THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Even/unclear early shape. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 48.05% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.46s off the lead. The measured order tops HAUTELUCE (FR) on 72, 3pts clear of CELESTIAL CEN. HAUTELUCE (FR): a genuine turn of foot — 3rd-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 4
HAUTELUCE (FR)
OR · Ashley Lewis / Ed Walker
MARKET 2.2
72.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayThe top rating in this field (72.0)Stable in form this week — 5 wins from 16 runs
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 5
CELESTIAL CEN
OR · Pierre-Louis Jamin / Archie Watson
MARKET backed 7.4 → 6.6
69.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−Rated #2 in this field (69.0)Runs Held-Up — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 3
GUESSTIMATE
OR · Harry Davies / William Haggas
MARKET 3
65.3FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−Rated #3 in this field (65.3)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare result
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1HAUTELUCE (FR)net +5figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, energy in the winning band
2CELESTIAL CENnet +5figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, energy in the winning band − yard cold
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (no confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 5 runners · stalls 1–5
12345
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner.
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: HAUTELUCE (FR) is unraced on softer ground · CELESTIAL CEN is 0/1 on softer ground · GUESSTIMATE is unraced on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
HAUTELUCE (FR)MID48.6%107.7a genuine turn of foot — 3rd-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
CELESTIAL CENHELD-UP47.6%109.2a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
GUESSTIMATEMID49.5%104.4a genuine turn of foot — 4th-best late speed here, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
SAX AVOIDANCE (IRE)———-
SWEET HORIZON——111.2-
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1HAUTELUCE (FR)MID
DRAW 4 · OR · Ashley Lewis / Ed Walker
MARKET 2.2
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
72.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
72.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 72
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 1 tries · beats market expectation (7.91)
Days since last run
19
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 107.65% (strong late)
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ed Walker · 1094 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: stepping up in class, at 8-16 odds, at this time of year (Q2)
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 9-10f trips20/9122.0%1.36/3119.4%1.67
On turf ✦89/59415.0%1.0334/19717.3%1.26
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of <=744/20421.6%1.0312/6717.9%0.81
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)5/1926.3%1.523/1323.1%1.57
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 72 at/around today's trip, clears the ~69.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 4
+0.33 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 39.9 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph4th of 4
+0.36s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 4
107.7%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length2nd of 4
7.12 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
28 Jun 26Wolverhampton9fStd1st—39.9 +0.43111.2+0.17—
2 Dec 25Lingfield8fStd5thTrue39.8 +0.24104.1+0.55
Timed runs 2025-12-02 to 2026-06-28. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayThe top rating in this field (72.0)Improving fast — last run rated 72, 11pts above his recent average of 61.0Only 1 run at this distanceStable in form this week — 5 wins from 16 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“slowly away, mid-field, shaken up around halfway, progress wide entering straight, hung left over 1f out, no extra final 1f”
#2CELESTIAL CENHELD-UP
DRAW 5 · OR · Pierre-Louis Jamin / Archie Watson
MARKET backed 7.4 → 6.6
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−
69.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
69.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 69
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
17
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 109.22% (strong late)
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Archie Watson · 1274 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange
Signature angle: in fields of <=7
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of <=7 ✦51/25320.2%1.0125/9426.6%1.51
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)35/30011.7%0.960/210.0%0.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦44/4849.1%0.7911/1338.3%0.71
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)1/185.6%0.840/50.0%0.0
Over 9-10f trips (small sample)12/9912.1%1.21/147.1%0.68
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 69 at/around today's trip, clears the ~69.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 4
+0.63 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 38.5 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 4
+0.29s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 4
109.2%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length1st of 4
7.14 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
30 Jun 26Ffos Las10fGood4thTrue39.5 +0.48108.2+0.17
6 Jun 26Lingfield10fSoft2ndTrue37.6 +0.78110.3+0.42
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-30. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Rated #2 in this field (69.0)Only 2 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRuns Held-Up — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“held up, outpaced 3f out, ridden and headway over 1f out, one paced”
#3GUESSTIMATEMID
DRAW 3 · OR · Harry Davies / William Haggas
MARKET 3
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−
65.3FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
65.3 · ranked #3 here · career best 72
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
28
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 104.39% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 6 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
William Haggas · 1572 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)134/54924.4%1.125/4511.1%0.52
In Class 4-5 company164/66824.6%1.0325/13318.8%0.83
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦138/63321.8%0.9826/14917.4%0.84
In fields of <=7 ✦94/35226.7%0.9124/10423.1%0.84
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)6/3417.6%0.90/100.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 72 at/around today's trip, clears the ~69.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 4
+0.00 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.0 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 4
+0.15s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 4
104.4%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length3rd of 4
7.01 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
19 Jun 26Redcar10fGood5thTrue39.0 +0.28102.0+0.07
23 May 26Goodwood9fGood3rdTrue38.8 +0.78107.9+0.56
5 May 26Wolverhampton8fStd3rdSlow early39.6 +0.20111.9+0.11
Timed runs 2025-11-19 to 2026-06-19. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Rated #3 in this field (65.3)Only 2 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 2 wins from 27 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“held up, headway over 2f out, no further impression”
#4SWEET HORIZON
DRAW 2 · OR · Jason Watson / Tom Clover
MARKET drifting 19 → 28
Yard mixed · 1+ / 1−
54.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
54.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 54
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
19
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · finishing speed 111.2% (strong late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
8thClass 4 · 9.5f · rated 54
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Tom Clover · 500 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of <=718/8920.2%0.988/3622.2%1.24
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)25/14017.9%1.272/1513.3%0.75
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)0/120.0%0.01/425.0%2.32
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 54 is below the ~69.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 4
+0.00 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.5 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 4
+0.28s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 4
111.2%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length4th of 4
6.76 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
28 Jun 26Wolverhampton9fStd8th—39.5 +0.00111.2+0.28—
Timed runs 2026-06-28 to 2026-06-28. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 1 run at this distance
#5SAX AVOIDANCE (IRE)
DRAW 1 · OR · Thomas Greatrex / Charlie Pike
MARKET backed 36 → 32
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charlie Pike · 77 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.9 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 4-5 company—4/3511.4%2.13
In fields of <=7—2/1513.3%1.95
Over 9-10f trips—2/1020.0%1.84
On turf—4/468.7%1.27
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)—0/80.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)—1/333.3%5.53
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.