THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Even/unclear early shape. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 49.6% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.2s off the lead. The measured order tops FAITH IN FLORENCE (IRE) on 72, 22pts clear of LILYWHITE HART. FAITH IN FLORENCE (IRE): the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it. The shape danger is LILYWHITE HART — a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 12
FAITH IN FLORENCE (IRE)
OR · Kieran Shoemark / Ed Walker
MARKET backed 3.1 → 2.5
72.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−The top rating in this field (72.0)Stable in form this week — 5 wins from 16 runsMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare result
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 2
LILYWHITE HART
OR · John Egan / Dean Ivory
MARKET backed 300 → 140
50.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−Rated #3 in this field (50.0)Jockey goes well at this track (2.43x market expectation)
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 9
PHILLIPA
OR · Saffie Osborne / James Horton
MARKET backed 75 → 40
20.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #4 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1FAITH IN FLORENCE (IRE)net +4figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, backed since morning
2PHILLIPAnet +4race-fit (ran <=45d), backed since morning, energy in the winning band, FormLab watch flag
3LILYWHITE HARTnet +3race-fit (ran <=45d), backed since morning, FormLab watch flag
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (no confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 11 runners · stalls 1–13
12345678910111213
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner.
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: FAITH IN FLORENCE (IRE) is 0/1 on softer ground · LILYWHITE HART is 0/1 on softer ground · PHILLIPA is 0/1 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
AL SAMSAMA (IRE)———-
FAITH IN FLORENCE (IRE)MID47.3%107.2the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
LADY HENSHAW (IRE)———-
LADY OF HAY———-
LILYWHITE HARTHELD-UP47.3%106.7a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
NEXT OF KIN———-
PHILLIPAHELD-UP49.7%99.8the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
TAKAAFUL———-
VIRTUE HUMBLE———-
WIG WAM BAM (IRE)———-
WINDMILL (IRE)———-
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1FAITH IN FLORENCE (IRE)MID
DRAW 12 · OR · Kieran Shoemark / Ed Walker
MARKET backed 3.1 → 2.5
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−
72.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
72.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 72
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
29
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 107.25% (strong late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
4thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 72
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ed Walker · 1094 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: stepping up in class, at 8-16 odds, at this time of year (Q2)
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On turf ✦89/59415.0%1.0334/19717.3%1.26
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of 12-1517/14811.5%1.163/506.0%0.59
Over 5-6f trips ✦31/22114.0%0.9210/8611.6%0.77
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 71 at/around today's trip, clears the ~70.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 3
+0.07 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.6 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph1st of 3
+0.26s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 3
107.2%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length3rd of 3
6.94 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
18 Jun 26Yarmouth6fGd/Frm4thSlow early40.6 +0.07107.2+0.26
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.32slow2f+0.31very slow3f+0.32slow4f+0.19par5f+0.21fast6f+0.34very fast
Timed runs 2026-06-18 to 2026-06-18. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
The top rating in this field (72.0)Only 1 run at this distanceStable in form this week — 5 wins from 16 runsMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare result
LTO comment
“mid-field, headway from 2f out, short of room approaching final 1f, more to give”
#2LILYWHITE HARTHELD-UPFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 2 · OR · John Egan / Dean Ivory
MARKET backed 300 → 140
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−
50.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
50.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 50
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
25
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 106.74% (strong late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
9thClass 4 · 6.1f · rated 50
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Dean Ivory · 294 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 8.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On turf3/803.8%0.41/175.9%1.16
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 5-6f trips2/345.9%0.980/160.0%0.0
In fields of 12-155/707.1%1.030/160.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)6/837.2%0.911/425.0%3.79
At Newbury (small sample)0/30.0%0.00/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 50 is below the ~70.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 3
+0.00 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.9 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 3
+0.76s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 3
106.7%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length2nd of 3
7.09 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
22 Jun 26Windsor6fGd/Frm9thTrue39.9 +0.00106.7+0.76
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-06-08 to 2026-06-08. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 1 run at this distanceRun-style and sectional profile are mismatched to how this course & distance is won
LTO comment
“missed break, always behind”
#4AL SAMSAMA (IRE)
DRAW 8 · OR · William Buick / Richard Hughes
MARKET backed 14.5 → 9.8
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 1−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Hughes · 1044 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of 12-1523/16014.4%1.193/486.2%0.79
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)2/474.3%0.440/170.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
Stable in form this week — 2 wins from 10 runs
#5LADY HENSHAW (IRE)
DRAW 5 · OR · Connor Beasley / Patrick Owens
MARKET backed 32 → 23
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Patrick Owens · 128 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 19.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 12-152/258.0%1.41/520.0%5.65
At Newbury1/425.0%3.83—
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 4-5 company3/565.4%0.830/90.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)4/458.9%1.060/40.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
Over 5-6f trips (small sample)2/219.5%1.390/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
Jockey goes well at this track (4.15x market expectation)
#6LADY OF HAY
DRAW 4 · OR · Oisin Murphy / Andrew Balding
MARKET backed 10 → 7.4
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Andrew Balding · 2418 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.0 on the exchange
Signature angle: kept to the same class, at Newcastle, off a steady mark, at 4-8 odds, dropping in trip
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 12-1540/34511.6%0.9216/9117.6%1.2
In Class 4-5 company ✦184/96219.1%1.0355/22124.9%1.17
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Newbury21/9522.1%1.473/2711.1%0.8
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
#7NEXT OF KIN
DRAW 7 · OR · Tom Marquand / William Haggas
MARKET backed 10 → 8.6
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
William Haggas · 1572 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 5-6f trips ✦65/27823.4%1.2312/6917.4%1.22
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)134/54924.4%1.125/4511.1%0.52
In fields of 12-1536/21716.6%1.088/6612.1%0.78
In Class 4-5 company164/66824.6%1.0325/13318.8%0.83
At Newbury21/9123.1%1.193/2213.6%0.84
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
Stable cold this week — 2 wins from 27 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.39x market expectation)
#8TAKAAFUL
DRAW 11 · OR · Jack Callan / George Boughey
MARKET backed 16.5 → 12.5
Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
George Boughey · 1370 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: over 9-10f trips
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 5-6f trips ✦70/37918.5%1.0118/6926.1%1.31
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)4/2615.4%0.951/1010.0%0.85
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
#9VIRTUE HUMBLE
DRAW 13 · OR · Pat Dobbs / Amanda Perrett
MARKET backed 140 → 100
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Amanda Perrett · 211 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 8.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)5/677.5%0.871/714.3%1.21
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Newbury0/70.0%0.00/50.0%0.0
In Class 4-5 company9/1108.2%0.822/296.9%0.53
On turf4/884.5%0.541/283.6%0.53
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
Jockey goes well at this track (1.4x market expectation)
#10WIG WAM BAM (IRE)
DRAW 6 · OR · Charles Bishop / Jack Channon
MARKET backed 36 → 23
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jack Channon · 747 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.0 on the exchange
Signature angle: over 7-8f trips, when the yard has won in the last 3 days
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 4-5 company ✦57/30019.0%1.2213/8615.1%1.17
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)31/23413.2%0.971/185.6%0.45
In fields of 12-1518/11016.4%1.863/427.1%0.75
Over 5-6f trips38/20718.4%1.278/7011.4%0.78
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)3/456.7%0.962/1414.3%2.24
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
#11WINDMILL (IRE)
DRAW 1 · OR · Sean Levey / Ollie Sangster
MARKET backed 34 → 19.5
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ollie Sangster · 704 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange
Signature angle: keeping the same jockey
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 12-156/956.3%0.737/3321.2%2.34
At this time of year (Q3)20/17311.6%0.834/2317.4%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
On turf ✦29/26011.2%0.89/1068.5%0.71
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)0/230.0%0.01/812.5%1.8
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.