FORMLAB RACING
THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT
Pontefract · 20:17
Class 5 · 6f · Good to Firm (Good in places)
GENERATED 2026-07-17 · 6 RUNNERS PROFILED
THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
MR COOL (IRE) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 50.41% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.29s off the lead. The measured order tops ALFA WHITEBURD (IRE) on 90, 14pts clear of DICKO THE LEGEND (IRE) and DORNEY LAKE (both 76). ALFA WHITEBURD (IRE): the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it. The shape danger is DICKO THE LEGEND (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 1
ALFA WHITEBURD (IRE)
OR 73 · Silvestre De Sousa / Ivan Furtado
MARKET backed 1.85 → 1.62
90.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayThe top rating in this field (90.0)Stable in form this week — 2 wins from 11 runsRace-fit — ran 7 days ago
2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 6
DICKO THE LEGEND (IRE)
OR 69 · Jack Garritty / Liam Bailey
MARKET drifting 7 → 8
76.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed · 3+ / 3−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayRated #2 in this field (76.0)Jockey goes well at this track (1.39x market expectation)Race-fit — ran 8 days ago
3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 5
DORNEY LAKE
OR 69 · Conor Whiteley / Liam Bailey
MARKET drifting 10 → 13.5
76.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed · 3+ / 3−Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 5 todayRated #3 in this field (76.0)Proven over the trip (27 tries, beats market expectation at 1.29)Race-fit — ran 8 days ago
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1ALFA WHITEBURD (IRE)net +7figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, top-2 speed vs its fields, yard positive in today’s setup − habitually slow away, 5lb+ above last winning mark
2MR COOL (IRE)net +4race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, sharp from the stalls
3DORNEY LAKEnet +3race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), top-2 speed vs its fields, runs the dominant winning style here, proven at trip − burns early and empties, 5lb+ above last winning mark
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 6 runners · stalls 1–6
123456
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn LOW (early types average stall 2.0 of 6, field average 3.5).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: ALFA WHITEBURD (IRE) is 0/6 on softer ground · DICKO THE LEGEND (IRE) is 0/4 on softer ground · DORNEY LAKE is 1/4 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
ALFA WHITEBURD (IRE) MID 49.1% 100.5 the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
DICKO THE LEGEND (IRE) HELD-UP 49.3% 101.1 the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
DORNEY LAKE MID 51.8% 98.6 one-paced late — 5th of 6 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
WILLOLARUPI (IRE) MID 50.0% 99.6 one-paced late — 4th of 6 on late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
MR COOL (IRE) PROMINENT 51.1% 98.2 the only measured early speed in the race, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f · sharp from the stalls
ONE OF OUR OWN HELD-UP 50.2% 100.1 the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
MR COOL (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.9 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
MR COOL (IRE) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1 ALFA WHITEBURD (IRE) MID DOOR 2 · UNDER-RAISED WINNER
DRAW 1 · OR 73 · Silvestre De Sousa / Ivan Furtado
MARKET backed 1.85 → 1.62
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
90.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
90.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 90
Official mark (OR)
73 · last won off 68
Record at today's distance
1 win from 18 tries · below market expectation (0.58)
Days since last run
7
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · best on the clock in its race
Usually races midfield
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 100.52% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
1stClass 5 · 7.0f · rated 902ndClass 5 · 7.1f · rated 858thClass 4 · 7.0f · rated 676thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 737thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 71
Career sheet · last 18 months · 10 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for ALFA WHITEBURD (IRE)best 90needs 76–942025-05-31 · TFR 80 · 6f · Firm · C42025-06-28 · TFR 64 · 7.03f · Gd/Frm · C42025-07-25 · TFR 59 · 6f · Good · C42025-09-16 · TFR 50 · 5.99f · Gd/Frm · C42025-11-18 · TFR 67 · 5f · Slow · C42025-12-11 · TFR 71 · 5f · Slow · C42026-01-24 · TFR 73 · 6f · Std · C42026-03-29 · TFR 67 · 7.03f · Gd/Sft · C42026-06-18 · TFR 85 · 7.06f · Std · C52026-07-10 · TFR 90 · 7f · Good · C531 May 2510 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ivan Furtado · 950 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.4 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 5-6f trips8/1944.1%0.6110/9610.4%1.43
In Class 4-5 company18/3225.6%0.8316/1719.4%1.22
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)22/19311.4%1.32/316.5%0.71
In fields of <=712/11210.7%1.116/688.8%0.85
Too few runners to read reliably
At Pontefract (small sample)0/170.0%0.03/1225.0%2.04
Coming back after within 7 days (small sample)3/2711.1%0.84/1136.4%1.41
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 94 at/around today's trip, clears the ~76.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 6
+0.23 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 42.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 6
+0.27s
Slow away in 3 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed2nd of 6
100.5%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length1st of 6
7.71 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
10 Jul 26Chester7fGood1stFast early41.4 +0.2196.6-0.21
18 Jun 26Southwell7fStd2ndTrue39.5 +0.44102.1+0.00
29 Mar 26Doncaster7fGd/Sft8thSlow early36.9 -0.04103.2+0.47
24 Jan 26Newcastle6fStd6thTrue42.2 -0.2096.8+0.28
11 Dec 25Chelmsford City5fSlow7thTrue42.0 +0.49102.6+0.62
18 Nov 25Newcastle5fSlow9thTrue42.4 +0.45101.8+0.44
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fledfast2fledfast3fledfast4fledpar5fledpar6fledslow7fledvery slow
Timed runs 2025-11-18 to 2026-07-10. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
5lb above his last winning mark (73 today vs 68)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayThe top rating in this field (90.0)Improving fast — last run rated 90, 9pts above his recent average of 80.7Stable in form this week — 2 wins from 11 runsRace-fit — ran 7 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“led, went clear before halfway, ridden over 1f out, headed final 1f, kept on”
#2 DICKO THE LEGEND (IRE) HELD-UP
DRAW 6 · OR 69 · Jack Garritty / Liam Bailey
MARKET drifting 7 → 8
Yard mixed · 3+ / 3−
76.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
76.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 80
Official mark (OR)
69 · last won off 68
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 30 tries · below market expectation (0.81)
Days since last run
8
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 101.08% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
4thClass 5 · 5.7f · rated 763rdClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 776thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 709thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 642ndClass 5 · 6.1f · rated 78
Career sheet · last 18 months · 18 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for DICKO THE LEGEND (IRE)best 80needs 76–942025-02-12 · TFR 72 · 6.07f · Slow · C52025-02-22 · TFR 76 · 6f · Slow · C52025-03-15 · TFR 75 · 6.07f · Std · C52025-04-01 · TFR 75 · 6.09f · Slow · C42025-04-18 · TFR 72 · 5f · Slow · C52025-05-10 · TFR 66 · 6f · Firm · C42025-06-04 · TFR 69 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C52025-06-17 · TFR 52 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C52025-07-25 · TFR 79 · 6f · Good · C42025-08-16 · TFR 60 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C42025-09-02 · TFR 78 · 6.07f · Std · C42026-02-11 · TFR 69 · 6.07f · Std · C52026-03-03 · TFR 67 · 6.09f · Std · C52026-04-29 · TFR 78 · 6.07f · Std · C52026-05-09 · TFR 64 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C42026-05-25 · TFR 70 · 5.99f · Gd/Frm · C42026-06-08 · TFR 77 · 6f · Good · C52026-07-09 · TFR 76 · 5.65f · Gd/Frm · C512 Feb 259 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Liam Bailey · 411 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 8.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 4-5 company13/10712.1%1.347/4814.6%1.41
On turf15/1539.8%1.234/3212.5%1.26
In fields of <=79/7012.9%1.143/1717.6%1.25
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Above their last winning mark ✦9/7412.2%0.954/449.1%0.69
Coming back after 8 to 14 days11/7315.1%1.552/2010.0%0.8
Over 5-6f trips17/12813.3%1.424/517.8%0.83
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)7/779.1%1.151/333.3%3.84
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 82 at/around today's trip, clears the ~76.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 6
+0.03 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 6
+0.50s
Slow away in 4 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed1st of 6
101.1%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length3rd of 6
7.58 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
9 Jul 26Doncaster5fGd/Frm4thTrue42.1 +0.1099.0+0.34
8 Jun 26Pontefract6fGood3rdTrue39.4 -0.00101.3+0.42
25 May 26Redcar5fGd/Frm6thTrue43.6 +0.1398.4+1.07
9 May 26Ascot6fGd/Frm9th—41.7 +0.44102.3+0.56—
29 Apr 26Southwell6fStd2ndTrue40.3 -0.07104.7+0.12
3 Mar 26Wolverhampton6fStd5thTrue40.1 -0.40100.8+0.47
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.53slow2f+0.32par3f+0.25fast4f+0.25fast5f+0.27par6f+0.25slow
Timed runs 2026-03-03 to 2026-07-09. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayRated #2 in this field (76.0)Jockey goes well at this track (1.39x market expectation)Race-fit — ran 8 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“awkward start, rear, switched 2f out, kept on, never nearer”
#3 DORNEY LAKE MID
DRAW 5 · OR 69 · Conor Whiteley / Liam Bailey
MARKET drifting 10 → 13.5
Yard mixed · 3+ / 3−
76.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
76.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 98
Official mark (OR)
69 · last won off 64
Record at today's distance
5 wins from 27 tries · beats market expectation (1.29)
Days since last run
8
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races midfield
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 98.59% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
1stClass 5 · 5.7f · rated 767thClass 5 · 7.2f · rated 135thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 728thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 666thClass 5 · 5.5f · rated 69
Career sheet · last 18 months · 20 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for DORNEY LAKEbest 98needs 76–942025-04-05 · TFR 95 · 6.01f · Gd/Frm · C42025-04-26 · TFR 98 · 6.01f · Gd/Frm · C32025-05-09 · TFR 91 · 6f · Firm · C32025-05-17 · TFR 85 · 6f · Firm · C22025-06-12 · TFR 93 · 7f · Gd/Frm · C32025-07-11 · TFR 88 · 7f · Gd/Frm · C32025-07-24 · TFR 76 · 6.01f · Gd/Sft · C42025-08-22 · TFR 83 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C42025-12-13 · TFR 61 · 6f · Slow · C42026-01-04 · TFR 48 · 4.97f · Std · C42026-01-24 · TFR 74 · 6f · Std · C42026-02-06 · TFR 63 · 6f · Std · C42026-03-12 · TFR 69 · 6f · Std · C42026-04-02 · TFR 72 · 6.07f · Std · C42026-04-22 · TFR 49 · 5.96f · Gd/Frm · C42026-04-26 · TFR 69 · 5.5f · Gd/Frm · C52026-05-25 · TFR 66 · 5.99f · Gd/Frm · C42026-06-08 · TFR 72 · 6f · Good · C52026-06-19 · TFR 13 · 7.23f · Soft · C52026-07-09 · TFR 76 · 5.65f · Gd/Frm · C55 Apr 259 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Liam Bailey · 411 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 8.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 4-5 company13/10712.1%1.347/4814.6%1.41
On turf15/1539.8%1.234/3212.5%1.26
In fields of <=79/7012.9%1.143/1717.6%1.25
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Above their last winning mark ✦9/7412.2%0.954/449.1%0.69
Coming back after 8 to 14 days11/7315.1%1.552/2010.0%0.8
Over 5-6f trips17/12813.3%1.424/517.8%0.83
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)7/779.1%1.151/333.3%3.84
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 98 at/around today's trip, clears the ~76.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 6
+0.31 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 41.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 6
+0.26s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 6
98.6%
One-paced late
Stride length6th of 6
7.20 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
9 Jul 26Doncaster5fGd/Frm1stTrue42.1 +0.0698.6+0.00
19 Jun 26Ayr7fSoft7thTrue38.8 +0.2590.5+0.05
8 Jun 26Pontefract6fGood5thTrue40.0 +0.55101.4+0.63
25 May 26Redcar5fGd/Frm8thTrue43.6 +0.1097.2+0.22
26 Apr 26Wetherby5fGd/Frm6thTrue41.7 +0.76103.4+0.36
22 Apr 26Catterick Bridge5fGd/Frm5thTrue41.3 +0.12100.5+0.32
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.19par2f+0.10par3f+0.03fast4fledfast5fledpar6fledslow
Timed runs 2026-04-22 to 2026-07-09. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
5lb above his last winning mark (69 today vs 64)Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 5 todayRated #3 in this field (76.0)Proven over the trip (27 tries, beats market expectation at 1.29)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 8 days agoHistorically underestimated by the marketSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“in touch, quickened to lead 2f out, edged left, always holding on”
#4 MR COOL (IRE) PROMINENT
DRAW 2 · OR 63 · Oisin James Orr / Charlie Johnston
MARKET drifting 7.4 → 11
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
74.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
74.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 85
Official mark (OR)
63 · last won off 77
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 28 tries · below market expectation (0.67)
Days since last run
8
Sectional clock
