THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
BATED BENEVOLENCE is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 48.77% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.28s off the lead. The measured order tops BATED BENEVOLENCE on 74, 1pts clear of ROOSIKE (IRE). BATED BENEVOLENCE: the only measured early speed in the race, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late · sharp from the stalls. The shape danger is SEQUEL STAR (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 1
BATED BENEVOLENCE
OR · Marco Ghiani / Marco Botti
MARKET backed 4.8 → 2.76
74FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−Drops in class todayThe top rating in this field (74)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 8
ROOSIKE (IRE)
OR · Finley Marsh / Richard Hughes
MARKET drifting 3.5 → 4.3
73.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−Drops in class todayRated #2 in this field (73.0)Stable in form this week — 2 wins from 10 runs
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 5
SEQUEL STAR (IRE)
OR · George Downing / Ed Walker
MARKET drifting 2.82 → 3.65
60.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−Rated #3 in this field (60.0)Stable in form this week — 5 wins from 16 runs
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1BATED BENEVOLENCEnet +6figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, sharp from the stalls − burns early and empties
2ROOSIKE (IRE)net +5figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, yard positive in today’s setup − burns early and empties
3SEQUEL STAR (IRE)net +4race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, energy in the winning band
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 8 runners · stalls 1–8
12345678
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn LOW (early types average stall 1.0 of 8, field average 4.5).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
BATED BENEVOLENCEPROMINENT50.3%99.3the only measured early speed in the race, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late · sharp from the stalls
HOOSIER (IRE)HELD-UP52.0%103.5a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
ROOSIKE (IRE)MID53.2%91.5held up without the late gear (6th of 6 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
SEQUEL STAR (IRE)HELD-UP48.3%104.7the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
EXPENSIVE LUXURY———-
KHAZAMH (IRE)HELD-UP50.4%100.4the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
VERUCA SALT———-
LEADING RAYA (IRE)MID50.7%97.3held up without the late gear (5th of 6 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
BATED BENEVOLENCEPROMINENTtypically ~1 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
BATED BENEVOLENCE is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1BATED BENEVOLENCEPROMINENT
DRAW 1 · OR · Marco Ghiani / Marco Botti
MARKET backed 4.8 → 2.76
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−
74FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
74 · ranked #1 here · career best 78
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 2 tries · beats market expectation (9.38)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Marco Botti · 830 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)25/18813.3%1.224/2119.0%1.47
On the all-weather51/40312.7%0.9519/8721.8%1.29
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦43/32513.2%1.0213/7517.3%1.17
In fields of 8-1135/3529.9%0.8813/7816.7%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 5-6f trips17/15610.9%0.924/3810.5%0.81
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 78 at/around today's trip, clears the ~73.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 6
-0.28 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.4 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 6
+0.04s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 6
99.3%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 6
7.36 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
19 Jun 26Ascot6fGd/Frm16thTrue39.4 -0.3097.7+0.06
31 May 26Nottingham6fGood1stTrue39.4 -0.25100.9+0.03
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-05-31 to 2026-06-19. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf formYet to win at this level — a Class 5 winner, upped to Class 4 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (74)Only 2 runs at this distanceMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“prominent, lost place when not clear run over 2f out, no chance after”
Timed runs 2026-06-23 to 2026-06-23. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf formDrops in class todayRated #2 in this field (73.0)Only 1 run at this distanceStable in form this week — 2 wins from 10 runs
#3SEQUEL STAR (IRE)HELD-UP
DRAW 5 · OR · George Downing / Ed Walker
MARKET drifting 2.82 → 3.65
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−
60.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
60.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 60
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
24
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 104.71% (strong late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
4thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 60
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ed Walker · 1094 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: stepping up in class, at 8-16 odds, at this time of year (Q2)
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-1151/41712.2%0.928/12921.7%1.49
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 5-6f trips ✦31/22114.0%0.9210/8611.6%0.77
On the all-weather ✦28/22912.2%0.910/7413.5%0.78
Too few runners to read reliably
At Wolverhampton (small sample)5/3215.6%1.331/812.5%1.86
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 60 is below the ~73.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 6
+0.41 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.7 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 6
+0.12s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 6
104.7%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length2nd of 6
7.57 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
23 Jun 26Newbury6fGd/Frm4thTrue40.7 +0.41104.7+0.12
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-06-23 to 2026-06-23. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf formRated #3 in this field (60.0)Only 1 run at this distanceStable in form this week — 5 wins from 16 runs
#4HOOSIER (IRE)HELD-UP
DRAW 3 · OR · Rob Hornby / Michael Bell
MARKET drifting 18.5 → 20
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
52.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
52.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 52
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
43
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 103.49% (strong late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
5thClass 5 · 5.5f · rated 52
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael Bell · 841 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange
Signature angle: with the retained rider up
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 5-6f trips24/17913.4%1.025/568.9%0.54
Coming back after 15 to 45 days49/34214.3%1.0710/8112.3%0.77
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 52 is below the ~73.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 6
-0.49 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 42.5 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph5th of 6
+0.44s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 6
103.5%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length1st of 6
7.72 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
4 Jun 26Wetherby5fGd/Frm5thTrue42.5 -0.49103.5+0.44
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard & Peter Fahey · 371 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-11—23/17413.2%1.27
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 36 is below the ~73.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 6
+1.12 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 37.6 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph6th of 6
+2.43s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 6
100.4%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length3rd of 6
7.55 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
8 Jun 26Pontefract6fGood10thTrue37.6 +0.0098.6+1.73
26 May 26Redcar5fGd/Frm9thTrue42.8 +2.24102.2+3.13
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-05-26 to 2026-06-08. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf formOnly 2 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 3 wins from 23 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.61x market expectation)
LTO comment
“missed break, ran green, always behind”
#6EXPENSIVE LUXURY
DRAW 4 · OR · Jack Nicholls / K. R. Burke
MARKET drifting 20 → 23
Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
K. R. Burke · 1714 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.9 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Wolverhampton5/608.3%0.548/2532.0%1.53
At this time of year (Q3) ✦92/52017.7%1.0511/4723.4%1.25
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf formStable in form this week — 6 wins from 22 runs
#7VERUCA SALT
DRAW 7 · OR · Jonny Peate / James Fanshawe
MARKET drifting 21 → 27
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 2−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
James Fanshawe · 814 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-1141/31213.1%0.8821/10520.0%1.24
At this time of year (Q3)38/24615.4%0.975/1729.4%1.17
At Wolverhampton9/6713.4%0.825/2619.2%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 5-6f trips ✦16/13811.6%0.866/5510.9%0.59
On the all-weather54/32216.8%1.0315/10514.3%0.79
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf form
Timed runs 2026-06-08 to 2026-06-08. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf formOnly 1 run at this distance