THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
GREEN SKY (IRE) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 48.41% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 1 at halfway, 0.0s off the lead. The measured order tops GREEN SKY (IRE) on 86, 4pts clear of KOALA ROSE (IRE). GREEN SKY (IRE): the only measured early speed in the race, without over-committing — and finds plenty late. The shape danger is KOALA ROSE (IRE) — a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 2
GREEN SKY (IRE)
OR 75 · Oisin Murphy / Rod Millman
MARKET backed 1.8 → 1.55
86.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayThe top rating in this field (86.0)Stable in form this week — 3 wins from 16 runsRace-fit — ran 7 days ago
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 4
KOALA ROSE (IRE)
OR 78 · Rossa Ryan / Ralph Beckett
MARKET drifting 2.56 → 3
82.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−Drops in class todayRated #2 in this field (82.0)Stable in form this week — 7 wins from 23 runsRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 1
APHRODITE SPIRIT
OR 78 · Joe Leavy / Roger Teal
MARKET drifting 16.5 → 23
81.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−figure earned over 10.0/10.0/8.1f, not today's distance — never rated near today's trip (untested here)Rated #3 in this field (81.0)Runs Held-Up — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1KOALA ROSE (IRE)net +8figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, energy in the winning band, runs the dominant winning style here, yard hot
2GREEN SKY (IRE)net +7figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, yard hot, FormLab watch flag
3APHRODITE SPIRITnet +3form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, energy in the winning band, runs the dominant winning style here − yard cold
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 3 runners · stalls 1–4
1234
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner.
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: GREEN SKY (IRE) is 0/3 on softer ground · KOALA ROSE (IRE) is unraced on softer ground · APHRODITE SPIRIT is 0/2 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
APHRODITE SPIRITHELD-UP48.9%104.3a genuine turn of foot — 3rd-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
GREEN SKY (IRE)PROMINENT46.8%110.7the only measured early speed in the race, without over-committing — and finds plenty late
KOALA ROSE (IRE)MID48.6%104.4a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
GREEN SKY (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.9 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · a beat slow from the stalls (0.26s off the best)
GREEN SKY (IRE) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.
Career sheet · last 18 months · 6 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Rod Millman · 775 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)29/24311.9%0.995/2222.7%1.82
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after within 7 days (small sample)7/1936.8%1.613/650.0%2.13
At Newbury (small sample)4/3611.1%1.270/50.0%0.0
Over 11f+ trips (small sample)3/339.1%0.893/1127.3%1.9
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 87 at/around today's trip, clears the ~82.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 3
+0.10 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 3
+0.26s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 3
110.7%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length3rd of 3
6.75 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
21 Mar 26Southwell12fStd5thTrue36.3 -0.84101.7+0.20
21 Feb 26Lingfield13fStd4th—40.5 -0.63118.7+0.30
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f—par2f—slow3f—slow4f—very slow5f—par6f—slow7f—slow1m—par1m 1f—par1m 2f—very fast1m 3f—very fast1m 4f—very fast
Timed runs 2026-02-21 to 2026-07-10. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
3lb above his last winning mark (75 today vs 72)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayThe top rating in this field (86.0)Improving fast — last run rated 86, 8pts above his recent average of 77.3Only 4 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 3 wins from 16 runsRace-fit — ran 7 days agoHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“mid-field, effort over 2f out, hung left, led over 1f out, drew clear final 1f”
#2KOALA ROSE (IRE)MID
DRAW 4 · OR 78 · Rossa Ryan / Ralph Beckett
MARKET drifting 2.56 → 3
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−
82.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
82.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 82
Official mark (OR)
78 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
28
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.3s) · faster than its field on the clock Usually races prominent-closer
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 104.4% (strong late)
Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ralph Beckett · 1370 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)90/46719.3%0.9815/4831.2%1.51
In fields of <=7 ✦84/31826.4%1.0234/11130.6%1.19
In Class 4-5 company118/54321.7%0.9431/11826.3%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 11f+ trips51/24221.1%1.067/759.3%0.5
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)9/7412.2%0.862/1612.5%1.17
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 82 at/around today's trip, clears the ~82.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 3
+1.03 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 3
+0.40s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 3
104.4%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length2nd of 3
7.21 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
19 Jun 26Goodwood14fGood2nd——106.8—
16 May 26Newmarket12fGood3rdTrue38.7 +0.0099.5+0.33
20 Dec 25Wolverhampton9fSlow3rdTrue39.1 +2.07106.9+0.46
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-12-20 to 2026-06-19. · 1 run(s) have no recorded top speed; 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Drops in class todayRated #2 in this field (82.0)Only 2 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 7 wins from 23 runsNEARLY WON LTO — traded 1.31 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Runs Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“chased leader, led 3f out, joined entering final 1f, edged out final 100 yds, clear of rest”
#3APHRODITE SPIRITHELD-UP
DRAW 1 · OR 78 · Joe Leavy / Roger Teal
MARKET drifting 16.5 → 23
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−
81.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
81.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 81 · earned over 10.0/10.0/8.1f — never rated near today's distance (untested here)
Official mark (OR)
78 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
46
Sectional clock
Last time: beat the class par by 1.1s Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 104.26% (strong late)
Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Roger Teal · 476 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 11f+ trips1/561.8%0.23/1816.7%1.35
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)11/1179.4%0.850/110.0%0.0
In fields of <=78/7211.1%0.81/293.4%0.27
On turf ✦19/1939.8%0.895/657.7%0.72
In Class 4-5 company ✦17/2078.2%0.825/628.1%0.76
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)1/175.9%0.640/80.0%0.0
Coming back after 46 to 90 days (small sample)4/2714.8%1.780/80.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 81 is below the ~82.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 3
+0.16 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 39.0 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 3
+0.53s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 3
104.3%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length1st of 3
7.82 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
1 Jun 26Newbury10fFirm3rdTrue40.2 +0.32104.3+0.24
6 Jun 25Goodwood8fGood3rdTrue37.8 +0.00104.2+0.81
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-06-06 to 2026-06-01. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 5 winner, upped to Class 4 todayRated #3 in this field (81.0)Rating earned over 10.0/10.0/8.1f, not today's distance — never rated near today's trip (untested at this distance)Runs Held-Up — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits