THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 49.83% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.19s off the lead. The measured order tops NOVAMAY on 94, 1pts clear of LADY KODIAC (IRE). NOVAMAY: a match for the quickest early, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f. The shape danger is ROSE OF HONOUR (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 5
NOVAMAY
OR 84 · Rhys Elliott / Michael Dods
MARKET 10
94.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−The top rating in this field (94.0)Proven over the trip (15 tries, beats market expectation at 2.01)Stable in form this week — 2 wins from 12 runsHistorically underestimated by the market
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 3
LADY KODIAC (IRE)
OR 85 · Ray Dawson / James Tate
MARKET drifting 8.2 → 10.5
93.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−Rated #2 in this field (93.0)Historically underestimated by the marketRuns Front — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 1
ELARA MAY
OR 88 · Pat Cosgrave / Philip McBride
MARKET drifting 19 → 25
87.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−Drops in class todayRated #3 in this field (87.0)Proven over the trip (9 tries, beats market expectation at 2.46)Historically underestimated by the market
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1LADY KODIAC (IRE)net +8figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), top-2 late speed today, quickest early type, sharp from the stalls, proven at trip, yard positive in today’s setup
2SHALLOWnet +8drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, sharp from the stalls, energy in the winning band, runs the dominant winning style here, proven at trip, yard positive in today’s setup
3POWDERING (IRE)net +7race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, proven at trip, yard positive in today’s setup, yard hot, FormLab watch flag − burns early and empties
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Worth A Second Look
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
POWDERING (IRE) FIGURE #4
Michael Herrington's runners coming back after 15 to 45 days win 14.3% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Michael Herrington's runners above their last winning mark win 18.4% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
contested early pace likely (5 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 8 runners · stalls 1–8
12345678
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–8).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: NOVAMAY is 1/3 on softer ground · LADY KODIAC (IRE) is unraced on softer ground · ELARA MAY is 1/4 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
ROSE OF HONOUR (IRE)MID48.9%103.0the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
NOVAMAYPROMINENT51.7%95.2a match for the quickest early, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f
ELARA MAYPROMINENT50.1%99.9just behind the quickest early pair — presses, at the tempo that wins here — but holds one pace late · sharp from the stalls
ANGEL SHAREDPROMINENT50.1%98.5just behind the quickest early pair — presses, at the tempo that wins here — but empties in the final 2f · sharp from the stalls
LADY KODIAC (IRE)FRONT48.8%102.9the quickest of today's early types, without over-committing — and holds on late · sharp from the stalls
POWDERING (IRE)MID50.8%96.5held up without the late gear (7th of 8 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
SHALLOWPROMINENT50.6%97.9just behind the quickest early pair — presses, at the tempo that wins here — but empties in the final 2f · sharp from the stalls
SING THE BLUES (IRE)MID49.4%101.7the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
LADY KODIAC (IRE)FRONTtypically ~1.8 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
NOVAMAYPROMINENTtypically ~1.5 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.06s off the field’s best
ELARA MAYPROMINENTa shade quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
ANGEL SHAREDPROMINENTa shade quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
SHALLOWPROMINENTa shade quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1NOVAMAYPROMINENT
DRAW 5 · OR 84 · Rhys Elliott / Michael Dods
MARKET 10
Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−
94.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
94.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 94
Official mark (OR)
84 · last won off 80
Record at today's distance
4 wins from 15 tries · beats market expectation (2.01)
Days since last run
27
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock Usually races front-runner (cooked late)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 11 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael Dods · 1241 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Above their last winning mark ✦31/27711.2%1.0212/7615.8%1.24
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newmarket (small sample)0/60.0%0.00/30.0%0.0
In Class 1-3 company (small sample)10/1506.7%0.961/185.6%0.95
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 94 at/around today's trip, clears the ~93.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 8
+0.15 mph
About the level of its fields · 42.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 8
+0.06s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed8th of 8
95.2%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 8
7.64 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2025-07-26 to 2026-06-20. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
4lb above his last winning mark (84 today vs 80)Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 3 todayThe top rating in this field (94.0)Proven over the trip (15 tries, beats market expectation at 2.01)Stable in form this week — 2 wins from 12 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“close up, shaken up 2f out, led when hung left over 1f out, kept on”
#2LADY KODIAC (IRE)FRONT
DRAW 3 · OR 85 · Ray Dawson / James Tate
MARKET drifting 8.2 → 10.5
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−
93.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
93.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 93
Official mark (OR)
85 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 7 tries · beats market expectation (1.83)
Days since last run
29
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.4s) Usually races front-runner
Career sheet · last 18 months · 7 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
James Tate · 547 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.3 on the exchange
Signature angle: with the retained rider up
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Newmarket0/70.0%0.02/1118.2%3.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)28/14419.4%1.221/166.2%0.49
Over 5-6f trips30/13721.9%1.167/6810.3%0.59
Coming back after 15 to 45 days39/17522.3%1.2811/8413.1%0.83
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 93 at/around today's trip, clears the ~93.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 8
+0.14 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 8
-0.02s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 5 of 6
Finish · closing speed2nd of 8
102.9%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length6th of 8
7.25 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
18 Jun 26Southwell6fStd2ndTrue40.8 +0.39105.3+0.00
30 May 26Carlisle6fGd/Frm6thTrue37.9 -0.24101.9+0.00
Timed runs 2025-09-11 to 2026-06-18. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 5 winner, upped to Class 3 todayRated #2 in this field (93.0)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Front — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“prominent, ridden when switched 2f out, every chance entering final 1f, kept on”
#3ELARA MAYPROMINENT
DRAW 1 · OR 88 · Pat Cosgrave / Philip McBride
MARKET drifting 19 → 25
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−
87.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
87.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 90
Official mark (OR)
88 · last won off 80
Record at today's distance
4 wins from 9 tries · beats market expectation (2.46)
Days since last run
259
Sectional clock
Last time: 0.8s slower than par — the result flattered it · faster than its field on the clock Usually races front-runner
Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads. · last rated run 259 days ago
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Philip McBride · 198 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Newmarket1/234.3%0.430/40.0%0.0
Above their last winning mark9/5317.0%1.110/80.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)10/6415.6%1.050/50.0%0.0
In fields of 8-1114/8815.9%1.360/180.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after 180 days+ (small sample)0/60.0%0.01/1100.0%21.0
In Class 1-3 company (small sample)0/150.0%0.01/333.3%2.33
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 90 is below the ~93.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 8
+0.18 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 8
+0.04s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 8
99.9%
One-paced late
Stride length7th of 8
7.16 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
31 Oct 25Newmarket6fGood4thFast early39.9 +0.0597.4-0.11
9 Oct 25Chelmsford City5fSlow1stFast early42.3 +0.54100.6+0.13
Timed runs 2025-07-13 to 2025-10-31 · last timed run 259 days ago — the profile is out of date. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
8lb above his last winning mark (88 today vs 80)Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 3 todayDrops in class todayRated #3 in this field (87.0)Proven over the trip (9 tries, beats market expectation at 2.46)Returns from 259 days offHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“led group, led 2f out, headed entering final 1f, left behind by winner, kept on”
#4POWDERING (IRE)MID
DRAW 4 · OR 80 · Billy Loughnane / Michael Herrington
MARKET backed 6.6 → 5.2
Yard suits today’s conditions · 4+ / 0−
87.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
87.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 90
Official mark (OR)
80 · last won off 76
Record at today's distance
8 wins from 36 tries · beats market expectation (1.97)
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock Usually races prominent
Career sheet · last 18 months · 24 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael Herrington · 677 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.6 on the exchange
Signature angle: over 7-8f trips, coming back after 8 to 14 days, with a new jockey booked, switching jockey after a defeat, off a judgement-rated last figure, without a sectional tell last time, after a slow start last time, without a recent yard winner, mid-campaign
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On turf ✦23/18512.4%1.1713/7118.3%1.48
Above their last winning mark ✦31/20315.3%1.318/9818.4%1.37
Over 5-6f trips16/1958.2%0.8313/7517.3%1.28
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦29/25011.6%1.2317/11914.3%1.19
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)17/13812.3%1.144/1330.8%1.56
At Newmarket (small sample)3/933.3%1.631/714.3%0.8
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 90 is below the ~93.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 8
+0.11 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 8
+0.07s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 8
96.5%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 8
7.41 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
26 Jun 26Newmarket6fGd/Frm1stTrue41.8 +0.3399.7+0.14
22 May 26Haydock Park6fGd/Sft14thTrue39.6 +0.5489.1+0.02
Timed runs 2026-04-03 to 2026-06-26. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
4lb above his last winning mark (80 today vs 76)Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 3 todayImproving fast — last run rated 87, 23pts above his recent average of 63.7Proven over the trip (36 tries, beats market expectation at 1.97)Historically underestimated by the marketA course winner (2 from 4 here)
LTO comment
“mid-field, ridden under 3f out, left behind over 1f out”
#5ROSE OF HONOUR (IRE)MID
DRAW 8 · OR 91 · Hector Crouch / James Tate
MARKET 3.8
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−
85.7FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
85.7 · ranked #5 here · career best 98
Official mark (OR)
91 · last won off 88
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 4 tries · beats market expectation (2.2)
Days since last run
27
Sectional clock
Last time: 0.8s slower than par — the result flattered it Usually races prominent-closer
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 103.0% (strong late)
Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
James Tate · 547 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.3 on the exchange
Signature angle: with the retained rider up
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Newmarket0/70.0%0.02/1118.2%3.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)28/14419.4%1.221/166.2%0.49
Over 5-6f trips30/13721.9%1.167/6810.3%0.59
