FORMLAB RACING
THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT
Pontefract · 19:07
Class 3 · 5.01f · Good to Firm (Good in places)
GENERATED 2026-07-17 · 7 RUNNERS PROFILED
THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 50.05% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 2 at halfway, 0.07s off the lead. The measured order tops BADRI on 107, 8pts clear of I'M NEXT. BADRI: held up without the late gear (5th of 7 on late speed), races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 5
BADRI
OR 96 · Conor Whiteley / Michael Herrington
MARKET backed 3.7 → 2.86
107.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 3 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (107.0)Proven over the trip (45 tries, beats market expectation at 1.65)
2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 7
I'M NEXT
OR 89 · David Allan / Tim Easterby
MARKET 6
99.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 3 todayRated #2 in this field (99.0)Proven over the trip (18 tries, beats market expectation at 2.3)Historically underestimated by the market
3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 1
VANTHEMAN (IRE)
OR 88 · Tom Eaves / Kevin Ryan
MARKET 5.5
96.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 3−Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 3 todayDrops in class todayRated #3 in this field (96.0)Historically underestimated by the market
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1BADRInet +12figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band
2I'M NEXTnet +8figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, quickest early type, energy in the winning band, proven at trip
3REIGNING PROFIT (IRE)net +6race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), energy in the winning band, proven at trip, yard positive in today’s setup, FormLab watch flag
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (2 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 7 runners · stalls 1–7
1234567
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–7).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: BADRI is 1/9 on softer ground · I'M NEXT is 0/2 on softer ground · VANTHEMAN (IRE) is 0/3 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
BADRI MID 50.2% 97.7 held up without the late gear (5th of 7 on late speed), races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
SIR YOSHI (IRE) MID 51.0% 97.5 held up without the late gear (6th of 7 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
BAKER BLUE PROMINENT 49.5% 99.7 the quickest of today's early types, without over-committing — but holds one pace late · sharp from the stalls
I'M NEXT PROMINENT 50.2% 100.0 the quickest of today's early types, at the tempo that wins here — but holds one pace late
VANTHEMAN (IRE) MID 51.0% 97.0 held up without the late gear (7th of 7 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
REIGNING PROFIT (IRE) MID 50.0% 99.8 the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
HOVER ON THE WIND (IRE) MID 49.6% 99.9 the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
BAKER BLUEPROMINENTtypically ~1.7 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
I'M NEXTPROMINENTtypically ~1.7 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.06s off the field’s best
nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1 BADRI MID DOOR 2 · UNDER-RAISED WINNER
DRAW 5 · OR 96 · Conor Whiteley / Michael Herrington
MARKET backed 3.7 → 2.86
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−
107.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
107.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 108
Official mark (OR)
96 · last won off 92
Record at today's distance
8 wins from 45 tries · beats market expectation (1.65)
Days since last run
10
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · best on the clock in its race
Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 97.68% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
1stClass 2 · 6.0f · rated 1071stClass 3 · 6.0f · rated 1027thClass 2 · 6.0f · rated 851stClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 966thClass 3 · 6.1f · rated 87
