FORMLAB RACING
THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT
Nottingham · 16:40
Class 6 · 5.04f · Good to Firm (Good in places)
GENERATED 2026-07-17 · 8 RUNNERS PROFILED
THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Measured on their own past openings, CAPTAIN KINSELLA should reach the front first — roughly 1.0 lengths faster to the 2f marker than the next early type. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 49.34% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 2 at halfway, 0.11s off the lead. The measured order tops JACKIE BROWN (IRE) on 54, 3pts clear of ANTIPHON (IRE). JACKIE BROWN (IRE): the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 5
JACKIE BROWN (IRE)
OR · Harry Davies / Adrian Wintle
MARKET 3.75
54.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−The top rating in this field (54.0)
2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 2
ANTIPHON (IRE)
OR · Callum Hutchinson / Mike Murphy
MARKET 21
51 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (51)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 8
DESERT MASTER
OR · Cam Hardie / Antony Brittain
MARKET 7.4
48.3 FORMLAB FIGURE · #4 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 today
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1JACKIE BROWN (IRE)net +6figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, yard hot
2ANTIPHON (IRE)net +5figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), sharp from the stalls, energy in the winning band, yard positive in today’s setup
3SIR BENEDICT (IRE)net +3race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, top-2 speed vs its fields, yard positive in today’s setup − habitually slow away
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Worth A Second Look
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
SIR BENEDICT (IRE)  FIGURE #5
Ben Haslam's runners in Class 6-7 company win 22.2% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Ben Haslam's runners kept to the same class win 17.8% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
BAILEYS ONTHEROCKS  FIGURE #9
Tony Carroll's runners in Class 6-7 company win 13.8% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Tony Carroll's runners kept to the same class win 13.7% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (2 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 8 runners · stalls 1–8
12345678
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn LOW (early types average stall 1.5 of 8, field average 4.5).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: JACKIE BROWN (IRE) is 0/10 on softer ground · ANTIPHON (IRE) is 2/8 on softer ground · DESERT MASTER is 0/5 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
ANTIPHON (IRE) PROMINENT 49.8% 95.6 just behind the quickest early pair — presses, at the tempo that wins here — but empties in the final 2f · sharp from the stalls
CAPTAIN KINSELLA PROMINENT 50.1% 98.9 the quickest of today's early types, at the tempo that wins here — but holds one pace late
DESERT MASTER MID 50.8% 98.5 one-paced late — 5th of 8 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
JACKIE BROWN (IRE) MID 50.9% 99.4 the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
RINKY TINKY TINKY HELD-UP 50.9% 97.6 held up without the late gear (6th of 8 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
SIR BENEDICT (IRE) HELD-UP 50.6% 99.1 the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
BAILEYS ONTHEROCKS HELD-UP 48.8% 100.0 the best late speed in a one-paced field, saving plenty for the finish — needs them to stop in front
GANTHORPE MID 51.1% 97.6 held up without the late gear (7th of 8 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
CAPTAIN KINSELLAPROMINENTtypically ~2.1 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.12s off the field’s best
ANTIPHON (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.1 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
measured on their own past openings, CAPTAIN KINSELLA should reach the front first — roughly 1.0 lengths faster to the 2f marker than the next early type · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1 JACKIE BROWN (IRE) MID
DRAW 5 · OR · Harry Davies / Adrian Wintle
MARKET 3.75
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
54.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
54.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 61
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 19 tries
Days since last run
18
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 99.37% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
3rdClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 545thClass 6 · 5.7f · rated 469thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 416thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 523rdClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 56
Career sheet · last 18 months · 12 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for JACKIE BROWN (IRE)best 61needs 51–542025-01-29 · TFR 61 · 6f · Slow2025-05-05 · TFR 46 · 6f · Good2025-05-29 · TFR 44 · 6.11f · Good · C62025-06-06 · TFR 32 · 6f · Good · C62025-07-25 · TFR 48 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C62025-08-04 · TFR 40 · 5.93f · Gd/Sft · C62025-11-21 · TFR 56 · 6f · Slow · C62025-12-12 · TFR 56 · 6f · Slow · C62026-01-13 · TFR 51 · 6f · Slow · C62026-01-28 · TFR 41 · 7f · Slow · C62026-06-05 · TFR 46 · 5.73f · Good · C62026-06-29 · TFR 55 · 6f · Good · C629 Jan 2529 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Adrian Wintle · 584 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)17/14212.0%0.944/1330.8%2.03
Coming back after 15 to 45 days20/2199.1%0.8311/9511.6%1.16
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of 8-11 ✦21/2568.2%0.787/997.1%0.75
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)1/128.3%0.740/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 61 at/around today's trip, clears the ~51 demand
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 8
+0.12 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 8
+0.13s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 8
99.4%
One-paced late
Stride length3rd of 8
7.48 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
29 Jun 26Ffos Las6fGood3rdTrue40.4 +0.31102.6+0.00
5 Jun 26Bath5fGood5thTrue39.5 +0.1798.2+0.40
23 Aug 24Hamilton Park5fSoft5thTrue41.5 -0.1197.3+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.11par2f+0.15slow3f+0.16slow4f+0.13par5f+0.19fast6f+0.26par
Timed runs 2024-08-23 to 2026-06-29. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
The top rating in this field (54.0)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“in touch, challenged over 1f out, no extra late on”
#2 ANTIPHON (IRE) PROMINENT
DRAW 2 · OR · Callum Hutchinson / Mike Murphy
MARKET 21
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−
51 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
51 · ranked #2 here · career best 86
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 72
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 35 tries · below market expectation (0.42)
Days since last run
18
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 95.58% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
10thClass 6 · 5.1f · rated 129thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated —3rdClass 6 · 5.3f · rated 503rdClass 5 · 5.3f · rated 523rdClass 6 · 5.3f · rated 53
Career sheet · last 18 months · 11 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for ANTIPHON (IRE)best 86needs 51–542025-02-03 · TFR 50 · 5.1f · Std · C62025-04-18 · TFR 52 · 7f · Slow · C62025-04-28 · TFR 52 · 5.1f · Gd/Frm · C52025-05-10 · TFR 38 · 6f · Firm · C62025-05-20 · TFR 35 · 5.04f · Good · C62025-09-01 · TFR 24 · 5.98f · Good · C62025-09-15 · TFR 57 · 5.27f · Soft · C62025-09-29 · TFR 52 · 5.27f · Good · C62025-10-07 · TFR 51 · 5.27f · Gd/Sft · C52025-10-16 · TFR 50 · 5.27f · Gd/Frm · C62026-06-29 · TFR 14 · 5.1f · Gd/Frm · C63 Feb 2529 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Mike Murphy · 263 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.1 on the exchange
Signature angle: off a steady mark, with their 4yo+s, hidden_effort NORMAL-LTO, as an exposed handicapper, mid-campaign, with a PRO claimer up
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On turf4/527.7%0.937/2924.1%3.37
In Class 6-7 company12/9712.4%1.2910/3826.3%2.03
Coming back after 15 to 45 days10/8611.6%1.528/4617.4%1.97
In fields of 8-11 ✦9/9010.0%1.259/5516.4%1.72
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 5-6f trips11/7614.5%1.433/437.0%0.69
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)0/50.0%0.00/30.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)4/478.5%1.060/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 86 at/around today's trip, clears the ~51 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields8th of 8
-0.35 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 43.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 8
-0.02s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 3 of 5
Finish · closing speed8th of 8
95.6%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 8
7.81 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
29 Jun 26Windsor5fGd/Frm10thTrue42.7 -0.4497.8—
8 Jun 26Leicester5fGood9thTrue41.2 -0.4992.9-0.09
16 Oct 25Brighton5fGd/Frm3rdTrue45.2 -0.3498.2-0.11
7 Oct 25Brighton5fGd/Sft3rdTrue43.4 -0.6195.9+0.00
29 Sep 25Brighton5fGood3rdTrue44.2 -0.1498.0+0.04
1 Sep 25Brighton5fGood8th—42.8 -0.0990.8+0.05
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.04par2f+0.17par3f+0.26slow4f+0.87very slow5f+1.90very slow
Timed runs 2025-09-01 to 2026-06-29. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (51)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“prominent, lost place halfway, weakened from 2f out”
#3 DESERT MASTER MID
DRAW 8 · OR · Cam Hardie / Antony Brittain
MARKET 7.4
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−
48.3 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
48.3 · ranked #4 here · career best 72
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 56
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 44 tries · below market expectation (0.64)
Days since last run
16
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 98.5% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
7thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 374thClass 6 · 5.5f · rated 522ndClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 566thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 332ndClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 56
Career sheet · last 18 months · 27 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for DESERT MASTERbest 72needs 51–542025-01-20 · TFR 48 · 5.1f · Slow · C62025-01-30 · TFR 52 · 4.97f · Std · C62025-02-20 · TFR 41 · 5f · Slow · C62025-05-09 · TFR 54 · 5.04f · Good · C62025-05-28 · TFR 25 · 5f · Good · C62025-06-16 · TFR 35 · 5.1f · Slow · C62025-07-26 · TFR 44 · 5f · Slow · C62025-08-09 · TFR 26 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C62025-08-29 · TFR 55 · 5f · Slow · C62025-09-08 · TFR 28 · 5f · Slow · C62025-09-19 · TFR 56 · 5f · Slow · C62025-10-03 · TFR 40 · 4.97f · Std · C62025-10-14 · TFR 43 · 6f · Std · C62025-10-21 · TFR 34 · 5f · Slow · C62025-11-27 · TFR 17 · 5f · Slow · C62025-12-19 · TFR 51 · 5f · Std · C62026-01-02 · TFR 46 · 5.1f · Std · C62026-01-09 · TFR 34 · 5f · Std · C62026-02-09 · TFR 33 · 6.09f · Std · C62026-02-24 · TFR 50 · 4.97f · Std · C62026-03-06 · TFR 46 · 5f · Std · C62026-03-12 · TFR 24 · 5f · Std · C62026-04-15 · TFR 56 · 4.97f · Std · C62026-05-27 · TFR 33 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C62026-06-06 · TFR 56 · 6.01f · Gd/Frm · C62026-06-15 · TFR 52 · 5.5f · Gd/Frm · C62026-07-01 · TFR 36 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C620 Jan 251 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Antony Brittain · 606 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 6-7 company16/2596.2%0.768/6312.7%1.37
Coming back after 15 to 45 days11/1616.8%0.977/828.5%1.27
Over 5-6f trips21/3296.4%0.8212/10811.1%1.26
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
On turf0/1000.0%0.01/492.0%0.51
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)0/100.0%0.00/30.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)3/853.5%0.810/80.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 72 at/around today's trip, clears the ~51 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 8
+0.23 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 41.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 8
+0.19s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 8
98.5%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 8
7.45 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
1 Jul 26Thirsk6fGd/Frm7thTrue42.0 +0.1294.5+0.20
15 Jun 26Wetherby5fGd/Frm4thTrue40.7 +0.02101.4+0.26
6 Jun 26Doncaster6fGd/Frm2ndTrue41.5 -0.0198.8+0.10
27 May 26Beverley5fGd/Frm6thFast early41.6 +0.3297.8+0.19
15 Apr 26Southwell4fStd2ndTrue43.5 +0.8399.1+0.25
12 Mar 26Newcastle5fStd8thTrue41.6 +0.0999.3+0.17
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.18fast2f+0.11fast3f+0.19par4f+0.24par5f+0.58slow6f+0.99very slow
Timed runs 2026-03-12 to 2026-07-01. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“pressed leader, went on over 2f out, headed final ½f, stumbled, no extra”
#4 SIR BENEDICT (IRE) HELD-UP
DRAW 4 · OR · Andrew Mullen / Ben Haslam
MARKET 4.7
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−
47.3 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
47.3 · ranked #5 here · career best 68
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 46
Record at today's distance
4 wins from 48 tries · below market expectation (0.78)
Days since last run
29
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 99.06% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
6thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 344thClass 6 · 5.5f · rated 533rdClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 554thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 545thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 46