Last time: beat the class par by 0.8s · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent and weakens
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 98.21% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
2ndClass 6 · 5.8f · rated 745thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 643rdClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 727thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 566thClass 5 · 7.2f · rated 72
Career sheet · last 18 months · 19 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for MR COOL (IRE)best 85needs 76–942025-03-11 · TFR 76 · 6.09f · Std · C52025-04-12 · TFR 81 · 6.08f · Good · C52025-04-27 · TFR 41 · 6.07f · Slow · C32025-05-28 · TFR 78 · 6.03f · Good · C42025-06-18 · TFR 85 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C42025-10-29 · TFR 85 · 6f · Std · C42025-11-17 · TFR 54 · 6f · Slow · C32025-12-03 · TFR 36 · 6f · Std · C42026-01-01 · TFR 53 · 6.07f · Std · C42026-01-21 · TFR 69 · 6f · Slow · C52026-02-07 · TFR 75 · 7f · Std · C52026-02-26 · TFR 49 · 7f · Std · C52026-03-25 · TFR 75 · 7f · Slow · C52026-05-02 · TFR 65 · 7.03f · Gd/Frm · C52026-05-20 · TFR 72 · 7.23f · Gd/Frm · C52026-06-02 · TFR 56 · 6f · Good · C42026-06-18 · TFR 72 · 6f · Good · C62026-06-25 · TFR 64 · 6.03f · Gd/Frm · C62026-07-09 · TFR 74 · 5.83f · Gd/Frm · C611 Mar 259 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charlie Johnston · 2305 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.5 on the exchange
Signature angle: with the mark MARK-FALLING3+
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 5-6f trips ✦17/1948.8%0.682/474.3%0.4
Below their last winning mark ✦5/618.2%0.754/547.4%0.71
Too few runners to read reliably
At Pontefract (small sample)5/4012.5%0.930/160.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 87 at/around today's trip, clears the ~76.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 6
+0.01 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 6
+0.02s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed6th of 6
98.2%
One-paced late
Stride length2nd of 6
7.67 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
9 Jul 26Carlisle5fGd/Frm2ndTrue41.0 +0.0099.6+0.02
25 Jun 26Hamilton Park6fGd/Frm5thTrue42.1 +0.1596.9+0.02
18 Jun 26Ripon6fGood3rdTrue42.5 +0.1099.7+0.14
2 Jun 26Pontefract6fGood7thTrue40.3 +0.2594.0-0.08
20 May 26Ayr7fGd/Frm6thTrue39.9 -0.30103.3+0.00
2 May 26Doncaster7fGd/Frm5thTrue40.1 -0.1395.8+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.18par2f+0.10slow3f+0.07par4f+0.09par5f+0.04slow6f+0.01fast
Timed runs 2026-05-02 to 2026-07-09. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
14lb below his last winning mark (63 today vs 77)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayStable cold this week — 1 wins from 25 runsNEARLY WON LTO — traded 1.35 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Race-fit — ran 8 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“close up, led over 1f out, headed post, clear of rest”
#5 WILLOLARUPI (IRE) MID
DRAW 4 · OR 67 · Zak Wheatley / Declan Carroll
MARKET drifting 20 → 25
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−
68.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
68.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 78
Official mark (OR)
67 · last won off 66
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 22 tries · below market expectation (0.71)
Days since last run
284
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 99.57% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
3rdClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 685thClass 5 · 6.1f · rated 605thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 646thClass 4 · 7.0f · rated 716thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 55
Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for WILLOLARUPI (IRE)best 78needs 76–942025-04-14 · TFR 66 · 5.01f · Good · C52025-04-27 · TFR 73 · 5.5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-05-19 · TFR 78 · 5.99f · Gd/Frm · C52025-06-09 · TFR 78 · 6f · Good · C52025-06-27 · TFR 55 · 6.01f · Firm · C52025-07-16 · TFR 71 · 7.03f · Good · C42025-08-06 · TFR 64 · 5.01f · Good · C52025-08-25 · TFR 60 · 6.07f · Std/Slow · C52025-10-06 · TFR 68 · 6f · Soft · C514 Apr 256 Oct 25
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads. · last rated run 284 days ago
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Declan Carroll · 506 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)18/17310.4%1.122/1118.2%2.28
In Class 4-5 company14/2116.6%0.839/6813.2%1.7
Over 5-6f trips19/2188.7%0.917/5812.1%1.3
In fields of <=79/5117.6%1.443/2313.0%1.22
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Above their last winning mark9/7911.4%0.862/434.7%0.52
Too few runners to read reliably
