THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Measured on their own past openings, LIGHTNING GLORY (IRE) should reach the front first — roughly 1.0 lengths faster to the 2f marker than the next early type. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 49.16% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 5 at halfway, 0.31s off the lead. The measured order tops LIGHTNING GLORY (IRE) on 81, 1pts clear of NAME THE DAY and ARETI (both 80). LIGHTNING GLORY (IRE): the quickest of today's early types, at the tempo that wins here — and finds plenty late. The shape danger is PIERPOINT (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 2
LIGHTNING GLORY (IRE)
OR 71 · Rossa Ryan / Simon & Ed Crisford
MARKET drifting 6.2 → 8.6
81.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−The top rating in this field (81.0)Stable in form this week — 3 wins from 12 runsRace-fit — ran 12 days agoRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 7
NAME THE DAY
OR 75 · Charles Bishop / Eve Johnson Houghton
MARKET drifting 16 → 20
80.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayRated #2 in this field (80.0)Stable in form this week — 3 wins from 12 runs
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 4
ARETI
OR 75 · William Buick / Oliver Cole
MARKET 10
80.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−Rated #3 in this field (80.0)Race-fit — ran 12 days agoRuns Front — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1NAME THE DAYnet +7figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), energy in the winning band, yard positive in today’s setup, yard hot
2LIGHTNING GLORY (IRE)net +6figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), quickest early type, energy in the winning band, runs the dominant winning style here, yard hot − figure earned on another surface
3ARETInet +6race-fit (ran <=45d), sharp from the stalls, energy in the winning band, runs the dominant winning style here, yard positive in today’s setup, yard hot
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Worth A Second Look
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
ACCADEMIA FIGURE #5
Ed Walker's runners on turf win 17.3% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
RAJIBA FIGURE #6
Richard Hughes's runners dropping in class win 18.6% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Richard Hughes's runners coming back after 15 to 45 days win 13.4% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
PIERPOINT (IRE) FIGURE #9
drops in class and returns quickly — the two angles our testing shows genuinely tighten a profile.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
contested early pace likely (4 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 10 runners · stalls 1–10
12345678910
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–10).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: LIGHTNING GLORY (IRE) is unraced on softer ground · NAME THE DAY is unraced on softer ground · ARETI is 0/3 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
NAME THE DAYMID49.5%102.2solid late gains (7th of 10 on late speed here), races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
ARETIFRONT48.5%102.9concedes ~2.0L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, at the tempo that wins here — and holds on late · sharp from the stalls
PIERPOINT (IRE)MID48.0%106.0the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
RAJIBAPROMINENT48.2%104.9just behind the quickest early pair — presses, without over-committing — and finds plenty late
LUMINARE (IRE)HELD-UP48.3%104.6a genuine turn of foot — 4th-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
ACCADEMIAHELD-UP48.7%105.4a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
STARLIGHT SAMI (IRE)MID49.3%101.2solid late gains (8th of 10 on late speed here), races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
LIGHTNING GLORY (IRE)PROMINENT48.9%103.9the quickest of today's early types, at the tempo that wins here — and finds plenty late
MAJD AL KAZEM (FR)MID52.1%93.7held up without the late gear (10th of 10 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
BERLINETTAPROMINENT49.9%99.7concedes ~1.6L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late · sharp from the stalls
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
LIGHTNING GLORY (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~3.3 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.10s off the field’s best
RAJIBAPROMINENTtypically ~2.3 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.13s off the field’s best
BERLINETTAPROMINENTtypically ~1.7 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
ARETIFRONTtypically ~1.3 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
measured on their own past openings, LIGHTNING GLORY (IRE) should reach the front first — roughly 1.0 lengths faster to the 2f marker than the next early type · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1LIGHTNING GLORY (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 2 · OR 71 · Rossa Ryan / Simon & Ed Crisford
MARKET drifting 6.2 → 8.6
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−
81.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
81.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 81
Official mark (OR)
71 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 3 tries
Days since last run
12
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.3s) · faster than its field on the clock Usually races front-runner
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 103.94% (strong late)
Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Simon & Ed Crisford · 861 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.9 on the exchange
Signature angle: stepping up in class
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)59/29120.3%1.165/2520.0%1.51
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 7-8f trips ✦45/29615.2%0.947/6710.4%0.68
In Class 4-5 company ✦87/44619.5%0.9912/9612.5%0.77
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)1/234.3%0.390/70.0%0.0
Coming back after 8 to 14 days (small sample)9/7412.2%0.751/1010.0%0.7
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 80 is below the ~81.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 10
+0.34 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 38.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 10
+0.10s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 10
103.9%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length1st of 10
7.43 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
5 Jul 26Southwell8fStd2ndTrue38.0 -0.23104.8—
4 Jun 26Lingfield10fStd4thTrue39.8 +1.02109.2+0.12
Timed runs 2026-04-30 to 2026-07-05. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Figure OFF-CONTEXT (aw→turf) — earned under different conditionsThe top rating in this field (81.0)Improving fast — last run rated 81, 11pts above his recent average of 69.7Only 3 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 3 wins from 12 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 12 days agoRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“led until under 3f out, no extra final 1f”
#2NAME THE DAYMID
DRAW 7 · OR 75 · Charles Bishop / Eve Johnson Houghton
MARKET drifting 16 → 20
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−
80.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
80.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 80
Official mark (OR)
75 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 1 tries · beats market expectation (40.0)
Days since last run
14
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.7s) · faster than its field on the clock Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 102.23% (holds late)
Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Eve Johnson Houghton · 1034 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: off a TFR-FALLING figure trend
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3) ✦38/36410.4%1.028/3423.5%1.41
Over 7-8f trips ✦39/35311.0%1.1515/9416.0%1.28
Coming back after 8 to 14 days ✦21/13116.0%1.49/4122.0%1.27
On turf ✦64/57611.1%1.0625/16814.9%1.24
In Class 4-5 company ✦66/49713.3%1.1423/14216.2%1.17
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)5/875.7%0.681/166.2%0.47
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 84 at/around today's trip, clears the ~81.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 10
+0.23 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 41.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 10
+0.19s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 10
102.2%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length6th of 10
7.24 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayRated #2 in this field (80.0)Improving fast — last run rated 80, 22pts above his recent average of 57.7Only 1 run at this distanceStable in form this week — 3 wins from 12 runs
LTO comment
“mid-field, little impression”
#3ARETIFRONT
DRAW 4 · OR 75 · William Buick / Oliver Cole
MARKET 10
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
80.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
80.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 80
Official mark (OR)
75 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 7 tries
Days since last run
12
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock Usually races front-runner
Career sheet · last 18 months · 7 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Oliver Cole · 146 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)1/303.3%0.283/1225.0%2.57
In fields of 8-113/378.1%0.656/3915.4%1.44
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 7-8f trips4/3611.1%0.933/407.5%0.72
In Class 4-5 company ✦5/4211.9%0.875/578.8%0.77
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 81 at/around today's trip, clears the ~81.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 10
+0.43 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 39.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 10
+0.03s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed6th of 10
102.9%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length3rd of 10
7.39 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
5 Jul 26Southwell8fStd4thTrue38.5 +0.24104.5+0.05
25 Jun 26Newmarket7fGd/Frm2ndSlow early40.0 +0.00103.4-0.08
9 Jun 26Salisbury6fHeavy5thTrue36.8 +0.7294.0+0.20
1 Jan 26Southwell8fStd2ndTrue39.5 +1.23105.5+0.01
10 Dec 25Kempton Park7fStd2ndSlow early40.9 +0.33109.2+0.00
1 Nov 25Newmarket7fGood6thSlow early40.1 +0.07101.0-0.03
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-11-01 to 2026-07-05. · 3 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Rated #3 in this field (80.0)Improving fast — last run rated 80, 10pts above his recent average of 69.7Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 12 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Front — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“close up, shaken up 2f out, led soon after, headed inside final 1f, kept on”
#4LUMINARE (IRE)HELD-UPFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 10 · OR 73 · Tom Marquand / William Haggas
MARKET drifting 6.4 → 7.2
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 5−
79.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
79.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 79
Official mark (OR)
73 · last won off 71
Record at today's distance
1 win from 6 tries · in line with the market (1.04)
Days since last run
36
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.6s) · faster than its field on the clock Usually races held-up closer
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 104.57% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
William Haggas · 1572 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)134/54924.4%1.125/4511.1%0.52
Over 7-8f trips104/51320.3%1.023/14715.6%0.75
In Class 4-5 company164/66824.6%1.0325/13318.8%0.83
