THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
KORBUT is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 48.04% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.28s off the lead. The measured order tops ONE OF THE BOYS (IRE) on 75, 4pts clear of KORBUT. ONE OF THE BOYS (IRE): a genuine turn of foot — 4th-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it. The shape danger is KORBUT — the only measured early speed in the race, at the tempo that wins here — and finds plenty late.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 4
ONE OF THE BOYS (IRE)
OR · Finley Marsh / Michael Bell
MARKET backed 5.8 → 4.2
75.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 1−The top rating in this field (75.0)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare result
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 1
KORBUT
OR · Dylan Hogan / Sir Mark Prescott Bt
MARKET drifting 3.3 → 4.4
71FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 6−Rated #2 in this field (71)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 5
POETS PRAISE
OR · Edward Greatrex / Ralph Beckett
MARKET 3
67.5FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−Rated #3 in this field (67.5)Stable in form this week — 7 wins from 23 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.62x market expectation)
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1KORBUTnet +7figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, energy in the winning band, yard hot
2ONE OF THE BOYS (IRE)net +6figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, energy in the winning band
3CARNIVAL OF LIGHTnet +6drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), backed since morning, energy in the winning band, runs the dominant winning style here, yard positive in today’s setup
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 9 runners · stalls 1–11
1234567891011
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn LOW (early types average stall 1.0 of 11, field average 6.1).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
CULLINAN WOLFHELD-UP49.1%102.3solid late gains (5th of 7 on late speed here), yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
CARNIVAL OF LIGHTMID48.8%97.4held up without the late gear (6th of 7 on late speed), races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
EXTENDED CREDIT———-
ONE OF THE BOYS (IRE)MID48.6%104.1a genuine turn of foot — 4th-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
RIDGER (IRE)HELD-UP51.3%97.1held up without the late gear (7th of 7 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
SONBELIEVABLEHELD-UP46.1%106.5a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
TIME ALONE (IRE)———-
KORBUTPROMINENT48.1%108.3the only measured early speed in the race, at the tempo that wins here — and finds plenty late
POETS PRAISEMID48.2%105.3a genuine turn of foot — 3rd-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
KORBUTPROMINENTtypically ~1.9 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.08s off the field’s best
KORBUT is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1ONE OF THE BOYS (IRE)MID
DRAW 4 · OR · Finley Marsh / Michael Bell
MARKET backed 5.8 → 4.2
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 1−
75.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
75.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 75
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
15
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 104.09% (strong late)
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael Bell · 841 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange
Signature angle: with the retained rider up
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days49/34214.3%1.0710/8112.3%0.77
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 75 at/around today's trip, clears the ~71 demand
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 7
+0.37 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 39.6 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 7
+0.15s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 7
104.1%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length3rd of 7
7.33 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2025-11-20 to 2026-07-02. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
The top rating in this field (75.0)Only 2 runs at this distanceNEARLY WON LTO — traded 1.01 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“mid-field, headway on inner early in straight, challenged final 1f, no extra late on”
#2KORBUTPROMINENT
DRAW 1 · OR · Dylan Hogan / Sir Mark Prescott Bt
MARKET drifting 3.3 → 4.4
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 6−
71FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
71 · ranked #2 here · career best 72
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 5 tries
Days since last run
15
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 108.27% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Sir Mark Prescott Bt · 531 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Wolverhampton9/4520.0%1.131/137.7%0.6
In Class 4-5 company60/29920.1%1.098/7111.3%0.68
Coming back after 15 to 45 days36/16921.3%1.154/3312.1%0.69
In fields of 8-1134/19717.3%1.075/539.4%0.71
Over 7-8f trips22/17112.9%1.133/378.1%0.72
On the all-weather33/21615.3%1.028/6312.7%0.85
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 72 at/around today's trip, clears the ~71 demand
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 7
-0.14 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 7
+0.08s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 7
108.3%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length7th of 7
6.71 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-03-23 to 2026-07-02. · 3 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Rated #2 in this field (71)Only 5 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“chased leader, under pressure early in straight, stayed on”
#3POETS PRAISEMID
DRAW 5 · OR · Edward Greatrex / Ralph Beckett
MARKET 3
Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−
67.5FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
67.5 · ranked #3 here · career best 69
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
266
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 105.28% (strong late)
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads. · last rated run 266 days ago
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ralph Beckett · 1370 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)90/46719.3%0.9815/4831.2%1.51
In Class 4-5 company118/54321.7%0.9431/11826.3%1.15
Too few runners to read reliably
At Wolverhampton (small sample)11/3333.3%1.284/1822.2%1.31
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 69 is below the ~71 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 7
+0.12 mph
About the level of its fields · 38.0 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph6th of 7
+0.35s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 7
105.3%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length4th of 7
7.02 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
24 Oct 25Doncaster7fHeavy4thSlow early37.7 +0.20109.5+0.35
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.42very slow2f+0.42very slow3f+0.38very slow4f+0.25slow5f+0.18very fast6f+0.32very fast7f+0.98very fast
Timed runs 2025-09-22 to 2025-10-24 · last timed run 266 days ago — the profile is out of date. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf formRated #3 in this field (67.5)Only 2 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 7 wins from 23 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.62x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionReturns from 266 days off
LTO comment
“dwelt, held up, effort 2f out, one paced”
#4CARNIVAL OF LIGHTMID
DRAW 2 · OR · Oliver Stammers / Charlie Johnston
MARKET backed 23.92 → 17
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
62.5FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
62.5 · ranked #4 here · career best 67
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
18
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 97.4% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charlie Johnston · 2305 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.5 on the exchange
Signature angle: with the mark MARK-FALLING3+
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦104/85612.1%0.9921/2319.1%0.77
At Wolverhampton ✦21/15113.9%0.985/4112.2%0.8
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 67 is below the ~71 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 7
-0.04 mph
About the level of its fields · 38.9 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 7
+0.11s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed6th of 7
97.4%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 7
6.94 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
29 Jun 26Pontefract8fGood4th—37.8 +0.0091.7+0.00—
18 Jun 26Ripon8fGood4thSlow early39.9 -0.07103.1+0.22
Timed runs 2026-06-18 to 2026-06-29. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf formDrops in class todayOnly 2 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 1 wins from 25 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“led until under 2f out, weakened final 1f”
#5RIDGER (IRE)HELD-UP
DRAW 9 · OR · Stevie Donohoe / Ollie Sangster
MARKET drifting 34.44 → 50
Yard suits today’s conditions · 4+ / 0−
53.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
53.0 · ranked #6 here · career best 53
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
26
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 97.1% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
6thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 53
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ollie Sangster · 704 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange
Signature angle: keeping the same jockey
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On the all-weather ✦27/21212.7%1.0925/12619.8%1.45
Coming back after 15 to 45 days25/22211.3%0.7820/12815.6%1.28
At Wolverhampton ✦8/4219.0%1.568/4418.2%1.21
At this time of year (Q3)20/17311.6%0.834/2317.4%1.15
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 53 is below the ~71 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 7
+0.46 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 43.3 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph5th of 7
+0.27s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 7
97.1%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 7
7.79 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
21 Jun 26Brighton5fGd/Frm6thTrue43.3 +0.4697.1+0.27
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Joseph Parr · 294 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.4 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Wolverhampton5/4012.5%1.210/150.0%0.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days10/1158.7%0.950/370.0%0.0
In Class 4-5 company7/1096.4%0.771/362.8%0.29
On the all-weather15/13411.2%1.082/494.1%0.38
Over 7-8f trips ✦9/1038.7%0.892/444.5%0.39
In fields of 8-1114/12910.9%1.063/466.5%0.58
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 50 is below the ~71 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 7
+0.29 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 38.9 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph7th of 7
+0.55s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 7
106.5%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length6th of 7
6.94 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
28 Jun 26Wolverhampton7fStd9th—38.2 -0.08103.9+0.68—
8 Jun 26Windsor8fGd/Sft7thSlow early39.6 +0.65109.0+0.42
Timed runs 2026-06-08 to 2026-06-28. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 2 runs at this distance
LTO comment
“missed break, always behind”
#7CULLINAN WOLFHELD-UP
DRAW 7 · OR · Shay Farmer / Seb Spencer
MARKET drifting 162.65 → 200
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
39.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
39.0 · ranked #8 here · career best 39
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 102.31% (holds late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
8thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 39
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Seb Spencer · 317 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Wolverhampton4/3312.1%1.211/714.3%5.23
Over 7-8f trips9/999.1%1.042/306.7%1.2
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
On the all-weather6/946.4%0.781/214.8%0.82
In fields of 8-1117/13912.2%1.272/326.2%0.84
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)9/8610.5%1.31/425.0%1.64
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 39 is below the ~71 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 7
-0.34 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 40.6 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph4th of 7
+0.26s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 7
102.3%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length2nd of 7
7.34 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
26 Jun 26Doncaster6fGd/Frm8thSlow early40.6 -0.34102.3+0.26
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-06-26 to 2026-06-26. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf formOnly 1 run at this distanceRun-style and sectional profile are mismatched to how this course & distance is won
LTO comment
“went left strt, always behind”
#8EXTENDED CREDIT
DRAW 6 · OR · Rob Hornby / Charles Hills
MARKET drifting 18 → 23
Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charles Hills · 733 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On the all-weather14/1658.5%0.599/4122.0%1.71
In Class 4-5 company32/3509.1%0.713/7816.7%1.4
Too few runners to read reliably
At Wolverhampton (small sample)3/387.9%0.461/425.0%2.35
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf form
#9TIME ALONE (IRE)
DRAW 11 · OR · Marco Ghiani / Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole
MARKET 12.5
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 3−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · 710 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Wolverhampton9/7811.5%1.073/397.7%0.58
In Class 4-5 company37/32011.6%1.0510/1337.5%0.62
Over 7-8f trips30/28810.4%1.18/958.4%0.73
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf form