THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 33.3%winner in the projected 1–2–3 69.7%99 races · latest settled day: #1 9/26, top-3 19/26forensic read: #1 46.2% · top-3 61.5% (26)
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
HUNGARIAN (IRE) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 48.04% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.28s off the lead. The measured order tops BONE MARRA (IRE) on 93, 3pts clear of DO BRONXS (IRE). BONE MARRA (IRE): the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it. The shape danger is AUGUSTUS GLOOP — the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 2
BONE MARRA (IRE)
OR 85 · Stevie Donohoe / Ollie Sangster
MARKET 2.54
93.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−AW-PROVEN — 3/4 on the all-weatherProven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayThe top rating in this field (93.0)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare result
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 9
DO BRONXS (IRE)
OR 87 · Laura Pearson / David Loughnane
MARKET drifting 16 → 17.5
90.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayDrops in class todayRated #2 in this field (90.0)Proven over the trip (8 tries, beats market expectation at 1.79)
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 4
APPLESANDPEARS
OR 84 · Rob Hornby / Edward Bethell
MARKET 5.7
84.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayDrops in class todayRated #3 in this field (84.0)Historically underestimated by the market
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1BONE MARRA (IRE)net +11figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band, proven at trip, proven on the going
2APPLESANDPEARSnet +6drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, runs the dominant winning style here, proven at trip, yard hot
3DO BRONXS (IRE)net +5figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), proven at trip, yard hot
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Worth A Second Look
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
ESPONA BAY (IRE) FIGURE #7
Scott Dixon's runners in Class 4-5 company win 11.9% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Scott Dixon's runners above their last winning mark win 13.7% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 9 runners · stalls 1–9
123456789
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn LOW (early types average stall 1.0 of 9, field average 5.0).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
DO BRONXS (IRE)MID50.3%99.4one-paced late — 8th of 9 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
BONE MARRA (IRE)MID48.5%102.8the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
APPLESANDPEARSMID49.5%99.7one-paced late — 7th of 9 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
AUGUSTUS GLOOPMID48.3%104.8the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
HUNGARIAN (IRE)PROMINENT48.8%103.5the only measured early speed in the race, at the tempo that wins here — and finds plenty late
DELUDED (IRE)MID50.3%99.8one-paced late — 6th of 9 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
TRUST AMY (IRE)HELD-UP50.4%97.4held up without the late gear (9th of 9 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
BOY NAMED SIOUX (IRE)HELD-UP49.0%102.7solid late gains (4th of 9 on late speed here), yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
ESPONA BAY (IRE)MID50.1%101.9solid late gains (5th of 9 on late speed here), yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
HUNGARIAN (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.2 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.10s off the field’s best
HUNGARIAN (IRE) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1BONE MARRA (IRE)MID
DRAW 2 · OR 85 · Stevie Donohoe / Ollie Sangster
MARKET 2.54
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−
93.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
93.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 93
Official mark (OR)
85 · last won off 83
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 7 tries · beats market expectation (3.05)
Days since last run
29
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.6s) · faster than its field on the clock Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 102.84% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ollie Sangster · 704 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange
Signature angle: keeping the same jockey
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On the all-weather ✦27/21212.7%1.0925/12619.8%1.45
Above their last winning mark9/4719.1%0.9216/6126.2%1.39
Coming back after 15 to 45 days25/22211.3%0.7820/12815.6%1.28
At Wolverhampton ✦8/4219.0%1.568/4418.2%1.21
At this time of year (Q3)20/17311.6%0.834/2317.4%1.15
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 93 at/around today's trip, clears the ~90.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 9
+0.54 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 41.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 9
+0.07s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 9
102.8%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length4th of 9
7.37 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
18 Jun 26Southwell6fStd1stTrue41.1 +0.75107.7+0.34
23 May 26Goodwood7fGood14thFast early41.3 +0.15101.5+0.11
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.67slow2f+0.71slow3f+0.82slow4f+0.60par5f+0.30fast6fledvery fast
Timed runs 2025-07-23 to 2026-06-18. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
AW-PROVEN — 3/4 on the all-weatherProven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayThe top rating in this field (93.0)Improving fast — last run rated 93, 12pts above his recent average of 80.7Stable cold this week — 1 wins from 10 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (2 from 2 here)Sectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“held up, shaken up over 2f out, headway when switched approaching final 1f, led final 100 yds, kept on”
#2DO BRONXS (IRE)MID
DRAW 9 · OR 87 · Laura Pearson / David Loughnane
MARKET drifting 16 → 17.5
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−
90.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
90.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 96
Official mark (OR)
87 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 8 tries · beats market expectation (1.79)
Days since last run
20
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.3s) Usually races midfield
Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
David Loughnane · 745 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 7-8f trips ✦32/26712.0%1.2513/8016.2%1.35
Coming back after 15 to 45 days22/2419.1%0.9312/9412.8%1.34
In fields of 8-1129/3348.7%0.8912/10311.7%1.19
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)9/1735.2%0.624/1428.6%2.29
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 96 at/around today's trip, clears the ~90.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields9th of 9
-0.16 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 9
+0.12s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed8th of 9
99.4%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 9
7.57 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 Jun 26Chester7fGood5thTrue40.3 +0.1699.1+0.00
13 Jun 26Chester7fGd/Sft2ndTrue38.0 -0.68103.9+0.21
25 May 26Leicester6fFirm7thTrue43.6 +0.0396.2+0.15
Timed runs 2025-07-18 to 2026-06-27. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf formProven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayDrops in class todayRated #2 in this field (90.0)Proven over the trip (8 tries, beats market expectation at 1.79)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“led, pushed along under 2f out, headed over 1f out, left behind by winner final 1f”
#3APPLESANDPEARSMID
DRAW 4 · OR 84 · Rob Hornby / Edward Bethell
MARKET 5.7
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−
84.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
84.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 91
Official mark (OR)
84 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 6 tries · beats market expectation (1.23)
Days since last run
23
Sectional clock
Last time: 0.9s slower than par — the result flattered it Usually races prominent-closer
Career sheet · last 18 months · 6 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Edward Bethell · 852 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.1 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)39/25315.4%0.959/3525.7%1.54
On the all-weather27/19513.8%0.7814/6720.9%1.44
In fields of 8-1152/31316.6%0.9723/11120.7%1.39
In Class 4-5 company68/42116.2%0.8624/12319.5%1.21
At Wolverhampton5/3215.6%0.773/1717.6%1.17
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 91 at/around today's trip, clears the ~90.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 9
+0.18 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 39.0 raw
Break · 0-20mph9th of 9
+0.36s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 9
99.7%
One-paced late
Stride length3rd of 9
7.53 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
24 Jun 26Carlisle6fGd/Frm6thTrue38.9 +0.3397.4+0.23
30 May 26Carlisle6fGd/Frm3rdTrue38.2 +0.15101.9+0.15
9 May 26Haydock Park7fGood8thFast early38.3 +0.0190.8+0.13
17 Nov 25Newcastle6fSlow1stTrue39.6 +0.26102.6+0.28
30 Oct 25Chelmsford City7fStd1stTrue39.6 +0.33103.3+0.56
14 Oct 25Leicester6fGd/Sft2ndSlow early39.5 +0.02102.0+0.83
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-10-14 to 2026-06-24. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayDrops in class todayRated #3 in this field (84.0)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“held up, pushed along 3f out, edged left, no extra only late”
#4DELUDED (IRE)MID
DRAW 8 · OR 76 · Paddy Bradley / Charlie Fellowes
MARKET backed 9.6 → 7
Yard suits today’s conditions · 4+ / 0−
81.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
81.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 82
Official mark (OR)
76 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 7 tries · in line with the market (1.02)
Days since last run
37
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.5s) · faster than its field on the clock Usually races prominent-closer
Career sheet · last 18 months · 7 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charlie Fellowes · 550 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)27/17815.2%1.122/1216.7%1.37
On the all-weather27/20213.4%0.845/3813.2%1.34
In Class 4-5 company30/27510.9%0.858/6312.7%1.26
In fields of 8-1121/20710.1%0.817/5313.2%1.26
Too few runners to read reliably
At Wolverhampton (small sample)8/3920.5%1.022/728.6%4.4
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 83 is below the ~90.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields8th of 9
-0.01 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.4 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 9
+0.28s
Slow away in 3 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed6th of 9
99.8%
One-paced late
Stride length6th of 9
7.27 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
10 Jun 26Kempton Park6fSlow3rdFast early39.1 -0.01101.3+0.35
15 May 26Newmarket7fGood3rdSlow early39.8 +0.0497.1+0.08
Timed runs 2025-08-21 to 2026-06-10. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 5 winner, upped to Class 4 todayJockey goes well at this track (1.46x market expectation)Lost roughly 1.6 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 2 here)
LTO comment
“off pace, outpaced, stayed on from 2f out”
#5AUGUSTUS GLOOPMID
DRAW 6 · OR 83 · Kaiya Fraser / James Fanshawe
MARKET 11.5
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−
79.7FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
79.7 · ranked #5 here · career best 88
Official mark (OR)
83 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 6 tries · below market expectation (0.95)
Days since last run
135
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 104.84% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 6 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads. · last rated run 135 days ago
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
James Fanshawe · 814 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 7-8f trips ✦41/28614.3%1.0417/8220.7%1.28
In fields of 8-1141/31213.1%0.8821/10520.0%1.24
At this time of year (Q3)38/24615.4%0.975/1729.4%1.17
At Wolverhampton9/6713.4%0.825/2619.2%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
On the all-weather54/32216.8%1.0315/10514.3%0.79
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 88 is below the ~90.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 9
+0.35 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 38.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 9
+0.05s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 9
104.8%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length8th of 9
7.06 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
4 Mar 26Kempton Park6fSlow7thTrue41.0 +0.25105.0+0.24
16 Jan 26Newcastle6fStd6thTrue41.0 -0.0798.5+0.25
6 Jan 26Wolverhampton6fSlow2ndTrue40.4 +0.00102.7+0.15
Timed runs 2025-08-20 to 2026-03-04 · last timed run 135 days ago — the profile is out of date. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 4 todayHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“Reporters comment will be available the day after racing.”
#6HUNGARIAN (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 1 · OR 80 · Darragh Keenan / Lemos De Souza
MARKET drifting 18.5 → 40
Yard mixed — leans against · 3+ / 4−
74.7FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
74.7 · ranked #6 here · career best 85
Official mark (OR)
80 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 6 tries
Days since last run
46
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.5s) Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 103.48% (strong late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 6 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Lemos De Souza · 235 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 8.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)5/539.4%1.272/540.0%5.19
In fields of 8-118/948.5%1.25/3613.9%1.53
In Class 4-5 company9/1098.3%1.255/3613.9%1.32
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Wolverhampton1/156.7%1.180/80.0%0.0
Over 7-8f trips6/5510.9%1.60/170.0%0.0
Coming back after 46 to 90 days2/1216.7%1.820/70.0%0.0
On the all-weather8/859.4%1.342/345.9%0.62
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 85 is below the ~90.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 9
+0.01 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 9
+0.10s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 9
103.5%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length5th of 9
7.34 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
1 Jun 26Wolverhampton8fStd4thSlow early40.1 +0.00109.3+0.11
Timed runs 2025-07-28 to 2026-06-01. · 3 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Historically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“close up”
#7ESPONA BAY (IRE)MID
DRAW 5 · OR 67 · Kieran O'Neill / Scott Dixon
MARKET backed 13.5 → 11.5
Yard mixed — leans for · 5+ / 1−
73.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
73.0 · ranked #7 here · career best 73
Official mark (OR)
67 · last won off 65
Record at today's distance
1 win from 9 tries · below market expectation (0.61)
Days since last run
32
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class Usually races prominent-closer · clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 101.91% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 11 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Scott Dixon · 1051 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 9.1 on the exchange
Signature angle: off marks in the 61 to 75 range, off a judgement-rated last figure
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Wolverhampton15/2715.5%0.849/8211.0%1.44
In Class 4-5 company ✦20/2687.5%1.0914/11811.9%1.42
Above their last winning mark ✦21/17811.8%1.1213/9513.7%1.38
Over 7-8f trips ✦34/4407.7%1.039/1078.4%1.29
On the all-weather33/5765.7%0.9516/1878.6%1.23
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days19/2826.7%1.053/933.2%0.53
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)14/1957.2%1.073/1816.7%1.31
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 74 is below the ~90.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 9
+0.08 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.0 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 9
+0.13s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 9
101.9%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length7th of 9
7.18 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
15 Jun 26Windsor8fGd/Frm3rd—40.5 +0.00109.2+0.11—
18 May 26Wolverhampton7fStd1stTrue39.4 +0.16104.4-0.02
21 Mar 26Newcastle6fStd3rdTrue40.4 -0.0997.2—
5 Mar 26Newcastle6fStd4thTrue40.1 -0.1599.1+0.25
12 Jan 26Wolverhampton6fStd2ndFast early40.7 +0.0798.2+0.07
22 Oct 25Kempton Park6fStd2ndTrue39.4 +0.47103.4+0.26
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-10-22 to 2026-06-15. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Yet to win at this level — a Class 5 winner, upped to Class 4 todayRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 2 here)Sectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“mid-field, headway 3f out, led 2f out, headed final ½f, weakened late on”
#8BOY NAMED SIOUX (IRE)HELD-UP
DRAW 7 · OR 72 · Ethan Tindall / Richard & Peter Fahey
MARKET drifting 16.5 → 25
Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−
69.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
69.0 · ranked #8 here · career best 74
Official mark (OR)
72 · last won off 68
Record at today's distance
1 win from 6 tries · beats market expectation (1.05)
Days since last run
106
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.4s) Usually races held-up closer
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 102.73% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 7 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard & Peter Fahey · 371 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Above their last winning mark—17/11914.3%1.49
In fields of 8-11—23/17413.2%1.27
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 74 is below the ~90.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 9
+0.22 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 38.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 9
+0.24s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 9
102.7%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length2nd of 9
7.54 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
2 Apr 26Southwell8fStd5thTrue38.3 -0.03101.3+0.38
17 Nov 25Newcastle7fSlow6thSlow early38.7 +0.00106.1+0.00
3 Nov 25Southwell7fStd1stTrue38.9 +0.94105.1+0.20
9 Sep 25Carlisle5fSoft4thTrue37.4 +0.15101.6+0.36
28 Jun 25Chester6fGd/Frm3rdTrue39.8 +0.17101.2+0.16
Timed runs 2025-04-24 to 2026-04-02. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
4lb above his last winning mark (72 today vs 68)Yet to win at this level — a Class 5 winner, upped to Class 4 todayStable in form this week — 3 wins from 23 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.61x market expectation)Lost roughly 1.7 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“steadied start, off pace, under pressure over 2f out, carried head bit awkwardly, never on terms”
#9TRUST AMY (IRE)HELD-UPFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 3 · OR 72 · Jonny Peate / Gary Hanmer
MARKET backed 130 → 110
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−
66.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
66.0 · ranked #9 here · career best 78
Official mark (OR)
72 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 10 tries · beats market expectation (3.36)
Days since last run
35
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.6s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race Usually races midfield
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 97.36% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 10 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Gary Hanmer · 75 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 8.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 4-5 company2/238.7%2.531/1010.0%1.96
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days2/267.7%1.530/60.0%0.0
In fields of 8-111/273.7%0.820/160.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
Over 7-8f trips (small sample)0/150.0%0.00/20.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)1/166.2%1.580/20.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 78 is below the ~90.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 9
+0.24 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 38.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph8th of 9
+0.29s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed9th of 9
97.4%
One-paced late
Stride length9th of 9
6.78 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
12 Jun 26Chester6.9fSoft3rdTrue38.5 +0.7894.8+0.48
30 May 26Chester6fGood8thTrue40.6 +0.6297.3+0.17
22 May 26Haydock Park6fGd/Sft8thTrue38.9 -0.1894.6+0.23
26 Nov 25Southwell6fStd5thTrue39.7 -0.05104.4+0.19
8 Nov 25Doncaster6fHeavy6thTrue36.5 -0.1694.0—
25 Oct 25Doncaster6fHeavy5thTrue38.6 +0.4499.0+0.37
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-10-25 to 2026-06-12. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayProven over the trip (10 tries, beats market expectation at 3.36)Lost roughly 2.2 lengths at the start last timeNEARLY WON LTO — traded 1.54 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Cut 2lb after losing the start last time — but our checklist rejected that excuse: the cut more likely reflects declining formRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“dwelt, off pace, headway halfway, led 2f out, headed final 1f, weakened”