Career sheet · last 18 months · 27 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for BADRIbest 108needs 98–1052025-01-30 · TFR 94 · 6.07f · Std · C32025-02-20 · TFR 95 · 5f · Slow · C32025-03-14 · TFR 86 · 6.07f · Std · C22025-04-18 · TFR 71 · 6f · Std · C22025-04-27 · TFR 91 · 6.07f · Slow · C32025-05-11 · TFR 78 · 6f · Std · C22025-06-07 · TFR 95 · 6.01f · Soft · C22025-06-27 · TFR 88 · 5f · Std · C22025-07-08 · TFR 96 · 6f · Good · C22025-07-21 · TFR 95 · 6f · Gd/Sft · C32025-07-28 · TFR 100 · 6.05f · Gd/Frm · C32025-08-11 · TFR 100 · 6.05f · Gd/Frm · C22025-08-23 · TFR 71 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C22025-09-06 · TFR 67 · 6f · Good · C22025-09-20 · TFR 92 · 6f · Soft · C22025-10-31 · TFR 84 · 6.07f · Std · C32025-11-20 · TFR 89 · 5f · Slow · C32025-12-09 · TFR 95 · 5f · Slow · C32026-01-20 · TFR 97 · 6f · Std · C32026-02-06 · TFR 85 · 5f · Std · C32026-03-07 · TFR 90 · 6.09f · Std · C32026-03-27 · TFR 46 · 6f · Std · C32026-05-11 · TFR 87 · 6.05f · Gd/Frm · C32026-05-25 · TFR 96 · 5.99f · Gd/Frm · C42026-06-06 · TFR 85 · 6.01f · Soft · C22026-06-21 · TFR 102 · 6f · Good · C32026-07-07 · TFR 107 · 6f · Good · C230 Jan 257 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael Herrington · 677 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.6 on the exchange
Signature angle: over 7-8f trips, coming back after 8 to 14 days, with a new jockey booked, switching jockey after a defeat, off a judgement-rated last figure, without a sectional tell last time, after a slow start last time, without a recent yard winner, mid-campaign
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 8 to 14 days13/11211.6%1.0313/4231.0%2.25
On turf23/18512.4%1.1713/7118.3%1.48
Above their last winning mark31/20315.3%1.318/9818.4%1.37
Over 5-6f trips16/1958.2%0.8313/7517.3%1.28
In fields of <=711/5619.6%1.277/2626.9%1.26
Too few runners to read reliably
At Pontefract (small sample)0/40.0%0.02/366.7%2.88
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)17/13812.3%1.144/1330.8%1.56
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 108 at/around today's trip, clears the ~98.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 7
-0.08 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 7
+0.11s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 7
97.7%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 7
7.44 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
7 Jul 26Pontefract6fGood1stTrue39.8 -0.27101.6-0.05
21 Jun 26Pontefract6fGood1stTrue39.4 -0.14100.1+0.11
6 Jun 26Epsom Downs6fSoft7thFast early41.9 -0.3994.0+0.16
25 May 26Redcar5fGd/Frm1stTrue43.6 +0.0898.8+0.15
11 May 26Windsor6fGd/Frm6thTrue41.5 +0.04100.2+0.17
27 Mar 26Newcastle6fStd13thTrue41.7 +0.2091.5+0.13
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fledslow2fledslow3fledpar4fledfast5fledfast6fledfast
Timed runs 2026-03-27 to 2026-07-07. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
4lb above his last winning mark (96 today vs 92)Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 3 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (107.0)Improving fast — last run rated 107, 9pts above his recent average of 98.0Proven over the trip (45 tries, beats market expectation at 1.65)Race-fit — ran 10 days agoHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (2 from 3 here)Sectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“soon led, kicked on home turn, went clear approaching final 1f, kept up to work”
#2 I'M NEXT PROMINENT
DRAW 7 · OR 89 · David Allan / Tim Easterby
MARKET 6
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
99.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
99.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 99
Official mark (OR)
89 · last won off 86
Record at today's distance
5 wins from 18 tries · beats market expectation (2.3)
Days since last run
14
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.7s) · best on the clock in its race
Usually races front-runner · clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 99.96% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
1stClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 991stClass 3 · 5.0f · rated 963rdClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 8920thClass 2 · 5.0f · rated 464thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 78
Career sheet · last 18 months · 16 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for I'M NEXTbest 99needs 98–1052025-04-23 · TFR 70 · 5f · Good · C52025-05-16 · TFR 52 · 5f · Good · C32025-06-26 · TFR 82 · 5f · Slow · C52025-07-05 · TFR 72 · 5f · Good · C42025-07-25 · TFR 64 · 5.4f · Good · C42025-08-30 · TFR 84 · 5.07f · Firm · C42025-09-14 · TFR 87 · 5f · Good · C52025-09-27 · TFR 35 · 5f · Good · C22025-10-18 · TFR 56 · 5f · Gd/Sft · C22026-04-15 · TFR 91 · 5f · Gd/Sft · C32026-04-23 · TFR 90 · 5f · Good · C42026-04-26 · TFR 78 · 5f · Good · C42026-05-14 · TFR 46 · 5f · Good · C22026-06-05 · TFR 89 · 5f · Good · C42026-06-20 · TFR 96 · 5f · Good · C32026-07-03 · TFR 99 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C423 Apr 253 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Tim Easterby · 2884 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.8 on the exchange
Signature angle: stepping up in class, at 16+ odds, with their 4yo+s, off a TFR-RISING figure trend, in fields of 12-15
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Pontefract13/11811.0%0.942/345.9%0.56
In Class 1-3 company15/3754.0%0.637/1335.3%0.73
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 98 at/around today's trip, clears the ~98.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 7
-0.13 mph
About the level of its fields · 42.0 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 7
+0.06s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 7
100.0%
One-paced late
Stride length3rd of 7
7.55 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
3 Jul 26Beverley5fGd/Frm1st41.1 -0.37100.2-0.04
20 Jun 26Redcar5fGood1stTrue42.7 -0.20103.1+0.00
5 Jun 26Musselburgh5fGood3rdTrue41.5 -0.30101.2+0.26
14 May 26York5fGood20thTrue42.8 +0.3094.6+0.02
26 Apr 26Musselburgh5fGood4thTrue41.8 -0.04102.1+0.12
23 Apr 26Beverley5fGood1stFast early41.7 -0.1898.6-0.02
Timed runs 2026-04-23 to 2026-07-03. · finishing speed for 3 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
3lb above his last winning mark (89 today vs 86)Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 3 todayRated #2 in this field (99.0)Proven over the trip (18 tries, beats market expectation at 2.3)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“made all, pushed along approaching final 1f, ran on”
#3 VANTHEMAN (IRE) MID
DRAW 1 · OR 88 · Tom Eaves / Kevin Ryan
MARKET 5.5
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 3−
96.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
96.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 96
Official mark (OR)
88 · last won off 84
Record at today's distance
4 wins from 23 tries · beats market expectation (1.19)
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class
Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 97.04% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
4thClass 2 · 5.0f · rated 963rdClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 951stClass 3 · 5.0f · rated 9510thClass 3 · 5.0f · rated —7thClass 2 · 5.0f · rated 76
Career sheet · last 18 months · 15 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for VANTHEMAN (IRE)needs 98–105best 962025-04-15 · TFR 88 · 6f · Gd/Sft · C22025-05-15 · TFR 75 · 5f · Good · C22025-06-05 · TFR 86 · 6.03f · Good · C22025-06-26 · TFR 93 · 5.03f · Gd/Frm · C32025-07-18 · TFR 76 · 6.03f · Gd/Frm · C22025-08-20 · TFR 78 · 5.4f · Good · C22025-09-07 · TFR 82 · 5.4f · Gd/Frm · C22025-09-27 · TFR 78 · 6f · Good · C32025-10-10 · TFR 84 · 5f · Good · C32026-01-22 · TFR 92 · 5f · Std · C42026-02-20 · TFR 83 · 6.07f · Std/Slow · C42026-04-07 · TFR 76 · 5.01f · Gd/Sft · C22026-05-17 · TFR 95 · 5.03f · Good · C32026-05-31 · TFR 95 · 5f · Good · C42026-06-26 · TFR 96 · 5f · Slow · C215 Apr 2526 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Kevin Ryan · 1202 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of <=729/16517.6%1.054/567.1%0.41
At this time of year (Q3)37/4218.8%0.92/296.9%0.75
In Class 1-3 company35/4008.8%1.018/1236.5%0.77
Too few runners to read reliably
At Pontefract (small sample)4/3810.5%0.831/147.1%0.5
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 96 is below the ~98.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 7
-0.50 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 42.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 7
+0.42s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 7
97.0%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 7
7.86 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
26 Jun 26Newcastle5fSlow4thTrue43.4 +0.0297.7+0.12
31 May 26Thirsk5fGood3rdTrue44.0 +0.15102.4+0.07
17 May 26Hamilton Park5fGood1stTrue44.6 +0.4397.0+0.03
2 May 26Thirsk5fGd/Frm10thTrue40.0 -2.9283.5+1.63
7 Apr 26Pontefract5fGd/Sft7thFast early40.3 -0.3898.1+0.37
20 Feb 26Southwell6fStd/Slow8thTrue39.9 -0.28103.5+0.30
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.33fast2f+0.21par3fledpar4f+0.19very slow5f+0.19slow
Timed runs 2026-02-20 to 2026-06-26. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
4lb above his last winning mark (88 today vs 84)Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 3 todayDrops in class todayRated #3 in this field (96.0)Historically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 3 here)Sectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“prominent, ridden 2f out, outpaced soon after, kept on final 1f”
#4 REIGNING PROFIT (IRE) MID DOOR 2 · UNDER-RAISED WINNER
DRAW 6 · OR 81 · James Sullivan / Ruth Carr
MARKET drifting 8.6 → 11
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 4−
88.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
88.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 88
Official mark (OR)
81 · last won off 77
Record at today's distance
9 wins from 51 tries · beats market expectation (1.46)
Days since last run
11
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.3s)
Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 99.76% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
1stClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 886thClass 3 · 5.0f · rated 844thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 8610thClass 2 · 5.0f · rated 632ndClass 3 · 5.0f · rated 85
Career sheet · last 18 months · 26 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for REIGNING PROFIT (IRE)needs 98–105best 882025-03-04 · TFR 68 · 5f · Slow · C42025-03-27 · TFR 73 · 5.1f · Std/Slow · C42025-04-14 · TFR 80 · 5.01f · Good · C52025-04-21 · TFR 74 · 5.1f · Std · C52025-04-30 · TFR 86 · 5.01f · Good · C42025-05-09 · TFR 88 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-05-18 · TFR 67 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C42025-06-15 · TFR 69 · 5.03f · Gd/Sft · C32025-07-02 · TFR 75 · 6f · Good · C32025-07-12 · TFR 86 · 5f · Firm · C22025-07-29 · TFR 55 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C22025-08-10 · TFR 49 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C42025-08-17 · TFR 86 · 5.01f · Good · C32025-09-06 · TFR 62 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C22025-09-23 · TFR 60 · 4.97f · Std · C42025-10-06 · TFR 55 · 6f · Soft · C32025-10-20 · TFR 77 · 5.01f · Heavy · C42026-03-14 · TFR 79 · 4.97f · Std · C42026-03-27 · TFR 78 · 5f · Std · C42026-04-07 · TFR 71 · 5.01f · Gd/Sft · C22026-04-26 · TFR 70 · 5f · Good · C42026-05-17 · TFR 85 · 5.03f · Good · C32026-05-23 · TFR 63 · 5f · Good · C22026-06-21 · TFR 86 · 5.01f · Good · C42026-06-25 · TFR 84 · 5.03f · Gd/Frm · C32026-07-06 · TFR 88 · 5f · Good · C44 Mar 256 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ruth Carr · 1259 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)37/35310.5%1.14/2615.4%1.51
At Pontefract7/3818.4%1.853/2015.0%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of <=719/12615.1%1.044/3710.8%0.76
On turf58/52111.1%1.2313/1628.0%0.77
Above their last winning mark45/33213.6%1.312/1259.6%0.8
Coming back after 8 to 14 days40/30912.9%1.319/949.6%0.81
Too few runners to read reliably
In Class 1-3 company (small sample)3/754.0%0.651/195.3%0.7
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 89 is below the ~98.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 7
-0.27 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 42.4 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 7
+0.28s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 7
99.8%
One-paced late
Stride length2nd of 7
7.76 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
6 Jul 26Ripon5fGood1stTrue42.9 +0.36100.0
25 Jun 26Hamilton Park5fGd/Frm6thTrue43.7 -0.0297.5+0.21
21 Jun 26Pontefract5fGood4thTrue40.8 -0.75100.2+0.41
23 May 26York5fGood10thTrue42.1 -0.1199.8+0.21
17 May 26Hamilton Park5fGood2ndTrue43.5 -0.7598.9+0.24
26 Apr 26Musselburgh5fGood5thTrue41.5 -0.32102.1+0.32
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fledfast2f+0.10par3f+0.05par4fledpar5fledslow
Timed runs 2026-04-26 to 2026-07-06. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
4lb above his last winning mark (81 today vs 77)Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 3 todayProven over the trip (51 tries, beats market expectation at 1.46)Stable in form this week — 2 wins from 12 runsRace-fit — ran 11 days agoHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (4 from 9 here)
LTO comment
“in touch, under pressure 2f out, stayed on again final ½f”
#5 SIR YOSHI (IRE) MID
DRAW 3 · OR 90 · Silvestre De Sousa / Geoffrey Harker
MARKET drifting 7.4 → 9.6
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 3−
87.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
87.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 109
Official mark (OR)
90 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 16 tries · below market expectation (0.62)
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races midfield
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 97.53% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
9thClass 2 · 5.0f · rated —9thClass 2 · 6.0f · rated 8718thClass 2 · 6.0f · rated 5915thClass 2 · 6.0f · rated 792ndClass · 5.0f · rated 109
Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for SIR YOSHI (IRE)best 109needs 98–1052025-03-14 · TFR 84 · 6f · Slow2025-04-28 · TFR 82 · 5f · Gd/Sft2025-05-15 · TFR 96 · 5f · Good · C12025-06-13 · TFR 91 · 5f · Gd/Sft2025-07-02 · TFR 86 · 5f · Gd/Frm2025-09-06 · TFR 109 · 5f · Good2025-10-11 · TFR 79 · 6f · Good · C22026-05-13 · TFR 59 · 6f · Gd/Sft · C22026-05-31 · TFR 87 · 6f · Good · C214 Mar 2531 May 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Geoffrey Harker · 168 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 13.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days5/647.8%1.043/1717.6%1.77
On turf8/1027.8%1.013/2611.5%1.16
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 1-3 company1/273.7%0.480/80.0%0.0
Over 5-6f trips2/306.7%0.890/50.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)3/565.4%0.660/50.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
At Pontefract (small sample)0/20.0%0.01/250.0%2.24
In fields of <=7 (small sample)0/100.0%0.00/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 109 at/around today's trip, clears the ~98.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 7
-0.25 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 42.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 7
+0.10s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed6th of 7
97.5%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 7
7.52 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
26 Jun 26Newcastle5fSlow9thTrue43.0 -0.4099.4+0.04
31 May 26Thirsk6fGood9thTrue42.7 -0.05-0.08
13 May 26York6fGd/Sft18thTrue41.6 -0.2793.1+0.28
11 Oct 25York6fGood15thTrue41.4 -0.2794.1+0.20
15 May 25York5fGood4thTrue41.8 -0.40100.8-0.03
24 Aug 24York5fGd/Frm3rdTrue42.6 -0.08100.2+0.17
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.55par2f+0.56par3f+0.54par4f+0.36slow5f+0.42slow
Timed runs 2024-08-24 to 2026-06-26. · 1 have no finishing speed in either database — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Drops in class todayImproving fast — last run rated 87, 12pts above his recent average of 75.0Historically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“chased leaders, pushed along around halfway, lost place over 1f out”
#6 BAKER BLUE PROMINENT
DRAW 2 · OR 94 · Sam James / Dylan Cunha
MARKET drifting 15.5 → 25
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−
83.3 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
83.3 · ranked #6 here · career best 103
Official mark (OR)
94 · last won off 87
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 12 tries · beats market expectation (1.06)
Days since last run
28
Sectional clock
Last time: 2.0s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race
Usually races front-runner (cooked late)
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 99.69% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
22ndClass 2 · 5.0f · rated 621stClass 4 · 5.1f · rated 1034thClass 4 · 6.1f · rated 852ndClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 934thClass 4 · 6.1f · rated 84
Career sheet · last 18 months · 12 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for BAKER BLUEbest 103needs 98–1052025-04-24 · TFR 74 · 5f · Gd/Sft2025-05-20 · TFR 76 · 5f · Good2025-06-07 · TFR 65 · 5f · Good2025-07-02 · TFR 69 · 5f · Gd/Frm2025-08-16 · TFR 73 · 6f · Good2025-09-05 · TFR 82 · 5f · Good2025-12-18 · TFR 83 · 6.07f · Std · C52026-01-06 · TFR 84 · 6.09f · Slow · C42026-01-23 · TFR 93 · 4.97f · Std · C42026-02-05 · TFR 85 · 6.07f · Std · C42026-02-17 · TFR 103 · 5.1f · Std · C42026-06-19 · TFR 62 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C224 Apr 2519 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Dylan Cunha · 805 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Above their last winning mark26/15416.9%1.119/6414.1%1.26
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)23/20311.3%0.990/190.0%0.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days39/28713.6%1.084/974.1%0.41
Over 5-6f trips35/21616.2%1.246/847.1%0.61
In fields of <=724/15415.6%0.916/5610.7%0.61
Too few runners to read reliably
At Pontefract (small sample)0/70.0%0.00/20.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 104 at/around today's trip, clears the ~98.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 7
