THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. The measured order tops DEVIL'S PEAK on 88, 1pts clear of NAP HAND (IRE). DEVIL'S PEAK: a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here — profits if the early types overdo it. The shape danger is NAP HAND (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 4
DEVIL'S PEAK
OR 79 · William Buick / John & Thady Gosden
MARKET drifting 3.9 → 4.3
88.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−The top rating in this field (88.0)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare result
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 1
NAP HAND (IRE)
OR 80 · Charles Bishop / Chris Gordon
MARKET drifting 8.4 → 16
87.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 3−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayRated #2 in this field (87.0)
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 5
CLOTH OF GOLD (IRE)
OR 85 · Rossa Ryan / Charlie Johnston
MARKET drifting 7.8 → 10
85.3FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayDrops in class todayRated #3 in this field (85.3)Historically underestimated by the market
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1MAGNATURA (IRE)net +8drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), quickest early type, sharp from the stalls, runs the dominant winning style here, proven on the going, yard positive in today’s setup
2TURTY TREE (IRE)net +7drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 speed vs its fields, runs the dominant winning style here, yard hot − figure earned on another surface
3DEVIL'S PEAKnet +4figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, yard hot − habitually slow away
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (2 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 5 runners · stalls 1–5
12345
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner.
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: DEVIL'S PEAK is 0/4 on softer ground · NAP HAND (IRE) is unraced on softer ground · CLOTH OF GOLD (IRE) is 0/1 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
CLOTH OF GOLD (IRE)PROMINENT50.0%103.0just behind the quickest early pair — presses — and finds plenty late
NAP HAND (IRE)HELD-UP48.4%106.9the strongest late speed in this field — profits if the early types overdo it
MAGNATURA (IRE)FRONT48.6%104.4the quickest of today's early types — and finds plenty late · sharp from the stalls
TURTY TREE (IRE)MID49.8%102.2solid late gains (5th of 5 on late speed here) — profits if the early types overdo it
DEVIL'S PEAKHELD-UP48.1%106.4a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here — profits if the early types overdo it
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
MAGNATURA (IRE)FRONTtypically ~1.5 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
CLOTH OF GOLD (IRE)PROMINENTa shade quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.17s off the field’s best
nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1DEVIL'S PEAKHELD-UP
DRAW 4 · OR 79 · William Buick / John & Thady Gosden
MARKET drifting 3.9 → 4.3
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
88.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
88.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 88
Official mark (OR)
79 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 3 tries
Days since last run
35
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.4s) · faster than its field on the clock Usually races held-up closer
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 106.41% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
John & Thady Gosden · 1241 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days99/47520.8%1.0420/10020.0%0.79
Over 11f+ trips ✦53/27319.4%0.9313/5623.2%0.82
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)72/36519.7%0.967/1643.8%1.96
At Newbury (small sample)5/559.1%0.593/1816.7%0.67
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 88 at/around today's trip, clears the ~87.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 5
+0.07 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.0 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 5
+0.32s
Slow away in 3 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed2nd of 5
106.4%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length5th of 5
7.04 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
12 Jun 26Sandown Park9fGood5thSlow early37.2 +0.01106.4+0.41
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.62par2f+0.96slow3f+0.91slow4f+0.94par5f+1.08slow6f+0.78slow7f+0.55very slow1m+0.48fast1m 1f+0.46very fast1m 2f+0.33very fast
Timed runs 2025-09-21 to 2026-06-12. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
The top rating in this field (88.0)Only 3 runs at this distanceLost roughly 1.8 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“held up, short of room 3f out, shaken up, carried head awkwardly, wandered, kept on final 1f, nearest finish”
#2NAP HAND (IRE)HELD-UP
DRAW 1 · OR 80 · Charles Bishop / Chris Gordon
MARKET drifting 8.4 → 16
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 3−
87.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
87.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 89
Official mark (OR)
80 · last won off 77
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 6 tries
Days since last run
55
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 106.94% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 6 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Chris Gordon · 73 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.4 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Above their last winning mark1/175.9%0.740/100.0%0.0
On turf2/267.7%1.030/70.0%0.0
In fields of <=71/911.1%1.330/40.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
In Class 4-5 company (small sample)1/313.2%0.650/20.0%0.0
At Newbury (small sample)0/30.0%0.0—
Over 11f+ trips (small sample)0/110.0%0.00/10.0%0.0
Coming back after 46 to 90 days (small sample)0/20.0%0.00/30.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)1/234.3%0.580/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 91 at/around today's trip, clears the ~87.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 5
+0.22 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 5
+0.23s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 5
106.9%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length4th of 5
7.09 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
23 May 26Salisbury12fGood3rd—36.9 -0.22107.9+0.30
18 Feb 26Kempton Park10fSlow4thTrue38.4 +0.00103.9+0.00
28 Jun 25York13fGood5thTrue39.9 +0.12105.4+0.00
2 Jun 25Windsor10fGd/Frm3rdSlow early41.8 +0.40116.8+0.32
16 May 25Newbury10fFirm7thTrue40.3 +0.95102.5+0.30
