THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
LEVEL LOOK is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 49.35% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.32s off the lead. The measured order tops LEVEL LOOK on 85, 5pts clear of CRANACHAN. LEVEL LOOK: the only measured early speed in the race, without over-committing — and finds plenty late · sharp from the stalls. The shape danger is COUNTER INTUITIVE (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 3
LEVEL LOOK
OR 80 · David Probert / Andrew Balding
MARKET drifting 4.8 → 5.7
85.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 4 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (85.0)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 1
CRANACHAN
OR 79 · Hector Crouch / Ralph Beckett
MARKET 5.5
80.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayRated #2 in this field (80.0)Stable in form this week — 7 wins from 23 runsRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 2
PATROL (IRE)
OR 78 · George Wood / Dylan Cunha
MARKET 5.8
78FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayRated #3 in this field (78)Proven over the trip (10 tries, beats market expectation at 1.3)
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1COUNTER INTUITIVE (IRE)net +8drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, top-2 speed vs its fields, runs the dominant winning style here
2CRANACHANnet +6figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, yard hot
3LEVEL LOOKnet +4figure top-2, drops in class, form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, sharp from the stalls, yard hot − figure earned on another surface, sectional profile stale
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 4 runners · stalls 1–4
1234
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner.
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: LEVEL LOOK is unraced on softer ground · CRANACHAN is unraced on softer ground · PATROL (IRE) is 0/5 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
PATROL (IRE)HELD-UP49.6%102.1solid late gains (4th of 4 on late speed here), races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
LEVEL LOOKPROMINENT48.4%105.3the only measured early speed in the race, without over-committing — and finds plenty late · sharp from the stalls
CRANACHANMID48.0%108.2a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
COUNTER INTUITIVE (IRE)MID47.9%109.6the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
LEVEL LOOKPROMINENTa shade quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
LEVEL LOOK is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1LEVEL LOOKPROMINENT
DRAW 3 · OR 80 · David Probert / Andrew Balding
MARKET drifting 4.8 → 5.7
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−
85.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
85.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 85
Official mark (OR)
80 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
189
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.5s) · faster than its field on the clock Usually races front-runner
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 105.26% (strong late)
Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads. · last rated run 189 days ago
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Andrew Balding · 2418 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.0 on the exchange
Signature angle: kept to the same class, at Newcastle, off a steady mark, at 4-8 odds, dropping in trip
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 180 days+16/8020.0%0.9220/6630.3%1.34
In Class 4-5 company ✦184/96219.1%1.0355/22124.9%1.17
At Newmarket ✦19/12615.1%1.0612/5621.4%1.15
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 79 at/around today's trip, clears the ~79.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 4
+0.02 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.1 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph1st of 4
-0.01s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 2 of 2
Finish · closing speed3rd of 4
105.3%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length1st of 4
7.51 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
9 Jan 26Newcastle10fStd1stTrue38.6 +0.62106.5-0.03
22 Dec 25Lingfield8fStd/Slow4thTrue39.6 -0.59104.1+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-12-22 to 2026-01-09 · last timed run 189 days ago — the profile is out of date. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Figure OFF-CONTEXT (aw→turf, 10f→12f) — earned under different conditionsProven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 4 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (85.0)Improving fast — last run rated 85, 21pts above his recent average of 63.3Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionReturns from 189 days offRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“chased leader, led over 2f out, quickened clear”
#2CRANACHANMID
DRAW 1 · OR 79 · Hector Crouch / Ralph Beckett
MARKET 5.5
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−
80.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
80.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 80
Official mark (OR)
79 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 3 tries · in line with the market (1.03)
Days since last run
27
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · among the slowest in its race Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 108.19% (strong late)
Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ralph Beckett · 1370 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)90/46719.3%0.9815/4831.2%1.51
In fields of <=7 ✦84/31826.4%1.0234/11130.6%1.19
In Class 4-5 company118/54321.7%0.9431/11826.3%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 11f+ trips51/24221.1%1.067/759.3%0.5
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 80 at/around today's trip, clears the ~79.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 4
-0.11 mph
About the level of its fields · 38.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 4
+0.21s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 4
108.2%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length3rd of 4
7.21 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
20 Jun 26Doncaster11fGd/Frm4th—41.0 +0.00115.7+0.04
Timed runs 2025-12-03 to 2026-06-20. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayRated #2 in this field (80.0)Only 3 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 7 wins from 23 runsRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“in touch, ridden over 3f out, no response final 1f”
#3PATROL (IRE)HELD-UP
DRAW 2 · OR 78 · George Wood / Dylan Cunha
MARKET 5.8
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−
78FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
78 · ranked #3 here · career best 90
Official mark (OR)
78 · last won off 75
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 10 tries · beats market expectation (1.3)
Days since last run
36
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.9s slower than par — the result flattered it Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 102.1% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 15 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Dylan Cunha · 805 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Above their last winning mark ✦26/15416.9%1.119/6414.1%1.26
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)23/20311.3%0.990/190.0%0.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days39/28713.6%1.084/974.1%0.41
In fields of <=7 ✦24/15415.6%0.916/5610.7%0.61
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newmarket (small sample)1/412.4%0.341/147.1%1.04
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 90 at/around today's trip, clears the ~79.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 4
+0.17 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 38.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 4
+0.23s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 4
102.1%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length2nd of 4
7.22 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
11 Jun 26Yarmouth11fSoft4thTrue37.3 +0.1999.7+0.11
15 May 26Newbury12fGood2ndFast early38.6 +0.11100.4+0.20
Timed runs 2025-10-29 to 2026-06-11. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
3lb above his last winning mark (78 today vs 75)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayRated #3 in this field (78)Proven over the trip (10 tries, beats market expectation at 1.3)Historically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“held up, pushed along 3f out, no response”
#4COUNTER INTUITIVE (IRE)MID
DRAW 4 · OR 77 · Billy Loughnane / Ed Walker
MARKET backed 2.3 → 2.04
Yard mixed · 1+ / 1−
78.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
78.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 78
Official mark (OR)
77 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 1 tries · beats market expectation (7.07)
Days since last run
31
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.6s) Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 109.62% (strong late)
Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ed Walker · 1094 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: stepping up in class, at 8-16 odds, at this time of year (Q2)
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On turf ✦89/59415.0%1.0334/19717.3%1.26
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of <=744/20421.6%1.0312/6717.9%0.81
Too few runners to read reliably
Over 11f+ trips (small sample)14/9714.4%0.913/1717.6%1.41
At Newmarket (small sample)8/5614.3%0.991/137.7%0.76
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 78 is below the ~79.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 4
+0.12 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 4
+0.37s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 4
109.6%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length4th of 4
6.93 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
16 Jun 26Thirsk12fGood1stSlow early40.3 +0.32116.5+0.13
14 May 26Salisbury9fGood6thTrue37.9 +0.00105.8+0.15
5 Nov 25Kempton Park8fStd8thSlow early39.3 +0.04106.6+0.83
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fledfast2fledslow3fledpar4fledpar5fledslow6fledslow7fledslow1mledvery slow1m 1fledslow1m 2fledfast1m 3fledvery fast1m 4fledvery fast
Timed runs 2025-11-05 to 2026-06-16. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 4 todayDrops in class todayImproving fast — last run rated 78, 11pts above his recent average of 66.3Only 1 run at this distanceStable in form this week — 5 wins from 16 runsRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“led after 1f, quickened under 3f out, tackled under 2f out, asserted final ½f”