At Newbury21/9123.1%1.193/2213.6%0.84
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦138/63321.8%0.9826/14917.4%0.84
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 81 at/around today's trip, clears the ~81.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 10
+0.49 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 10
+0.18s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 10
104.6%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length7th of 10
7.12 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
11 Jun 26Newbury8fGd/Sft2ndTrue38.8 +0.57102.0+0.68
26 May 26Lingfield7fGood3rdTrue42.3 +0.1198.6+0.22
29 Jan 26Lingfield8fStd2ndTrue40.8 +0.85106.4+0.04
1 Jan 26Southwell7fStd6thSlow early40.0 +0.42106.4+0.07
16 Dec 25Newcastle7fSlow1stFast early40.8 +0.81110.3+0.00
26 Nov 25Chelmsford City7fSlow3rdSlow early39.2 +0.18103.7+0.09
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-11-26 to 2026-06-11. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayStable cold this week — 2 wins from 27 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.39x market expectation)Lost roughly 3.1 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“dwelt, rear, headway when short of room under 2f out, got gap final 100 yds, kept on, no impression on winner”
#5ACCADEMIAHELD-UP
DRAW 8 · OR 72 · Kieran Shoemark / Ed Walker
MARKET backed 4 → 3.5
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−
77.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
77.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 77
Official mark (OR)
72 · last won off 65
Record at today's distance
1 win from 5 tries · beats market expectation (3.56)
Days since last run
14
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class Usually races held-up closer · clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 105.39% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ed Walker · 1094 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: stepping up in class, at 8-16 odds, at this time of year (Q2)
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-1151/41712.2%0.928/12921.7%1.49
On turf ✦89/59415.0%1.0334/19717.3%1.26
Over 7-8f trips52/41412.6%0.9825/13718.2%1.19
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Above their last winning mark ✦16/10615.1%0.924/419.8%0.75
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after 8 to 14 days (small sample)6/4712.8%0.961/911.1%0.93
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 77 is below the ~81.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields8th of 10
-0.05 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph10th of 10
+0.44s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 10
105.4%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length2nd of 10
7.42 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2025-09-09 to 2026-07-03. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
7lb above his last winning mark (72 today vs 65)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayOnly 5 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 5 wins from 16 runsLost roughly 2.2 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“waited with, progress over 1f out, carried head bit awkwardly, led final ½f, soon clear”
#6RAJIBAPROMINENT
DRAW 6 · OR 74 · Oisin Murphy / Richard Hughes
MARKET backed 6.8 → 6
Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−
75.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
75.0 · ranked #6 here · career best 75
Official mark (OR)
74 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
15
Sectional clock
Last time: 0.9s slower than par — the result flattered it · faster than its field on the clock Usually races prominent-closer
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 104.88% (strong late)
Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Hughes · 1044 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-11 ✦60/39915.0%1.0825/14317.5%1.38
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)2/474.3%0.440/170.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 73 is below the ~81.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 10
+0.48 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 10
+0.13s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 10
104.9%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length5th of 10
7.28 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2025-11-08 to 2026-07-02. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Figure OFF-CONTEXT (aw→turf) — earned under different conditionsDrops in class todayOnly 2 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 2 wins from 10 runsNEARLY WON LTO — traded 1.33 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Runs Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“led, pushed along over 2f out, went clear over 1f out, closed down final 100 yds, headed close home”
#7STARLIGHT SAMI (IRE)MID
DRAW 1 · OR 71 · George Bass / Denis Coakley
MARKET backed 17.5 → 15.5
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
65FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
65 · ranked #7 here · career best 77
Official mark (OR)
71 · last won off 68
Record at today's distance
1 win from 4 tries · beats market expectation (1.57)
Days since last run
24
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.8s slower than par — the result flattered it Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 101.19% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 7 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Denis Coakley · 220 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 4-5 company6/1045.8%0.647/3520.0%1.82
Coming back after 15 to 45 days12/10411.5%0.924/2615.4%1.2
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)6/659.2%0.780/50.0%0.0
In fields of 8-117/917.7%0.71/263.8%0.33
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)0/120.0%0.00/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 80 is below the ~81.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 10
+0.02 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 10
+0.16s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed8th of 10
101.2%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length8th of 10
7.08 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
23 Jun 26Newbury7fGd/Frm10thFast early41.0 -0.4094.1+0.15
Timed runs 2025-06-28 to 2026-06-23. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
3lb above his last winning mark (71 today vs 68)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayOnly 4 runs at this distanceHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“mid-field, effort 3f out, had to wait for gap over 2f out, headway after, led final 100 yds, found extra”
#8BERLINETTAPROMINENT
DRAW 3 · OR 65 · Connor Beasley / Jack Channon
MARKET 24
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
63.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
63.0 · ranked #8 here · career best 67
Official mark (OR)
65 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
172
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.5s) Usually races prominent and weakens
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads. · last rated run 172 days ago
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jack Channon · 747 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.0 on the exchange
Signature angle: over 7-8f trips, when the yard has won in the last 3 days
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 7-8f trips ✦45/24118.7%1.3612/7615.8%1.25
In Class 4-5 company ✦57/30019.0%1.2213/8615.1%1.17
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)31/23413.2%0.971/185.6%0.45
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)3/456.7%0.962/1414.3%2.24
Coming back after 91 to 180 days (small sample)3/1225.0%1.730/80.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 67 is below the ~81.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields9th of 10
-0.32 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 10
+0.01s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed9th of 10
99.7%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 10
7.30 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
26 Jan 26Wolverhampton6fStd5thTrue38.9 -0.57103.0+0.00
Timed runs 2025-07-03 to 2026-01-26 · last timed run 172 days ago — the profile is out of date. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Jockey goes well at this track (4.15x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“handy, ridden over 1f out, weakened final 1f”
#9PIERPOINT (IRE)MID
DRAW 9 · OR 75 · Pat Dobbs / Richard Hannon
MARKET drifting 19.5 → 36
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−
62.7FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
62.7 · ranked #9 here · career best 72
Official mark (OR)
75 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
36
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.6s slower than par — the result flattered it Usually races midfield
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 106.03% (strong late)
Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Hannon · 2075 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Newbury17/16310.4%1.127/5313.2%1.58
Over 7-8f trips65/6799.6%0.8834/21016.2%1.39
At this time of year (Q3)56/6678.4%0.818/5714.0%1.26
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 68 is below the ~81.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields10th of 10
-0.40 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph9th of 10
+0.35s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 10
106.0%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length10th of 10
6.88 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-04-17 to 2026-06-11. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Drops in class todayOnly 2 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 2 wins from 25 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.4x market expectation)
LTO comment
“held up, effort over 3f out, left behind 2f out”
#10MAJD AL KAZEM (FR)MID
DRAW 5 · OR 71 · Saffie Osborne / Hilal Kobeissi
MARKET backed 48 → 42
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 3−
53FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
53 · ranked #10 here · career best 70
Official mark (OR)
71 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 3 tries
Days since last run
268
Sectional clock
Last time: 2.9s slower than par — the result flattered it Usually races midfield and fades · clock read is off a superseded run
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads. · last rated run 268 days ago
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Hilal Kobeissi · 85 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 20.9 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 4-5 company7/5313.2%1.450/80.0%0.0
On turf6/5111.8%1.390/80.0%0.0
In fields of 8-115/3514.3%2.070/40.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)0/10.0%0.0—
Over 7-8f trips (small sample)4/3013.3%2.030/10.0%0.0
Coming back after 180 days+ (small sample)0/20.0%0.00/10.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)5/3514.3%1.790/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 70 is below the ~81.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 10
+0.02 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.4 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph8th of 10
+0.24s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed10th of 10
93.7%
One-paced late
Stride length9th of 10
7.06 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
8 Jul 25Lingfield7fGood4thTrue41.4 +0.3292.6+0.22
10 Jun 25Wolverhampton6fSlow5thFast early40.2 -0.2994.9+0.27
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-06-10 to 2025-07-08 · last timed run 374 days ago — the profile is out of date. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Drops in class todayOnly 3 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionReturns from 268 days off