Career sheet · last 18 months · 28 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for SIR BENEDICT (IRE)best 68needs 51–542025-01-20 · TFR 46 · 5.1f · Slow · C62025-02-06 · TFR 57 · 4.97f · Std · C62025-02-15 · TFR 15 · 4.97f · Std · C62025-03-06 · TFR 51 · 5f · Slow · C62025-04-12 · TFR 29 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C62025-05-01 · TFR 46 · 4.97f · Std · C62025-06-07 · TFR 35 · 6.01f · Gd/Frm · C62025-06-17 · TFR 44 · 4.97f · Std · C62025-07-15 · TFR 45 · 5f · Good · C62025-08-01 · TFR 39 · 4.97f · Std · C62025-09-01 · TFR 41 · 5f · Good · C62025-09-09 · TFR 17 · 5f · Soft · C62025-09-21 · TFR 57 · 5.03f · Gd/Sft · C62025-09-29 · TFR 42 · 5.03f · Gd/Sft · C52025-10-13 · TFR 60 · 5f · Good · C62025-11-05 · TFR 42 · 5f · Soft · C62025-12-01 · TFR 59 · 5.1f · Slow · C62025-12-13 · TFR 52 · 5.1f · Slow · C62026-01-16 · TFR 50 · 5.1f · Std · C62026-01-27 · TFR 54 · 5.1f · Std · C62026-02-09 · TFR 44 · 5.1f · Std · C62026-02-24 · TFR 31 · 4.97f · Std · C62026-03-12 · TFR 50 · 5f · Std · C62026-04-08 · TFR 46 · 5f · Good · C62026-05-03 · TFR 54 · 5.03f · Good · C62026-05-21 · TFR 55 · 5f · Good · C62026-06-04 · TFR 53 · 5.5f · Gd/Frm · C62026-06-18 · TFR 34 · 4.97f · Std · C620 Jan 2518 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ben Haslam · 395 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.4 on the exchange
Signature angle: at this time of year (Q1), on the all-weather, off a judgement-rated last figure, off a TFR-RISING figure trend, without a sectional tell last time
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-11 ✦19/14013.6%1.2713/7317.8%1.7
In Class 6-7 company ✦16/9716.5%1.4312/5422.2%1.46
Over 5-6f trips ✦14/12711.0%1.0913/7617.1%1.41
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦15/13710.9%1.018/7410.8%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
On turf ✦16/1649.8%0.926/827.3%0.84
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)—0/10.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)8/7910.1%1.10/70.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 68 at/around today's trip, clears the ~51 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 8
+0.55 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 42.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph8th of 8
+0.34s
Slow away in 3 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed3rd of 8
99.1%
One-paced late
Stride length2nd of 8
7.74 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
18 Jun 26Southwell4fStd6thTrue43.0 +0.4497.5+0.23
4 Jun 26Wetherby5fGd/Frm4thTrue43.2 +0.62—+0.37
21 May 26Musselburgh5fGood3rdTrue41.3 +0.25—+0.19
3 May 26Hamilton Park5fGood4thFast early43.6 +0.6396.7+0.40
8 Apr 26Catterick Bridge5.1fGood5thTrue43.2 +0.9099.7+0.62
12 Mar 26Newcastle5fStd2ndTrue42.0 +0.48102.3+0.26
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.45par2f+0.35fast3f+0.36par4f+0.33slow5f+0.86very slow
Timed runs 2026-03-12 to 2026-06-18. · 2 have no finishing speed in either database — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 1 here)
LTO comment
“mid-field, ridden and headway over 1f out, keeping on when short of room final ½f”
#5 RINKY TINKY TINKY HELD-UP
DRAW 7 · OR · Benoit de la Sayette / Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque
MARKET 6.6
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−
47.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
47.0 · ranked #6 here · career best 63
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 56
Record at today's distance
1 win from 13 tries · below market expectation (0.82)
Days since last run
44
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 97.64% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
6thClass 6 · 6.1f · rated 475thClass 6 · 5.7f · rated 458thClass 6 · 6.1f · rated 408thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 424thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 43
Career sheet · last 18 months · 10 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for RINKY TINKY TINKYbest 63needs 51–542025-04-29 · TFR 63 · 6.08f · Good · C62025-05-27 · TFR 61 · 6f · Good · C52025-06-13 · TFR 58 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C52025-07-28 · TFR 48 · 6.05f · Gd/Frm · C62025-08-15 · TFR 41 · 6f · Good · C52025-08-29 · TFR 43 · 5f · Soft · C62025-09-29 · TFR 42 · 5.98f · Good · C62025-11-25 · TFR 36 · 6.09f · Slow · C62026-05-22 · TFR 46 · 5.73f · Gd/Frm · C62026-06-03 · TFR 45 · 6.08f · Good · C629 Apr 253 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque · 85 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 6-7 company4/2913.8%1.360/90.0%0.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days5/4012.5%1.570/70.0%0.0
On turf2/375.4%0.790/110.0%0.0
In fields of 8-113/427.1%0.960/70.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)1/333.3%14.470/10.0%0.0
Over 5-6f trips (small sample)3/2611.5%1.220/30.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)0/240.0%0.00/20.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 63 at/around today's trip, clears the ~51 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 8
+0.10 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 8
+0.24s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed6th of 8
97.6%
One-paced late
Stride length7th of 8
6.89 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
3 Jun 26Nottingham6fGood6thTrue38.4 -0.15100.1+0.42
22 May 26Bath5fGd/Frm5thTrue41.2 +0.3996.2+0.11
25 Nov 25Wolverhampton6fSlow8thFast early41.1 +0.0198.8+0.00
29 Sep 25Brighton5fGood8thTrue43.1 +0.0395.5+0.64
29 Aug 25Ffos Las5fSoft4thTrue41.6 -0.2398.3+0.04
15 Aug 25Newmarket6fGood7thTrue41.0 +0.5297.0+0.25
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.37par2f+0.35slow3f+0.20slow4f+0.10par5f+0.09par6f+0.72slow
Timed runs 2025-08-15 to 2026-06-03. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 3 here)
LTO comment
“in touch, ridden and headway over 1f out, challenged final 1f, weakened final ½f”
#6 GANTHORPE MID
DRAW 3 · OR · Joanna Mason / Michael & David Easterby
MARKET 8.2
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
43 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
43 · ranked #7 here · career best 57
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 47
Record at today's distance
1 win from 11 tries · beats market expectation (1.52)
Days since last run
18
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 97.57% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
7thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 417thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 361stClass 6 · 5.8f · rated 527thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 435thClass 6 · 6.1f · rated 51
Career sheet · last 18 months · 10 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for GANTHORPEbest 54needs 51–542025-12-18 · TFR 44 · 6.07f · Std · C52026-01-19 · TFR 42 · 7.16f · Std · C6 · off-trip2026-02-10 · TFR 52 · 6f · Std · C62026-02-27 · TFR 54 · 6.09f · Std · C62026-03-11 · TFR 48 · 6f · Std · C62026-04-26 · TFR 51 · 6.08f · Good · C62026-05-07 · TFR 42 · 5.99f · Good · C62026-05-29 · TFR 52 · 5.83f · Good · C62026-06-20 · TFR 36 · 5.99f · Good · C62026-06-29 · TFR 41 · 6f · Good · C618 Dec 2529 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael & David Easterby · 1225 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.9 on the exchange
Signature angle: keeping the same jockey
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)32/3638.8%0.92/336.1%0.7
Over 5-6f trips ✦40/4309.3%0.912/1448.3%0.83
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)1/244.2%0.51/425.0%2.64
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 57 at/around today's trip, clears the ~51 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 8
-0.12 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 8
+0.08s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 8
97.6%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 8
7.45 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
29 Jun 26Pontefract6fGood7th—38.0 -0.4299.7+0.09—
20 Jun 26Redcar5fGood7thTrue41.6 -0.4299.0+0.00
29 May 26Carlisle5fGood1stFast early40.3 -0.2194.6-0.03
7 May 26Redcar5fGood7thTrue42.1 -0.0695.6+0.11
26 Apr 26Nottingham6fGood5thTrue40.5 +0.4398.5+0.26
11 Mar 26Newcastle6fStd5thTrue40.4 -0.0497.9+0.05
Timed runs 2026-03-11 to 2026-06-29. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayProven over the trip (11 tries, beats market expectation at 1.52)Stable cold this week — 1 wins from 14 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.34x market expectation)Historically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“mid-field, lost place before straight, beaten over 1f out”
#7 CAPTAIN KINSELLA PROMINENT
DRAW 1 · OR · Rhys Clutterbuck / John Gallagher
MARKET 15
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 5−
41.7 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
41.7 · ranked #8 here · career best 80
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 21 tries · below market expectation (0.48)
Days since last run
123
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 98.91% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
5thClass 6 · 5.1f · rated 314thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 457thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 497thClass 6 · 5.1f · rated 466thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 40
Career sheet · last 18 months · 18 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for CAPTAIN KINSELLAbest 80needs 51–542025-03-19 · TFR 80 · 4.97f · Std · C42025-04-25 · TFR 72 · 5.05f · Gd/Sft · C22025-05-15 · TFR 80 · 5f · Good · C12025-05-24 · TFR 68 · 5f · Good · C42025-06-18 · TFR 61 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C42025-06-30 · TFR 56 · 5.1f · Gd/Frm · C52025-08-08 · TFR 29 · 5.98f · Good · C42025-11-28 · TFR 53 · 4.97f · Std · C42025-12-12 · TFR 45 · 4.97f · Std · C52025-12-22 · TFR 47 · 5.03f · Std/Slow · C62025-12-30 · TFR 62 · 5.1f · Slow · C62026-01-21 · TFR 54 · 5.03f · Slow · C62026-01-29 · TFR 30 · 5.03f · Std · C62026-02-12 · TFR 40 · 5.03f · Std · C62026-02-17 · TFR 44 · 5.1f · Std · C62026-03-04 · TFR 47 · 6f · Slow · C62026-03-12 · TFR 45 · 5f · Std · C62026-03-16 · TFR 31 · 5.1f · Std · C619 Mar 2516 Mar 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads. · last rated run 123 days ago
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
John Gallagher · 281 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 91 to 180 days0/50.0%0.00/60.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)7/907.8%0.760/70.0%0.0
Over 5-6f trips6/777.8%0.72/296.9%0.73
In fields of 8-1112/1259.6%1.093/348.8%0.73
On turf14/1618.7%0.883/397.7%0.77
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)0/90.0%0.00/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 80 at/around today's trip, clears the ~51 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 8
+0.25 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 41.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 8
+0.12s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 8
98.9%
One-paced late
Stride length6th of 8
7.11 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
16 Mar 26Wolverhampton5fStd5thSlow early40.1 -0.25101.5+0.27
12 Mar 26Newcastle5fStd4thTrue41.3 -0.14100.0+0.12
4 Mar 26Kempton Park6fSlow7thFast early41.3 +1.3096.4+0.17
17 Feb 26Wolverhampton5fStd7thFast early42.3 +0.7697.6+0.00
12 Feb 26Lingfield5fStd6thFast early42.8 -0.3598.4+0.03
29 Jan 26Lingfield5fStd8thTrue41.7 +0.2099.5+0.11
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.15fast2f+0.33very slow3f+0.11slow4f+0.29par5f+1.11slow
Timed runs 2026-01-29 to 2026-03-16 · last timed run 123 days ago — the profile is out of date. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“chased leaders, weakened final 1f”
#8 BAILEYS ONTHEROCKS HELD-UP
DRAW 6 · OR · Jason Watson / Tony Carroll
MARKET 46
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
34.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
34.0 · ranked #9 here · career best 62
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 12 tries
Days since last run
10
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 99.98% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
3rdClass 6 · 5.1f · rated 346thClass 6 · 6.1f · rated 168thClass 6 · 5.7f · rated 347thClass 6 · 6.1f · rated 418thClass 6 · 6.1f · rated 56
Career sheet · last 18 months · 12 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for BAILEYS ONTHEROCKSbest 59needs 51–542025-07-31 · TFR 50 · 5.04f · Soft · C42025-08-12 · TFR 56 · 5.03f · Std · C32025-10-09 · TFR 35 · 5.05f · Good · C42025-10-27 · TFR 56 · 5.03f · Std · C52025-12-04 · TFR 59 · 5f · Slow · C62025-12-30 · TFR 45 · 6.09f · Slow · C62026-02-07 · TFR 21 · 5.03f · Std · C62026-03-17 · TFR 49 · 6.09f · Std · C62026-03-31 · TFR 40 · 6.09f · Std · C62026-05-04 · TFR 34 · 5.73f · Good · C62026-06-11 · TFR 16 · 6.08f · Soft · C62026-07-07 · TFR 37 · 5.1f · Std · C631 Jul 257 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Tony Carroll · 2383 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.4 on the exchange
Signature angle: at Bath, above their last winning mark, at this time of year (Q2), on turf, off a TFR-FALLING figure trend, with the mark MARK-FLAT, with a CLAIM-7 claimer up
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On turf ✦97/70713.7%1.246/22720.3%1.41
Over 5-6f trips ✦95/63714.9%1.2246/27616.7%1.19
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3) ✦51/49310.3%0.955/4810.4%0.78
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)2/229.1%1.281/137.7%0.83
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 62 at/around today's trip, clears the ~51 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 8
-0.05 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.0 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 8
+0.31s
Slow away in 3 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed1st of 8
100.0%
One-paced late
Stride length8th of 8
6.85 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
7 Jul 26Wolverhampton5fStd3rdFast early40.1 -0.07100.0+0.42
11 Jun 26Nottingham6fSoft6thTrue39.7 +0.1893.9+0.22
4 May 26Bath5fGood8thTrue40.2 +0.1395.5+0.22
31 Mar 26Wolverhampton6fStd7thSlow early39.6 -0.07103.2+0.44
17 Mar 26Wolverhampton6fStd8thSlow early39.8 -0.45103.7+0.05
7 Feb 26Lingfield5fStd6thTrue40.8 +0.01103.6+0.51
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.80slow2f+0.80fast3f+0.49par4f+0.51slow5f+1.05very slow
Timed runs 2026-02-07 to 2026-07-07. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 10 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“dwelt, off pace early, progress approaching halfway, ridden home turn, one paced”