At Pontefract (small sample)0/240.0%0.01/520.0%2.82
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 78 at/around today's trip, clears the ~76.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 6
-0.04 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.0 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 6
+0.31s
Slow away in 3 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed4th of 6
99.6%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 6
7.30 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
6 Oct 25Pontefract6fSoft3rdTrue39.4 +0.1396.2+0.26
25 Aug 25Southwell6fStd/Slow5thTrue40.0 +0.1699.0+0.50
6 Aug 25Pontefract5fGood5thTrue40.5 +0.0099.4+0.17
27 Jun 25Doncaster6fFirm6thTrue40.3 +0.0099.5+0.02
9 Jun 25Pontefract6fGood2ndTrue38.4 -0.24103.0+0.55
19 May 25Redcar5fGd/Frm1stTrue41.5 -0.27100.3+0.38
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.46fast2f+0.46par3f+0.52par4f+0.55slow5f+0.56slow6f+0.86slow
Timed runs 2025-05-19 to 2025-10-06 · last timed run 284 days ago — the profile is out of date. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultReturns from 284 days offHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“mid-field, not clear run over 1f out, kept on final 1f”
#6 ONE OF OUR OWN HELD-UP
DRAW 3 · OR 60 · David Allan / Rebecca Menzies
MARKET drifting 15 → 16.5
Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−
68.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
68.0 · ranked #6 here · career best 74
Official mark (OR)
60 · last won off 54
Record at today's distance
6 wins from 39 tries · beats market expectation (1.27)
Days since last run
52
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 100.06% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
3rdClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 686thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 591stClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 654thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 544thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 59
Career sheet · last 18 months · 20 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for ONE OF OUR OWNneeds 76–94best 742025-03-12 · TFR 46 · 7.06f · Slow · C52025-04-09 · TFR 61 · 5.96f · Good · C52025-05-12 · TFR 63 · 5.96f · Gd/Frm · C52025-05-19 · TFR 65 · 5.99f · Gd/Frm · C52025-06-02 · TFR 62 · 7f · Gd/Frm · C52025-06-30 · TFR 66 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C62025-07-18 · TFR 67 · 6f · Gd/Sft · C52025-07-25 · TFR 61 · 6f · Good · C52025-08-12 · TFR 48 · 5.83f · Good · C52025-09-03 · TFR 66 · 6.03f · Gd/Sft · C62025-09-15 · TFR 60 · 6f · Soft · C62025-10-01 · TFR 48 · 7.07f · Soft · C62025-10-13 · TFR 57 · 7.07f · Good · C62025-10-27 · TFR 61 · 5.99f · Gd/Sft · C62025-11-04 · TFR 63 · 5.99f · Good · C62026-04-08 · TFR 59 · 5.96f · Good · C52026-04-20 · TFR 54 · 7f · Gd/Frm · C62026-05-07 · TFR 65 · 5.99f · Good · C62026-05-18 · TFR 59 · 5.99f · Gd/Frm · C62026-05-26 · TFR 68 · 5.99f · Gd/Frm · C612 Mar 2526 May 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Rebecca Menzies · 606 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.9 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 4-5 company10/1985.1%0.78/4418.2%1.75
Over 5-6f trips ✦19/16811.3%1.1310/5119.6%1.59
Too few runners to read reliably
At Pontefract (small sample)3/2313.0%1.50/60.0%0.0
Coming back after 46 to 90 days (small sample)2/229.1%0.930/60.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)13/1657.9%0.90/110.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 74 is below the ~76.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 6
+0.19 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 42.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 6
+0.32s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 6
100.1%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length4th of 6
7.46 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
26 May 26Redcar5fGd/Frm3rdTrue42.1 +0.54101.0+0.29
18 May 26Redcar5fGd/Frm6thTrue42.5 -0.2797.6+0.37
7 May 26Redcar5fGood1stTrue41.6 +0.05101.4+0.27
20 Apr 26Redcar7fGd/Frm4thTrue40.6 +0.5199.0+0.18
8 Apr 26Catterick Bridge5fGood4thTrue42.6 +0.70101.4+0.59
4 Nov 25Redcar5fGood4thTrue41.7 -0.39100.0+0.24
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.73slow2f+0.30fast3f+0.33par4f+0.47par5f+0.52par6f+0.07par
Timed runs 2025-11-04 to 2026-05-26. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
6lb above his last winning mark (60 today vs 54)Yet to win at this level — a Class 6 winner, upped to Class 5 todayProven over the trip (39 tries, beats market expectation at 1.27)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 2 here)Runs Held-Up — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“mid-field, headway over 1f out, carried head bit awkwardly, kept on final 1f”