+0.47 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 41.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 7
+0.03s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 7
99.7%
One-paced late
Stride length7th of 7
7.32 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
19 Jun 26Ascot5fGd/Frm22ndTrue42.9 +0.3595.4+0.09
17 Feb 26Wolverhampton5fStd1stTrue43.2 +1.28103.2-0.02
5 Feb 26Southwell6fStd4thTrue39.2 +0.11101.4+0.10
23 Jan 26Southwell4fStd2ndTrue41.8 +0.0098.6+0.00
6 Jan 26Wolverhampton6fSlow4thTrue41.0 +0.6299.9+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.38fast2f+0.28par3f+0.40slow4f+0.84very slow5f+2.07very slow
Timed runs 2026-01-06 to 2026-06-19. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
7lb above his last winning mark (94 today vs 87)Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 3 todayDrops in class todayRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“handy, weakened final 1f”
#7 HOVER ON THE WIND (IRE) MID
DRAW 4 · OR 75 · Barry McHugh / Paul Midgley
MARKET drifting 11.5 → 13
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−
83.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
83.0 · ranked #7 here · career best 83
Official mark (OR)
75 · last won off 71
Record at today's distance
5 wins from 28 tries · beats market expectation (1.21)
Days since last run
10
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.5s)
Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 99.91% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
1stClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 831stClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 785thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 664thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 5410thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 44
Career sheet · last 18 months · 18 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for HOVER ON THE WIND (IRE)needs 98–105best 832025-03-28 · TFR 57 · 6.07f · Std · C52025-04-12 · TFR 64 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C52025-05-05 · TFR 81 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C42025-05-23 · TFR 81 · 5.01f · Gd/Frm · C42025-07-11 · TFR 61 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C42025-07-29 · TFR 73 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-08-15 · TFR 56 · 5f · Good · C42025-08-27 · TFR 70 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C42025-09-24 · TFR 38 · 5f · Good · C52025-12-05 · TFR 77 · 5f · Std/Slow · C52026-01-01 · TFR 64 · 5f · Std · C42026-02-19 · TFR 74 · 5f · Std · C52026-03-13 · TFR 76 · 4.97f · Std · C52026-05-12 · TFR 44 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52026-05-21 · TFR 54 · 4.97f · Std · C52026-06-16 · TFR 66 · 5f · Good · C52026-06-29 · TFR 78 · 5.01f · Good · C52026-07-07 · TFR 83 · 5.01f · Good · C528 Mar 257 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Paul Midgley · 838 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 8 to 14 days11/1378.0%0.73/2412.5%1.29
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)28/24011.7%1.021/175.9%0.48
In fields of <=720/9820.4%1.293/2512.0%0.82
Too few runners to read reliably
At Pontefract (small sample)7/5313.2%1.042/1612.5%1.16
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 83 is below the ~98.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 7
-0.19 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 40.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 7
+0.10s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 7
99.9%
One-paced late
Stride length6th of 7
7.33 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
7 Jul 26Pontefract5fGood1stTrue40.2 +0.16101.1-0.09
29 Jun 26Pontefract5fGood1st38.9 -0.88102.1+0.09
16 Jun 26Thirsk5fGood5thTrue41.9 -0.2999.9+0.20
21 May 26Southwell4fStd4th42.3 -0.33101.2+0.20
12 May 26Beverley5fGd/Frm10thFast early40.4 +0.2393.2+0.01
13 Mar 26Southwell4fStd3rdTrue41.8 -0.03102.0+0.16
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.11par2f+0.10slow3f+0.01par4fledpar5fledpar
Timed runs 2026-03-13 to 2026-07-07. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
4lb above his last winning mark (75 today vs 71)Yet to win at this level — a Class 4 winner, upped to Class 3 todayProven over the trip (28 tries, beats market expectation at 1.21)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 10 days agoHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (2 from 4 here)
LTO comment
“chased leader, led over 1f out, kept on”