THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
TOKEN LOVE (FR) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 48.05% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.46s off the lead. The measured order tops GOLDIE TRICKETT (IRE) on 68, 4.7pts clear of REVICH (IRE). GOLDIE TRICKETT (IRE): a genuine turn of foot — 4th-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it. The shape danger is BROUHAHA (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 6
GOLDIE TRICKETT (IRE)
OR 60 · Callum Hutchinson / Jane Chapple-Hyam
MARKET 2.82
68.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−Drops in class todayThe top rating in this field (68.0)
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 4
REVICH (IRE)
OR 59 · Harry Davies / Adrian Wintle
MARKET 5.6
63.3FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−33lb below his last winning mark (59 today vs 92)Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (63.3)
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 5
TOKEN LOVE (FR)
OR 59 · Aiden Brookes / Micky Hammond
MARKET 6.8
60.3FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 6−Rated #3 in this field (60.3)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1GOLDIE TRICKETT (IRE)net +7figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, energy in the winning band, runs the dominant winning style here, yard positive in today’s setup
2REVICH (IRE)net +5figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, energy in the winning band, yard hot
3FINALLY ESCAPEDnet +4drops in class, market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band, yard positive in today’s setup − habitually slow away, yard cold, clock FADE
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Worth A Second Look
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
FINALLY ESCAPED FIGURE #4
Roger Fell's runners on turf win 12.6% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 6 runners · stalls 1–6
123456
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn HIGH (early types average stall 5.0 of 6, field average 3.5).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: GOLDIE TRICKETT (IRE) is 0/1 on softer ground · REVICH (IRE) is 1/9 on softer ground · TOKEN LOVE (FR) is 0/2 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
GOLDIE TRICKETT (IRE)MID48.7%103.4a genuine turn of foot — 4th-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
TOKEN LOVE (FR)PROMINENT49.9%99.0the only measured early speed in the race, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late · sharp from the stalls
REVICH (IRE)MID48.5%104.4a genuine turn of foot — 3rd-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
FINALLY ESCAPEDHELD-UP48.0%105.0a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
BROUHAHA (IRE)HELD-UP48.6%108.1the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
NICOLAIHELD-UP48.8%103.3a genuine turn of foot — 5th-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
TOKEN LOVE (FR)PROMINENTtypically ~2.6 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
TOKEN LOVE (FR) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1GOLDIE TRICKETT (IRE)MID
DRAW 6 · OR 60 · Callum Hutchinson / Jane Chapple-Hyam
MARKET 2.82
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
68.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
68.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 68
Official mark (OR)
60 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
34
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock Usually races prominent and weakens
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 103.36% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jane Chapple-Hyam · 531 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 9-10f trips5/786.4%0.722/1811.1%0.82
At this time of year (Q3)14/13910.1%0.893/1816.7%0.85
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)0/100.0%0.02/633.3%2.77
In Class 6-7 company (small sample)7/2429.2%1.412/922.2%0.7
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 70 at/around today's trip, clears the ~64.3 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 6
-0.04 mph
About the level of its fields · 38.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 6
+0.24s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 6
103.4%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length2nd of 6
7.26 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
13 Jun 26Leicester10fGood4thTrue37.8 -0.38104.2+0.18
27 May 26Kempton Park8fSlow8thTrue38.9 -0.1297.5+0.01
20 May 26Yarmouth10fGood5thTrue39.2 -0.32106.2+0.00
Timed runs 2025-09-29 to 2026-06-13. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Drops in class todayThe top rating in this field (68.0)Only 2 runs at this distanceHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
Career sheet · last 18 months · 14 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Adrian Wintle · 584 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)17/14212.0%0.944/1330.8%2.03
In fields of <=78/6013.3%0.768/3622.2%1.56
Coming back after 15 to 45 days20/2199.1%0.8311/9511.6%1.16
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Below their last winning mark8/5414.8%1.44/449.1%0.85
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)1/128.3%0.740/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 105 at/around today's trip, clears the ~64.3 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 6
-0.12 mph
About the level of its fields · 38.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 6
+0.19s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 6
104.4%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length6th of 6
6.88 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
13 Jun 26Bath8fGood4thTrue38.3 +0.1597.3+0.00
5 Jun 26Bath10fGood3rdTrue38.4 +0.11103.3+0.20
4 May 26Windsor10fGd/Frm6thTrue38.6 -0.89108.4+0.34
Timed runs 2026-02-17 to 2026-06-13. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
33lb below his last winning mark (59 today vs 92)Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (63.3)Historically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“in touch, effort over 2f out, stayed on”
#3TOKEN LOVE (FR)PROMINENT
DRAW 5 · OR 59 · Aiden Brookes / Micky Hammond
MARKET 6.8
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 6−
60.3FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
60.3 · ranked #3 here · career best 71
Official mark (OR)
59 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 3 tries
Days since last run
79
Sectional clock
Last time: 2.2s slower than par — the result flattered it Usually races prominent and weakens
Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Micky Hammond · 319 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 10.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Nottingham0/70.0%0.0—
Over 9-10f trips3/496.1%0.950/80.0%0.0
Coming back after 46 to 90 days1/137.7%0.90/60.0%0.0
On turf10/1576.4%0.870/230.0%0.0
In fields of <=72/494.1%0.410/140.0%0.0
In Class 6-7 company9/1675.4%0.81/452.2%0.33
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)3/863.5%0.480/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 71 at/around today's trip, clears the ~64.3 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 6
+0.01 mph
About the level of its fields · 37.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 6
+0.02s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed6th of 6
99.0%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 6
7.44 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2025-10-04 to 2026-04-29. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Rated #3 in this field (60.3)Only 3 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“pressed leader, every chance approaching final 1f, weakened final 100 yds”
#4FINALLY ESCAPEDHELD-UP
DRAW 3 · OR 54 · Jason Watson / Roger Fell
MARKET backed 4.9 → 4.3
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−
57.7FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
57.7 · ranked #4 here · career best 61
Official mark (OR)
54 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
84
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.3s) · faster than its field on the clock Usually races midfield
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 104.95% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 6 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Roger Fell · 364 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 9-10f trips2/2010.0%0.812/1216.7%1.78
In Class 6-7 company14/9115.4%1.417/4017.5%1.44
On turf ✦15/13511.1%1.2312/9512.6%1.22
In fields of <=73/339.1%0.773/2114.3%1.18
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)6/797.6%0.750/170.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
At Nottingham (small sample)0/40.0%0.0—
Coming back after 46 to 90 days (small sample)1/714.3%2.350/60.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 70 at/around today's trip, clears the ~64.3 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 6
+0.31 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 38.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 6
+0.53s
Slow away in 4 of 5 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed2nd of 6
105.0%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length3rd of 6
7.22 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-02-10 to 2026-04-24. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 3 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Drops in class todayOnly 2 runs at this distanceLost roughly 1.7 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“dwelt, off pace, pushed along 3f out, ridden and headway final 1f, kept on”
#5BROUHAHA (IRE)HELD-UP
DRAW 2 · OR 55 · Alistair Rawlinson / Michael Appleby
MARKET drifting 9 → 11
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−
55.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
55.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 55 · earned over 8.0/8.1f — never rated near today's distance (untested here)
Official mark (OR)
55 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
16
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.6s) Usually races held-up closer
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 108.12% (strong late)
Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael Appleby · 1542 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: in fields of 8-11
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of <=7 ✦38/21817.4%1.0516/6425.0%1.44
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 6-7 company39/29813.1%1.058/6412.5%0.84
At this time of year (Q3)45/32813.7%1.223/339.1%0.84
Too few runners to read reliably
Over 9-10f trips (small sample)4/666.1%0.712/1216.7%2.05
At Nottingham (small sample)12/6817.6%1.862/1513.3%1.26
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 55 is below the ~64.3 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 6
-1.98 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.2 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph6th of 6
+0.55s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 6
108.1%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length4th of 6
7.15 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
1 Jul 26Thirsk7fGd/Frm6thTrue39.3 -0.67108.0+0.26
30 May 26Catterick Bridge7fGd/Frm6thSlow early37.0 -3.30108.2+0.84
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-05-30 to 2026-07-01. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Figure OFF-CONTEXT (8f→10f, C4→C6) — earned under different conditionsDrops in class todayRating earned over 8.0/8.1f, not today's distance — never rated near today's trip (untested at this distance)Stable cold this week — 0 wins from 12 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.7x market expectation)
LTO comment
“steadied start, rear, ran green home turn, never dangerous”
#6NICOLAIHELD-UP
DRAW 1 · OR 46 · Cam Hardie / Neil Mulholland
MARKET backed 55 → 50
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−
40.7FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
40.7 · ranked #6 here · career best 49
Official mark (OR)
46 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
99
Sectional clock
Last time: 0.8s slower than par — the result flattered it Usually races held-up (one-paced)
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 103.3% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Neil Mulholland · 112 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of <=72/1315.4%2.521/714.3%2.49
Over 9-10f trips2/326.2%0.881/714.3%2.27
On turf4/458.9%1.552/1612.5%1.39
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 6-7 company5/559.1%0.971/128.3%0.69
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after 91 to 180 days (small sample)1/911.1%3.530/30.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)1/175.9%1.190/20.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 53 is below the ~64.3 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 6
-0.55 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 6
+0.33s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 6
103.3%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length5th of 6
6.95 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2025-12-17 to 2026-04-09. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Figure OFF-CONTEXT (aw→turf) — earned under different conditionsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price