23 Nov 24Wolverhampton9fStandard9thTrue39.4 +0.06105.2+0.43
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2024-11-23 to 2026-05-23. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
3lb above his last winning mark (80 today vs 77)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayRated #2 in this field (87.0)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“held up, headway when switched over 1f out, kept on”
#3CLOTH OF GOLD (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 5 · OR 85 · Rossa Ryan / Charlie Johnston
MARKET drifting 7.8 → 10
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
85.3FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
85.3 · ranked #3 here · career best 91
Official mark (OR)
85 · last won off 78
Record at today's distance
1 win from 5 tries · beats market expectation (2.95)
Days since last run
13
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.9s slower than par — the result flattered it Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 103.02% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charlie Johnston · 2305 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.5 on the exchange
Signature angle: with the mark MARK-FALLING3+
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Above their last winning mark ✦58/48811.9%0.8820/16712.0%0.82
Over 11f+ trips76/52614.4%1.0516/13312.0%0.84
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newbury (small sample)2/922.2%2.311/425.0%0.96
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 94 at/around today's trip, clears the ~87.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 5
-0.14 mph
About the level of its fields · 38.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 5
+0.17s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 5
103.0%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length3rd of 5
7.17 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2024-12-12 to 2026-07-04. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
7lb above his last winning mark (85 today vs 78)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayDrops in class todayRated #3 in this field (85.3)Only 5 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 1 wins from 25 runsLost roughly 1.6 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“mid-field, kept on approaching 1f out, took second final 100 yds”
#4TURTY TREE (IRE)MID
DRAW 2 · OR 83 · Oisin Murphy / Andrew Balding
MARKET backed 2.34 → 1.82
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
82.7FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
82.7 · ranked #4 here · career best 84
Official mark (OR)
83 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 4 tries · below market expectation (0.85)
Days since last run
34
Sectional clock
Last time: beat the class par by 0.8s · faster than its field on the clock Usually races front-runner (cooked late)
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 102.19% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Andrew Balding · 2418 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.0 on the exchange
Signature angle: kept to the same class, at Newcastle, off a steady mark, at 4-8 odds, dropping in trip
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦199/104919.0%1.1267/28423.6%1.21
In Class 4-5 company ✦184/96219.1%1.0355/22124.9%1.17
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Newbury21/9522.1%1.473/2711.1%0.8
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 84 is below the ~87.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 5
+0.16 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 37.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 5
+0.21s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 5
102.2%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length1st of 5
7.57 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
13 Jun 26Sandown Park9fGood1stTrue37.7 +0.05104.1+0.24
16 May 26Newmarket12fGood4thTrue38.9 +0.2098.3+0.27
18 Apr 26Newbury11fGood3rd—38.5 -0.19107.2+0.07
28 Mar 26Doncaster10fGd/Sft3rdFast early37.0 +0.5699.1+0.26
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fledslow2f+0.03fast3f+0.16par4f+0.11par5f+0.13par6f+0.19very slow7f+0.15slow1m+0.08par1m 1fledfast1m 2fledvery fast
Timed runs 2026-03-28 to 2026-06-13. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Figure OFF-CONTEXT (C2→C4) — earned under different conditionsProven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 4 todayDrops in class todayOnly 4 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“led 2f, close up after, hung left entering straight, led again 1f out, pushed out”
#5MAGNATURA (IRE)FRONT
DRAW 3 · OR 83 · Kieran Shoemark / Tom Ward
MARKET drifting 13 → 16.5
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 5−
81FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
81 · ranked #5 here · career best 87 · earned over 8.0/8.0/7.0f — never rated near today's distance (untested here)
Official mark (OR)
83 · last won off 79
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
28
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.5s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race Usually races prominent
Career sheet · last 18 months · 7 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Tom Ward · 425 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 11f+ trips4/864.7%0.592/1513.3%1.34
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Newbury2/326.2%1.270/80.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)15/14910.1%1.060/100.0%0.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days20/20010.0%1.022/474.3%0.44
Above their last winning mark8/5813.8%1.01/147.1%0.46
In Class 4-5 company21/2149.8%1.04/498.2%0.78
Can it do what today needs? Unproven at this trip — its 89 was earned OFF-TRIP and it has NEVER been rated at today's distance; no evidence it can hit the ~87.0 demand here
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 5
-0.12 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 5
-0.01s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 3 of 4
Finish · closing speed3rd of 5
104.4%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length2nd of 5
7.23 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
19 Jun 26Newmarket8fGood12thFast early40.1 -0.3594.6—
16 May 26Newbury8fGood4thSlow early38.8 -0.48104.4+0.00
Timed runs 2025-06-25 to 2026-06-19. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
4lb above his last winning mark (83 today vs 79)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayDrops in class todayRating earned over 8.0/8.0/7.0f, not today's distance — never rated near today's trip (untested at this distance)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Front — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits