THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 48.17% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 4 at halfway, 0.36s off the lead. The measured order tops CHAPTER (IRE) on 86, 2pts clear of BROCKLESBY BILL. CHAPTER (IRE): the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it. The shape danger is GO RIMBAUD — a match for the quickest early, at the tempo that wins here — and finds plenty late.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 1
CHAPTER (IRE)
OR 79 · Rob Hornby / Charles Hills
MARKET drifting 5.1 → 5.7
86.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayThe top rating in this field (86.0)Historically underestimated by the market
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 3
BROCKLESBY BILL
OR 83 · Ben Ffrench Davis / Kathy Turner
MARKET drifting 8.8 → 11.5
84.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayRated #2 in this field (84.0)
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 4
GO RIMBAUD
OR 82 · Robert Havlin / John & Thady Gosden
MARKET 1.93
82FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayRated #3 in this field (82)Runs Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1GO RIMBAUDnet +6form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band, yard hot
2CHAPTER (IRE)net +5figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, energy in the winning band
3BROCKLESBY BILLnet +5figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), top-2 late speed today, top-2 speed vs its fields, runs the dominant winning style here − figure earned on another surface
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (2 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 4 runners · stalls 1–4
1234
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner.
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
BROCKLESBY BILLMID49.7%103.7a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
GO RIMBAUDPROMINENT48.1%104.9a match for the quickest early, at the tempo that wins here — and finds plenty late
ON THE INLET (IRE)PROMINENT49.8%100.2the quickest of today's early types, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late
CHAPTER (IRE)MID48.7%101.8the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
ON THE INLET (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.8 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.12s off the field’s best
GO RIMBAUDPROMINENTtypically ~1.7 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.19s off the field’s best
nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1CHAPTER (IRE)MID
DRAW 1 · OR 79 · Rob Hornby / Charles Hills
MARKET drifting 5.1 → 5.7
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−
86.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
86.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 86
Official mark (OR)
79 · last won off 75
Record at today's distance
1 win from 2 tries · beats market expectation (10.92)
Days since last run
35
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 101.85% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 7 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charles Hills · 733 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On the all-weather14/1658.5%0.599/4122.0%1.71
In Class 4-5 company32/3509.1%0.713/7816.7%1.4
Coming back after 15 to 45 days34/29611.5%0.929/6513.8%1.26
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of <=722/12218.0%1.035/4112.2%0.79
Too few runners to read reliably
At Wolverhampton (small sample)3/387.9%0.461/425.0%2.35
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 86 at/around today's trip, clears the ~84.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 4
+0.04 mph
About the level of its fields · 37.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 4
+0.31s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 4
101.8%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length4th of 4
7.00 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
12 Jun 26Sandown Park9fGood1stSlow early37.3 +0.06105.5+0.31
19 May 26Nottingham8fGd/Sft6thTrue37.8 +0.00100.6+0.79
25 Oct 25Doncaster7fHeavy3rdSlow early37.7 +0.02103.4+0.03
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.15fast2f+0.18slow3f+0.17slow4f+0.09par5f+0.09slow6f+0.04slow7f+0.01very slow1mledfast1m 1fledvery fast1m 2fledvery fast
Timed runs 2025-07-24 to 2026-06-12. · 3 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
4lb above his last winning mark (79 today vs 75)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayThe top rating in this field (86.0)Improving fast — last run rated 86, 10pts above his recent average of 76.0Only 2 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“shaken up early, close up, led over 2f out, quickened clear, in command 1f out, ridden out”
#2BROCKLESBY BILLMID
DRAW 3 · OR 83 · Ben Ffrench Davis / Kathy Turner
MARKET drifting 8.8 → 11.5
84.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
84.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 84
Official mark (OR)
83 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
25
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock Usually races prominent-closer
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 103.73% (strong late)
Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Kathy Turner
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 84 at/around today's trip, clears the ~84.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 4
+0.46 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.4 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 4
+0.38s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 4
103.7%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length1st of 4
7.48 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
22 Jun 26Windsor8fGd/Frm2ndTrue40.4 +1.37109.0—
29 May 26Chepstow7fGd/Frm1stSlow early43.6 +0.0099.9—
15 May 26Newbury10fGood10thTrue39.2 +0.00102.3+0.38
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-05-15 to 2026-06-22. · 2 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf formFigure OFF-CONTEXT (turf→aw) — earned under different conditionsProven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayRated #2 in this field (84.0)Only 2 runs at this distanceLost roughly 1.7 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“mid-field, went prominent before halfway, pushed along under 3f out, kept on, no match for winner”
#3GO RIMBAUDPROMINENT
DRAW 4 · OR 82 · Robert Havlin / John & Thady Gosden
MARKET 1.93
82FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
82 · ranked #3 here · career best 92
Official mark (OR)
82 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 3 tries · below market expectation (0.95)
Days since last run
83
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.7s) Usually races front-runner
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 104.89% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
John & Thady Gosden · 1241 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)72/36519.7%0.967/1643.8%1.96
Coming back after 46 to 90 days (small sample)18/8920.2%1.025/1631.2%1.51
At Wolverhampton (small sample)7/2924.1%0.942/1020.0%0.91
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 89 at/around today's trip, clears the ~84.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 4
+0.42 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 39.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 4
+0.19s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 4
104.9%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length3rd of 4
7.25 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2025-09-22 to 2026-04-25. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayRated #3 in this field (82)Only 3 runs at this distanceHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“waited with, pushed along over 3f out, ridden and headway under 3f out, not sustain effort”
#4ON THE INLET (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 2 · OR 81 · Marco Ghiani / Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole
MARKET backed 5.3 → 4.2
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−
79FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
79 · ranked #4 here · career best 88
Official mark (OR)
81 · last won off 71
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 2 tries · beats market expectation (2.04)
Days since last run
51
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.7s) Usually races prominent
Career sheet · last 18 months · 6 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · 710 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of <=724/11421.1%1.386/698.7%0.55
At Wolverhampton9/7811.5%1.073/397.7%0.58
In Class 4-5 company37/32011.6%1.0510/1337.5%0.62
Over 7-8f trips30/28810.4%1.18/958.4%0.73
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after 46 to 90 days (small sample)1/352.9%0.391/616.7%1.93
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 88 at/around today's trip, clears the ~84.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 4
+0.18 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 38.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 4
+0.12s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 4
100.2%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length2nd of 4
7.40 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 May 26Kempton Park7fSlow5thTrue39.6 +0.30—+0.34
Timed runs 2025-09-15 to 2026-05-27. · 1 have no 0-20mph split; 1 have no finishing speed in either database — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
10lb above his last winning mark (81 today vs 71)Yet to win at this level — a Class 5 winner, upped to Class 4 todayOnly 2 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 1 here)Runs Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“mid-field, headway over 1f out, no further impression”