Above their last winning mark12/5422.2%1.284/468.7%0.68
Coming back after 15 to 45 days39/17522.3%1.2811/8413.1%0.83
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 98 at/around today's trip, clears the ~93.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 8
+0.46 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 41.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 8
+0.11s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 8
103.0%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length5th of 8
7.36 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
20 Jun 26Ayr5fSoft10thTrue42.0 -0.34100.4+0.22
2 May 26Doncaster6fGd/Frm1stFast early41.7 +0.04100.2—
Timed runs 2025-09-15 to 2026-06-20. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
3lb above his last winning mark (91 today vs 88)Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 3 todayDrops in class todayOnly 4 runs at this distanceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
Career sheet · last 18 months · 12 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Steph Hollinshead · 272 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-118/1137.1%0.994/458.9%1.45
In Class 1-3 company3/2313.0%1.751/119.1%1.44
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)6/827.3%0.990/50.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newmarket (small sample)5/2222.7%2.310/10.0%0.0
Below their last winning mark (small sample)1/425.0%2.420/40.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 92 is below the ~93.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields8th of 8
-0.36 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 40.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 8
+0.05s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 8
98.5%
One-paced late
Stride length2nd of 8
7.62 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
26 Jun 26Newmarket6fGd/Frm6thTrue41.2 -0.2297.8+0.16
22 May 26Haydock Park6fGd/Sft13thTrue38.9 -0.2291.1-0.28
4 May 26Bath5fGood3rdTrue40.7 -0.21100.4+0.16
5 Apr 26Bath5fGood5thFast early40.1 -0.73100.0—
13 Mar 26Southwell6fStd7thTrue41.0 +0.00103.2+0.03
Timed runs 2025-09-25 to 2026-06-26. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
3lb below his last winning mark (81 today vs 84)Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 3 todayProven over the trip (22 tries, beats market expectation at 2.11)Jockey goes well at this track (1.81x market expectation)Historically underestimated by the marketA course winner (3 from 6 here)Runs Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“led until over 2f out, dropped away over 1f out”
#7SING THE BLUES (IRE)MID
DRAW 7 · OR 80 · Cieren Fallon / Martin Dunne
MARKET drifting 46 → 55
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
81.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
81.0 · ranked #7 here · career best 81
Official mark (OR)
80 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 4 tries · below market expectation (0.9)
Days since last run
251
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.2s slower than par — the result flattered it clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 101.74% (holds late)
Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads. · last rated run 278 days ago
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Martin Dunne · 274 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 9.4 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On turf5/895.6%0.62/1612.5%1.43
Over 5-6f trips12/10111.9%1.045/4311.6%1.39
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 1-3 company0/50.0%0.0—
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newmarket (small sample)0/110.0%0.01/1100.0%11.0
Coming back after 180 days+ (small sample)2/1513.3%3.020/10.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)9/6414.1%1.010/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 81 is below the ~93.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 8
-0.27 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 37.9 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph8th of 8
+0.11s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 8
101.7%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length8th of 8
6.72 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f—2f—3f—4f—5f—6f—
Timed runs 2025-07-18 to 2025-11-08 · last timed run 251 days ago — the profile is out of date. · 1 have no 0-20mph split; 1 have no finishing speed in either database — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 3 todayImproving fast — last run rated 81, 13pts above his recent average of 68.0Only 4 runs at this distanceReturns from 251 days off
LTO comment
“prominent, pulled up around 2f out”
#8SHALLOWPROMINENT
DRAW 6 · OR 78 · George Wood / Richard Spencer
MARKET drifting 5.5 → 6.4
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
78.7FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
78.7 · ranked #8 here · career best 88
Official mark (OR)
78 · last won off 81
Record at today's distance
5 wins from 23 tries · beats market expectation (1.36)
Days since last run
6
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.3s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race Usually races prominent
Career sheet · last 18 months · 21 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Spencer · 499 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On turf ✦23/22910.0%1.1914/6521.5%1.33
In fields of 8-11 ✦25/17314.5%1.0711/6118.0%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Newmarket6/5411.1%1.181/195.3%0.58
At this time of year (Q3)25/15715.9%1.432/2010.0%0.76
Too few runners to read reliably
Below their last winning mark (small sample)1/147.1%0.50/90.0%0.0
Coming back after within 7 days (small sample)6/1442.9%2.855/955.6%1.23
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 88 is below the ~93.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 8
-0.09 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 8
+0.01s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed6th of 8
97.9%
One-paced late
Stride length3rd of 8
7.57 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-04-03 to 2026-07-11. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
3lb below his last winning mark (78 today vs 81)Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 3 todayDrops in class todayProven over the trip (23 tries, beats market expectation at 1.36)Race-fit — ran 6 days agoHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 5 here)Runs Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“prominent, challenged 2f out, edged ahead final 1f, headed close home”