THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 49.41% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 2.5 at halfway, 0.18s off the lead. The measured order tops HANSTEEN on 62, 9pts clear of MUHIB. HANSTEEN: held up without the late gear (7th of 7 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front. The shape danger is BALQAA — the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 1
HANSTEEN
OR · Jake Dickson / John & Sean Quinn
MARKET backed 2.32 → 1.69
62.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 4+ / 0−The top rating in this field (62.0)Jockey goes well at this track (1.89x market expectation)Race-fit — ran 11 days ago
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 5
MUHIB
OR · Joe Bradnam / Olly Williams
MARKET backed 9.6 → 6
53.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 2−Rated #3 in this field (53.0)Race-fit — ran 10 days agoRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 8
RESDEV TIME
OR · Lewis Chalkley / Michael & David Easterby
MARKET 13
51.3FORMLAB FIGURE · #4 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 1−Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultRace-fit — ran 11 days ago
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1MUHIBnet +8race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, quickest early type, sharp from the stalls, energy in the winning band, runs the dominant winning style here
2HANSTEENnet +5figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, yard positive in today’s setup − burns early and empties
3COVERBRIDGEnet +5race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, backed since morning, runs the dominant winning style here, yard positive in today’s setup
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Worth A Second Look
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
YAKHABAR FIGURE #8
Liam Bailey's runners kept to the same class win 11.9% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (2 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 7 runners · stalls 1–8
12345678
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–8).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: HANSTEEN is 0/3 on softer ground · MUHIB is 0/6 on softer ground · RESDEV TIME is 0/6 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
BALQAAHELD-UP47.5%104.9the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
COVERBRIDGEPROMINENT51.3%99.8a match for the quickest early, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late
MUHIBPROMINENT49.7%102.3the quickest of today's early types, at the tempo that wins here — and holds on late · sharp from the stalls
PRINCE HECTOR (IRE)MID48.9%103.4a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
YAKHABARMID48.8%102.5the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
HANSTEENMID52.4%96.6held up without the late gear (7th of 7 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
RESDEV TIMEMID50.1%101.3solid late gains (5th of 7 on late speed here), races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
MUHIBPROMINENTtypically ~1.4 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
COVERBRIDGEPROMINENTtypically ~1.2 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.10s off the field’s best
nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
John & Sean Quinn · 775 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 6-7 company17/10915.6%1.337/3420.6%1.73
Coming back after 8 to 14 days11/1219.1%0.673/2114.3%1.65
In fields of 8-1129/3328.7%0.788/6711.9%1.36
On turf46/4859.5%0.849/969.4%1.25
Too few runners to read reliably
At Pontefract (small sample)4/1921.1%1.862/728.6%2.92
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)28/27810.1%0.911/119.1%1.57
Over 11f+ trips (small sample)1/185.6%0.541/812.5%0.84
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 62 at/around today's trip, clears the ~56.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 7
-0.42 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 7
+0.16s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 7
96.6%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 7
6.94 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2025-10-23 to 2026-07-06. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
The top rating in this field (62.0)Improving fast — last run rated 62, 17pts above his recent average of 45.0Only 1 run at this distanceJockey goes well at this track (1.89x market expectation)NEARLY WON LTO — traded 1.01 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Race-fit — ran 11 days ago
LTO comment
“steadied start, off pace, hung right entering straight, stumbled 2f out”
#2MUHIBPROMINENT
DRAW 5 · OR · Joe Bradnam / Olly Williams
MARKET backed 9.6 → 6
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 2−
53.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
53.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 65
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 11 tries
Days since last run
10
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 102.29% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 22 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Olly Williams · 93 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 16.1 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-112/395.1%0.682/1513.3%2.86
Coming back after 8 to 14 days0/130.0%0.01/714.3%1.72
In Class 6-7 company2/573.5%0.432/219.5%1.48
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 11f+ trips0/160.0%0.00/110.0%0.0
On turf0/340.0%0.00/130.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
At Pontefract (small sample)0/10.0%0.00/20.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)0/130.0%0.00/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 65 at/around today's trip, clears the ~56.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 7
-0.20 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 37.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 7
+0.02s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 7
102.3%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length7th of 7
6.90 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-05-04 to 2026-07-07. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Rated #3 in this field (53.0)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 10 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“tracked pace, led home turn, headed over 1f out, faded”
#3RESDEV TIMEMID
DRAW 8 · OR · Lewis Chalkley / Michael & David Easterby
MARKET 13
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 1−
51.3FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
51.3 · ranked #4 here · career best 56
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
11
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 101.27% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 11 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael & David Easterby · 1225 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.9 on the exchange
Signature angle: keeping the same jockey
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)32/3638.8%0.92/336.1%0.7
Too few runners to read reliably
Over 11f+ trips (small sample)3/684.4%0.391/812.5%1.84
At Pontefract (small sample)5/628.1%0.762/1910.5%0.98
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 58 at/around today's trip, clears the ~56.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 7
-0.15 mph
About the level of its fields · 37.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 7
-0.01s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 3 of 5
Finish · closing speed5th of 7
101.3%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length1st of 7
7.20 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
6 Jul 26Ripon12fGood6thTrue37.8 +0.02106.4—
23 Jun 26Beverley9fGd/Frm3rdTrue38.0 -0.2898.6+0.06
26 May 26Redcar7fGd/Frm6thTrue40.5 +0.0099.5+0.00
8 May 26Ripon8fGood5thTrue39.2 -0.08100.9+0.00
20 Apr 26Redcar7fGd/Frm5thTrue39.2 -0.2098.1+0.10
4 Nov 25Redcar7fGood5thTrue40.3 -0.33104.1-0.22
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-11-04 to 2026-07-06. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 1 run at this distanceStable cold this week — 1 wins from 14 runsMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultRace-fit — ran 11 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“mid-field, pushed along over 2f out, held when short of room late on”
Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Peter Winks
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 62 at/around today's trip, clears the ~56.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 7
-0.44 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 7
+0.10s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed6th of 7
99.8%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 7
7.12 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-03-21 to 2026-07-07. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayOnly 3 runs at this distanceMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultRace-fit — ran 10 days agoHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“in touch, not clear run home turn, ridden soon after, not quicken”
#5BALQAAHELD-UP
DRAW 7 · OR · Matthew Lloyd Slater / Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay
MARKET drifting 13.5 → 32
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
49FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
49 · ranked #6 here · career best 68
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 55
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
61
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 104.87% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 15 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay · 68 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)—1/520.0%2.98
Over 11f+ trips—3/650.0%2.86
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
On turf—1/147.1%0.74
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after 46 to 90 days (small sample)—0/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 68 at/around today's trip, clears the ~56.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 7
+0.68 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 39.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 7
+0.68s
Slow away in 6 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed1st of 7
104.9%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length6th of 7
6.90 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-01-17 to 2026-05-17. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayOnly 1 run at this distanceHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“slowly away, rear, shaken up under 3f out, never dangerous”
#6PRINCE HECTOR (IRE)MID
DRAW 6 · OR · Roisin Leech / Jessica Bedi
MARKET 120
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 5−
47FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
47 · ranked #7 here · career best 58
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 10 tries · beats market expectation (1.22)
Days since last run
45
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 103.41% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 21 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jessica Bedi · 100 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 14.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 11f+ trips1/333.0%0.610/240.0%0.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days0/260.0%0.00/100.0%0.0
In fields of 8-111/323.1%0.560/180.0%0.0
In Class 6-7 company1/412.4%0.371/254.0%0.48
On turf0/310.0%0.01/195.3%0.77
Too few runners to read reliably
At Pontefract (small sample)0/20.0%0.00/30.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)0/130.0%0.00/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 58 at/around today's trip, clears the ~56.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 7
-0.31 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 36.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 7
+0.13s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 7
103.4%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length3rd of 7
7.13 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
2 Jun 26Newcastle10fStd6thTrue37.8 -0.19107.9+0.17
25 May 26Redcar10fGd/Frm6thTrue38.6 -0.01102.0+0.31
11 May 26Catterick Bridge12fGood13thTrue37.9 -0.2697.9+0.09
10 Mar 26Wolverhampton12fStd5thTrue36.4 -0.78105.8+0.00
26 Feb 26Chelmsford City10fStd5thTrue37.8 -0.51106.1+0.11
26 Jan 26Wolverhampton12fStd9thTrue36.3 -0.10100.8+0.10
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-01-26 to 2026-06-02. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayProven over the trip (10 tries, beats market expectation at 1.22)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“close up, challenged 2f out, no extra final 1f”
#7YAKHABARMIDFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 4 · OR · Kyle McHugh / Liam Bailey
MARKET backed 70 → 34
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−
43.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
43.0 · ranked #8 here · career best 70
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 45
Record at today's distance
4 wins from 21 tries · beats market expectation (3.1)
Days since last run
10
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 102.52% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 21 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Liam Bailey · 411 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 8.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 11f+ trips6/5111.8%1.66/3218.8%1.86
On turf15/1539.8%1.234/3212.5%1.26
In fields of 8-11 ✦12/1627.4%1.058/7610.5%1.23
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 8 to 14 days11/7315.1%1.552/2010.0%0.8
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)7/779.1%1.151/333.3%3.84
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 70 at/around today's trip, clears the ~56.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 7
-0.25 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 37.4 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 7
+0.48s
Slow away in 4 of 5 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed3rd of 7
102.5%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length2nd of 7
7.17 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-03-14 to 2026-07-07. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayProven over the trip (21 tries, beats market expectation at 3.1)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 10 days agoHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits