form this week — 3 wins from 23 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“held up, pushed along over 2f out, some late headway”
#4SIR GARFIELD (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 6 · OR 80 · Jason Hart / John & Sean Quinn
MARKET backed 10 → 7.4
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−
92.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
92.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 92
Official mark (OR)
80 · last won off 77
Record at today's distance
6 wins from 25 tries · beats market expectation (1.61)
Days since last run
16
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.2s) · best on the clock in its race Usually races front-runner · clock read is off a superseded run
Career sheet · last 18 months · 18 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
John & Sean Quinn · 775 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 1-3 company11/1248.9%0.933/3010.0%1.83
Above their last winning mark17/13912.2%0.868/4617.4%1.75
Over 5-6f trips35/32810.7%0.9712/8713.8%1.65
In fields of 8-1129/3328.7%0.788/6711.9%1.36
On turf46/4859.5%0.849/969.4%1.25
Too few runners to read reliably
At Hamilton Park (small sample)3/1816.7%1.290/40.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)28/27810.1%0.911/119.1%1.57
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 90 is below the ~97.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 7
-0.11 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 7
-0.03s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 5 of 6
Finish · closing speed1st of 7
98.6%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 7
7.73 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
4 Nov 25Redcar7fGood7thFast early41.3 +0.2094.8-0.10
20 Sep 25Ayr7fSoft6thTrue39.2 -0.4299.0+0.00
29 Aug 25Thirsk6fGood9thTrue42.1 -0.0997.4+0.00
12 Aug 25Hamilton Park6fGd/Frm1stTrue43.8 +0.2797.3+0.00
Timed runs 2025-08-12 to 2026-07-01. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
3lb above his last winning mark (80 today vs 77)Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 2 todayImproving fast — last run rated 92, 9pts above his recent average of 82.7Proven over the trip (25 tries, beats market expectation at 1.61)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (2 from 3 here)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“led, pushed along 2f out, joined inside final 1f, edged ahead again close home”
#5COMMANCHE FALLSMID
DRAW 2 · OR 97 · Mark Winn / Michael Dods
MARKET backed 26 → 22
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 1−
89.3FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
89.3 · ranked #6 here · career best 116
Official mark (OR)
97 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 25 tries · in line with the market (0.98)
Days since last run
279
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.5s slower than par — the result flattered it Usually races midfield-closer
Career sheet · last 18 months · 10 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads. · last rated run 279 days ago
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael Dods · 1241 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 180 days+5/4910.2%1.611/244.2%0.78
Too few runners to read reliably
At Hamilton Park (small sample)6/4912.2%1.01/714.3%1.36
In Class 1-3 company (small sample)10/1506.7%0.961/185.6%0.95
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 116 at/around today's trip, clears the ~97.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 7
-0.12 mph
About the level of its fields · 42.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 7
+0.25s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 7
96.7%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 7
7.86 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2025-07-18 to 2025-10-11 · last timed run 279 days ago — the profile is out of date. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 1 winner, racing in Class 2 todayStable in form this week — 2 wins from 12 runsReturns from 279 days offHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“rear, plugged on”
#6JORDAN ELECTRICSPROMINENT
DRAW 4 · OR 84 · Lauren Young / Jim Goldie
MARKET backed 8.2 → 5.1
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−
84.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
84.0 · ranked #7 here · career best 109
Official mark (OR)
84 · last won off 96
Record at today's distance
10 wins from 36 tries · beats market expectation (2.44)
Days since last run
11
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.5s) · faster than its field on the clock Usually races prominent and weakens · clock read is off a superseded run
Career sheet · last 18 months · 15 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jim Goldie · 1461 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.8 on the exchange
Signature angle: kept to the same class, on turf, keeping the same jockey, with a PRO claimer up
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 5-6f trips71/40917.4%1.449/1565.8%0.51
At this time of year (Q3)70/41816.7%1.36/679.0%0.62
In Class 1-3 company18/1939.3%1.223/585.2%0.65
Coming back after 8 to 14 days66/31421.0%1.7112/11810.2%0.76
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 109 at/around today's trip, clears the ~97.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 7
-0.16 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 41.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 7
+0.18s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 7
98.5%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 7
7.66 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
6 Jul 26Ayr6fGd/Frm8th—42.9 +0.0599.4+0.11—
17 Jun 26Hamilton Park5fGd/Sft4thTrue43.5 -0.0197.8+0.31
30 May 26Carlisle5fGd/Frm5thTrue39.5 -0.58103.1+0.14
17 May 26Hamilton Park5fGood9thTrue44.1 -0.0596.4+0.33
Timed runs 2026-04-16 to 2026-07-06. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
12lb below his last winning mark (84 today vs 96)Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 2 todayProven over the trip (36 tries, beats market expectation at 2.44)Stable cold this week — 2 wins from 31 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 11 days agoHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (6 from 9 here)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“chased leaders, effort over 2f out, weakened final 1f”
#7SAINT LAWRENCE (IRE)MID
DRAW 8 · OR 85 · Kevin Stott / Kevin Ryan
MARKET drifting 9 → 12
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−
82.7FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
82.7 · ranked #8 here · career best 113
Official mark (OR)
85 · last won off 100
Record at today's distance
1 win from 16 tries · beats market expectation (1.76)
Days since last run
41
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.3s slower than par — the result flattered it Usually races midfield
Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Kevin Ryan · 1202 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-1146/40311.4%0.9522/12218.0%1.47
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)37/4218.8%0.92/296.9%0.75
In Class 1-3 company35/4008.8%1.018/1236.5%0.77
Too few runners to read reliably
At Hamilton Park (small sample)6/4413.6%0.953/1520.0%1.44
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 113 at/around today's trip, clears the ~97.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 7
-0.19 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 41.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 7
+0.22s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed6th of 7
97.5%
One-paced late
Stride length7th of 7
7.41 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
6 Jun 26Epsom Downs6fSoft12thFast early41.5 -0.7493.7+0.11
8 May 26Ascot6fGood2ndTrue40.5 -0.1299.9+0.09
2 Oct 25Salisbury6fGd/Sft9thTrue39.6 +0.16100.5+0.52
Timed runs 2025-08-02 to 2026-06-06. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
15lb below his last winning mark (85 today vs 100)Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 2 todayProven over the trip (16 tries, beats market expectation at 1.76)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“mid-field, ridden over 2f out, weakened final 1f”